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Tuesday, April 08, 2014

The Toolsiest Player of Them All

The table shows the correlation coefficient for each tool against projected WAR/600:

Average Power Speed Arm Fielding
0.53 0.53 0.13 0.43 0.43

Something I’ve kind of wondered is whether speed and arm get encompassed within fielding since they’re part of fielding.

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: April 08, 2014 at 08:13 PM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: war

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   1. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: April 09, 2014 at 02:17 PM (#4683039)
That allowed me to identify the players who were so far above the mean (one standard deviation) in each of the five tools that they can be called baseball’s true five-tool players.

Without further ado, they are:

Carlos Gonzalez
Troy Tulowitzki
Bryce Harper
Yasiel Puig


Maybe they should call him Troy Toolitzki.
   2. base ball chick Posted: April 09, 2014 at 03:59 PM (#4683188)
not mike trout?
what tool does he not have?
   3. Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili(Teddy F. Ballgame) Posted: April 09, 2014 at 05:13 PM (#4683301)
But if those are MLB’s five-tool players, there’s something to be said for the toolsiest players — the ones who are most above the mean when considering all five tools combined. To measure aggregate toolsiness I just added up all the z-scores in each player’s tool set, and came up with the top 10 below. There’s an unsurprising man atop the list:

Mike Trout, 9.1

While Trout doesn’t count as a five-tool player because of his roughly league-average arm, he’s so good at everything else he makes up for that and then some. He isn’t bad at any one thing, and he’s terrific at several things. See each player’s tool score below:
Name Average Power Speed Arm Fielding
Mike Trout 2.8 2.3 2.1 0.2 1.6


That cover it?
   4. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: April 09, 2014 at 05:55 PM (#4683351)
what tool does he not have?


arm
he'll never match the Babe's pitching exploits
   5. gehrig97 Posted: April 09, 2014 at 05:57 PM (#4683353)
Yeah, as the article states, Trout has an average outfield arm (he's not Johnny Damon or anything). His defensive value came from his ability to gobble up real estate.

By the way, is it me or is Mikey looking a bit, um, chubby this season?
   6. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: April 09, 2014 at 06:52 PM (#4683391)
This is another fairly boring article from 538. Nate Silver's lucky he's still got his Senate predictions going, it's the only thing keeping his new website's Value Over Replacement URL above zero.
   7. Tom Nawrocki Posted: April 09, 2014 at 09:18 PM (#4683490)
I wouldn't have expected Tulowitzki to rate that much above average in speed, but I'm not going to argue the point.
   8. God Posted: April 09, 2014 at 10:56 PM (#4683545)
Nate Silver's lucky he's still got his Senate predictions going, it's the only thing keeping his new website's Value Over Replacement URL above zero.

I think your metric, whatever it is, is setting Replacement Value way, way, way too high.
   9. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: April 09, 2014 at 11:50 PM (#4683568)
I've enjoyed Neile Paine's articles even if many of them just articulate things I already know. This one about sabermetrics vs the eye test was a really nice one, imo. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/where-sabermetrics-and-the-eye-test-disagree/

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