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Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, December 22, 2005
Other recent THT pieces I want to comment on, but don’t want to glut the links - Maybe I’ll do a THT blog, and critique the work weekly (and weakly):
I wonder if there is good research on a decline in LD% as one ages - I assume that is what occurs, but I don’t know for sure.
Here’s where watching games matters - Bell leaves the ball up more in the majors - or did in ‘05. Hitters adjust and wait on that mistake and drive it. One of the problems with absorbing into DIPS is that you “forget” that second part - the hitter: if any pitchers throws balls in the middle of the plate, they’ll get ripped - Think of that 9-square chart of a hitter’s hot zones - Bell spent too much time in those zones. If he doesn’t *adjust*, and that isn’t a luck factor, he’ll not get back. In AAA, more players miss those pitches (as evident that the vast majority don’t make it in the majors).
Dan Fox (?)
I have some work on this to publish here, but not with this conclusion (not an opposite conclusion - I was looking at something else).
But Dan hints that managers don’t bunt with “worse” bunters often enough. I think the bunting skill isn’t as gaussian as one would assume - people who rarely bunt are particularly bad, and give up DPs at a damagingly higher rate. I assert without proof.
More THT as the weeks come.
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