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1. Nasty Nate Posted: October 23, 2012 at 11:02 AM (#4280503)Artificially limiting their own bargaining leverage was probably the tell that it was all for show, but we'll have to see.
And if the Mets do determine that Dickey can't be re-signed and thus should be traded, they'll get more for him if they trade him in the off-season than they would if they did so mid-season. So it's better to figure that out in the off-season.
I think those points were a little obvious, honestly.
Do you think they are pre-shaping the narrative of: oh, we tried hard to sign these guys but they wouldn't accept our huge offers so now we are "forced" to trade them?
But they have 5 weeks until the GM meetings. There's no reason to have anything done at this point.
The concern about 'lame-duck' players should be reserved for superstars, franchise players, living legends etc.. At any given point, 1/2 of any team might not be contracted down into the future for years.
No reason to still be paying Bobby Bonilla, either. It's the Mets.
Well, they really pushed the urgency of getting things resolved in October. As JJ1986 points out, they have five weeks until the GM meetings. So what reason do they have for artificially limiting their timeline for negotiation, if not to pass some preset deadline and use that as reason for a trade?
I'm not asking this rhetorically. I'd love to know if anyone has any other ideas.
My reporting on this hasn't been conclusive. I do, however, have a fair amount of skepticism in both cases, given their approach and the likelihood that even a fair market deal would keep Wright/Dickey around, knowing that whoever trades for them is probably better set up to win in 2013, and isn't likely to offer them less to stick around.
Baffles me as to why they'd trade Dickey, maybe they're just further apart than originally expected. But with him they have a pretty good starting rotation for next year.
Yeah, I don't get it unless they've decided to just totally mail it in for the next few years (EDIT - or they get something really great in return). Dickey is awesome, he seems like a good guy, he's extremely popular, and given his age he should be easy for the Mets to re-sign to a reasonable deal.
(A) seems more likely than (B).
Possibilities, not certainties:
a) they don't think they can compete in 2013, maybe not even 2014.
b) he'll be 38 years old. Sure he's a knuckleballer but they're not immortal ... maybe his 38 is like another pitcher's 34 or 35 but that's still old ... you want a pitcher's late 30s at big money?
c) He's coming off a career year. Sell high, don't buy high.
It largely comes down to the years and money that Dickey is looking for. And the current balance in Wilpon's checking account.
Yeah. These things kind of scare me. There is not that much data on the hypothesis "knuckleballers have longer careers than non-knuckleballers". For any team on the brink of a pennant (Yankees, Braves, A's, O's,..all of them), now is the time to acquire Dickey, not next year. The Mets could get an "A" prospect and a good MLB player, maybe more. I'd rather the Mets resign him, but I don't know what his demand are and it ain't my money.
There was an earlier story somewhere where it was claimed that both Wright and Dickey said that they intend to test the FA market if they do not sign extensions, and also that they will not discuss a contract extension during the season. I don't know if either of those things are true, but if they are, then the timeline isn't artificial.
An A prospect and a good MLB player? No way.
Maybe you get an A prospect, but probably more like a B+, a B and a couple of C's
This "I won't negotiate during the season" thing is also garbage. It's a negotiating ploy to get teams to the table earlier, and reduce the risk that a player get injured or underperforms during his walk year.
I cannot imagine a player turning down a decent in-season offer from their current team if they truly want to stay put. It's a bad bet to take on all of that extra risk to squeeze out a few extra % on their next contract.
Do the Yankees have any good prospects at this point? My crazy trade idea if the Mets can't re-sign Wright is: Wright for A-Rod + a truckload of money + prospect(s), even though it makes me feel dirty to even think about it and I have no idea if the Yankees have the pieces to offer.
It's all speculation, of course, but I use the example of Carlos Beltran: who was a half season rental and brought back a supposed "A" prospect. Dickey has got to be as valuable as Beltran, not all teams need corner outfielders but all need a great starter. And you get a whole season of Dickey at a much cheaper price than Beltran.
If 3/$36 is all he's asking for the Mets should just sign him and get it over with already.
But we haven't even reached that point yet; it's a year away.
I realize that, my clumsy point was I think finally having a chance to test the market might persuade him not to sign an extension.
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