Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, February 10, 2014

The offseason approach of thinking-man Breslow

Hey Bulldogs!
Hey Bulldogs! (okay…out of my system)

Breslow pores over scouting reports during the regular season. He examines the recent trends of opposing hitters. He sees what these batters have done over their past 10 games with runners on base vs. no runners, and early in games vs. late, and against fastballs vs. offspeed pitches.

But what does he do during the offseason?

Well, he examines his own trends.

“I make sure there’s no need for a complete overhaul,” he said recently.

“I make sure my walk rates aren’t rising and my strikeout rates aren’t falling unless I’m replacing that. This year, I know my strikeouts were way down. But I also got way more ground balls than I ever had before.

“There was a time a couple of years ago when my numbers were pretty bad, at least my main core numbers such as my ERA. And I felt like my stuff was really the same. It (ended up being) just a case of a lot of bad luck. I was able to take a look at some of the advanced metrics and say, ‘The reason it feels like whenever I give up a batted ball and it becomes a hit is because my batting average on balls in play is close to .400, which is unsustainably high.’

“So it wasn’t that I needed to make complete adjustments. It was just that I needed to stay the course and at some points these things would normalize.”

Those advanced metrics at times also have shown Breslow he must alter mechanics or add a pitch to his repertoire.

“I started throwing a sinker two years ago,” he said.

“Since then you can quantify the change in my ability to generate ground balls. I’ve become a lot more successful facing lefties because I have the ability to run a ball in on their hands. So having data available to you is great but using it is even better.”

Repoz Posted: February 10, 2014 at 05:41 AM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: red sox, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Non-Youkilidian Geometry Posted: February 10, 2014 at 07:29 AM (#4654079)
But is he in the best shape of his life?
   2. The TVerik of Lordly Might Posted: February 10, 2014 at 07:54 AM (#4654083)
Based on some of the arguments here, if you look deeply enough at the "advanced stats", you can find one or two that say "surprisingly underrated", even if your results are terrible.
   3. villageidiom Posted: February 10, 2014 at 01:14 PM (#4654309)
I am surprisingly underrated!
   4. A big pile of nonsense (gef the talking mongoose) Posted: February 10, 2014 at 01:17 PM (#4654312)
I am unsurprisingly underrated.
   5. The kids disappeared, now Der-K has too much candy Posted: February 10, 2014 at 01:23 PM (#4654315)
I am rated, surprisingly.
   6. Nasty Nate Posted: February 10, 2014 at 01:42 PM (#4654331)
"I am," ranted Surprise N. Lee.
   7. dave h Posted: February 10, 2014 at 02:03 PM (#4654347)
For the last time, he did not double major! Molecular Biophysics and Biochemistry is a single department.

I'm kind of a DIPS-hater, but I really wouldn't want to look at a single pitcher's BABIP, see that it was high, and conclude that nothing's wrong. It seems that he uses that in combination with other stats though, so I guess it's pretty reasonable.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
TedBerg
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: Politics - December 2014: Baseball & Politics Collide in New Thriller
(5213 - 1:27am, Dec 22)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble

NewsblogThe right — and wrong — way for Mets to get Tulowitzki | New York Post
(14 - 1:01am, Dec 22)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogOT: NFL/NHL thread
(9270 - 12:29am, Dec 22)
Last: Ray (RDP)

NewsblogThe 2015 HOF Ballot Collecting Gizmo!
(176 - 12:14am, Dec 22)
Last: Joyful Calculus Instructor

Hall of Merit2015 Hall of Merit Ballot
(96 - 11:51pm, Dec 21)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogDetermining Hall vote is no easy task | New York Post
(29 - 11:40pm, Dec 21)
Last: SoSHially Unacceptable

NewsblogJUNICHI TAZAWA & CULTURE OF DENIAL
(4 - 11:37pm, Dec 21)
Last: Steve Parris, Je t'aime

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - December 2014
(776 - 11:33pm, Dec 21)
Last: The District Attorney

NewsblogMarty Noble's HOF Ballot
(45 - 11:32pm, Dec 21)
Last: bobm

NewsblogThe Yankees’ plan in case A-Rod can’t play at all
(25 - 10:12pm, Dec 21)
Last: Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogOT: Soccer December 2014
(344 - 9:50pm, Dec 21)
Last: Mefisto

Hall of MeritHerman Long
(11 - 9:22pm, Dec 21)
Last: Joey Numbaz (Scruff)

NewsblogThe Jeff Jacobs HOF Ballot: Keep The Voting Serious And Fair
(55 - 9:14pm, Dec 21)
Last: Ron J

NewsblogRuben Amaro Jr. says it would be best if Phillies move on from Ryan Howard
(46 - 9:11pm, Dec 21)
Last: Mom makes botox doctors furious

Hall of Merit2015 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(107 - 9:08pm, Dec 21)
Last: Joey Numbaz (Scruff)

Page rendered in 0.1670 seconds
48 querie(s) executed