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Saturday, August 16, 2014

There’s cause for concern with A’s, but let’s not go overboard

So is it time to worry? Probably. Panic? Nah.
...
Here are the slash lines, followed by runs per game by month:

March/April: .261/.351/.412; 5.26 RPG
May: .239/.326/.421; 5.07
June: .261/.326/.383; 5.08
July: .251/.307/.403; 4.52
August: .229/.301/.333; 3.73

In this age of screaming clickbate at every turn, I admire an article that has the courage to announce: ‘Y’know, it’s probably nothing’.

The Angels are within one.  Their game with the Rangers tonight was a good example of what’s wrong with baseball.  The eighth and ninth innings saw seven pitchers used to get 12 outs.  Blah.

Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: August 16, 2014 at 03:47 AM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: athletics, offense counts too

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   1. Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim Posted: August 16, 2014 at 12:43 PM (#4772408)
11 outs. Richards got one before Kevin Jepsen came in to nearly blow the whole thing up.
   2. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: August 16, 2014 at 01:21 PM (#4772421)
Kind of funny how Oakland and Detroit, the two contending teams who made the biggest splash on Deadline Day, have played pretty mediocre baseball in the two weeks since. Conversely, KC, a team who sat pat at the deadline, have really switched it on over the same span. Baseball is a weird game.
   3. Justin T is going to crush some tacos Thursday Posted: August 16, 2014 at 01:26 PM (#4772422)
Detroit got a bunch of guys hurt. The A's got Jason Hammel.
   4. The District Attorney Posted: August 16, 2014 at 03:42 PM (#4772461)
Kind of funny how Oakland and Detroit, the two contending teams who made the biggest splash on Deadline Day, have played pretty mediocre baseball in the two weeks since.
And Tampa made a "splash" by dumping their best pitcher, yet kept on winning as if nothing happened.

Christina Kahrl: Athletics need to be worried for stretch run
worry about the fact that Scott Kazmir’s strikeout rate since the All-Star break is 13 percent, 10 points lower than it was in the first half, or that Jason Hammel has one quality start in seven tries as an Athletic. Or that Jeff Samardzija’s run of greatness extends no further back than this season.
Losing Jed Lowrie to the DL isn’t something you’d normally associate with hurting your defense, but the problem it created is that it moved Eric Sogard from a position he plays well at second base (averaging plus-9 Defensive Runs Saved per season on his career) to a position he doesn’t at short (minus-14 career). Exacerbating that loss is that Alberto Callaspo has had to become an every-day player at second... And with Kazmir and Hammel looking so hittable, you can bet a worse infield defense is hurting.
And just stop with Sam Fuld already. The guy’s well-spoken, a great interview and a decent fielder, but c’mon now, he’s sabermetrics’ answer to Willie Bloomquist.
Now, I know, this is where we can cite all sorts of happy stats to warm A’s fans’ hearts, like their huge run differential or their expected record, which is six games better (79-43) than where they’re actually at (73-49)... a big chunk of the A’s run differential belongs to early-season blowout wins that this lineup hasn’t been cranking out of late, as well as that stack of close losses that you can blame on the early-season mistake of having Jim Johnson as their closer... this team is a significantly different collection of players than that which stacked up that run differential in the first place just a few short months ago... The A’s relative run differential is shrinking, and even with Lester and Samardzija and Gray going strong, it’s probably going to shrink more.
Of course, both authors ultimately agree that one should "worry" but not "panic". (It remains unclear why either author finds the reader's level of worry to be worthy of such concern.)
   5. bobm Posted: August 16, 2014 at 04:12 PM (#4772471)
Athletics 2nd half versus 1st half by tOPS+

                                                                    
Rk             Player    Split Year  G tOPS+ GS  PA  OPS BAbip sOPS+
1         Eric Sogard 2nd Half 2014 19   188 18  68 .809  .313   138
2     Yoenis Cespedes 2nd Half 2014 11   147 11  48 .964  .324   174
3        Josh Reddick 2nd Half 2014 24   142 23  91 .903  .299   158
4      Josh Donaldson 2nd Half 2014 27   138 27 118 .957  .333   177
5          Jed Lowrie 2nd Half 2014 20   104 19  81 .689  .276   100
6        Stephen Vogt 2nd Half 2014 23    79 21  89 .762  .292   120
7         Jonny Gomes 2nd Half 2014  9    78  4  20 .600  .308    79
8        Nate Freiman 2nd Half 2014  9    73  5  19 .599  .167    71
9        Derek Norris 2nd Half 2014 22    70 18  77 .714  .309   107
10          John Jaso 2nd Half 2014 21    70 18  77 .647  .246    88
11   Alberto Callaspo 2nd Half 2014 15    68 13  51 .505  .275    48
12           Sam Fuld 2nd Half 2014 15    61 12  52 .554  .300    63
13       Brandon Moss 2nd Half 2014 23    55 23 102 .617  .309    81
14         Nick Punto 2nd Half 2014  9    48  6  22 .431  .176    30
15       Craig Gentry 2nd Half 2014  7    35  4  17 .423  .200    26
16         Coco Crisp 2nd Half 2014 18     8 17  78 .395  .148    19


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2014.


                                                                         
Rk            Player    Split Year   ERA GS GF  SO9  PA BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
1     Sean Doolittle 2nd Half 2014  0.00  0  7 11.0  33  .158    28   -23
2          Ryan Cook 2nd Half 2014  2.19  0  4  9.5  44  .179    26    10
3     Eric OFlaherty 2nd Half 2014  0.00  0  2  8.0  37  .167    61     5
4     Luke Gregerson 2nd Half 2014  2.89  0  2  5.8  37  .179    76    53
5         Jon Lester 2nd Half 2014  2.49  3  0  8.3  85  .305    83    68
6      Fernando Abad 2nd Half 2014  0.96  0  4  8.7  33  .182    89    33
7       Jesse Chavez 2nd Half 2014  4.35  2  3  8.7  86  .231   101    98
8    Jeff Samardzija 2nd Half 2014  3.51  6  0  6.6 165  .264   104    96
9         Sonny Gray 2nd Half 2014  3.13  5  0  7.1 133  .286   108    88
10      Scott Kazmir 2nd Half 2014  4.26  5  0  4.8 129  .330   136   108
11     Evan Scribner 2nd Half 2014  2.25  0  1  6.8  15  .182   153    70
12         Dan Otero 2nd Half 2014  3.65  0  2  3.6  55  .362   165   140
13      Jason Hammel 2nd Half 2014  7.33  6  0  6.0 130  .326   173   182
14       Jim Johnson 2nd Half 2014 45.00  0  1  9.0   8  .800   343   482


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2014.
   6. Jim Wisinski Posted: August 16, 2014 at 06:27 PM (#4772518)
And Tampa made a "splash" by dumping their best pitcher, yet kept on winning as if nothing happened.


Based on the results so far they got the better pitcher :-)

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