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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Monday, August 04, 2008
Chris explains the deep analysis used…“The criteria for choosing a pair? Whatever the hell I feel works best. See? Told ya there was no impressive researcher here. It sounds like a neat little mental game to play, and hopefully you’ll get a kick out of it to. Who knows, maybe you’ll even learn something, but I swear to God that’s an accident. That’s not the intent at all.”
Chester A. Arthur (1881-5)/[N]Ed Williamson
Chester A. Arthur wasn’t supposed to be president. He was the ultimate political hack. He had only been given the vice presidential slot on the ticket to help quell unusually fierce internal fighting in the GOP. Once president, he sure as heck wasn’t supposed to do anything memorable, but he surprised people by championing civil service reform.
Ed Williamson wasn’t supposed to be a slugger. He was a great fielder and a good hitter, but in his first half-dozen seasons he launched only 11 homers. However, in 1884 the Cubs decided all balls hit over the comically short portion of their outfield fence (balls that were considered doubles in all other seasons) would be homers, allowing Williamson to hit a bunch.
Once a slugger, he sure as heck wasn’t supposed to be a record-setting one. The team had big bashers in Cap Anson and Abner Dalrymple who were generally more impressive than him. But in 1884, it was Williamson who led the league with 27 homers, a single-season mark that stood until Ruth came along.
Repoz
Posted: August 04, 2008 at 12:29 PM | 84 comment(s)
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1. GGC don't think it can get longer than a novella Posted: August 04, 2008 at 01:02 PM (#2889279)Bill Clinton = Dick Allen. Had both a peak and a career, but one achilles heel for which many could not / will not forgive him.
or, Bill Clinton = Darryl Strawberry. We all thought he'd be so good, and he turned out to be human.
JFK = Steve Garvey or Kirby Puckett. Great player for a while, well loved, came through in the clutch, but overrated and stuff under the surface eventually came out, while we wonder about the truth of what remains hidden.
Ronald Reagan = Jim Palmer. Stumbled early on, but had great success and an even better image, and we forgave the late-career lack of performance.
or, Ronald Regan = Steve Garvey. Wildly popular in their hay days, long career, perfect hair, rugged good looks, made their names in Hollywood. And both had nasty secrets lurking behind the teflon exterior.
G H W Bush = Bobby Wallace. HOF vote based on those who valued the conservative values of career and defense, but unknown to most fans 80 years later. Wallace once did somersaults and was quoted as saying "read my flips".
Nixon = E Ciciotte. Talented, but.
Carter = Joe Garagiola. Nice guy, did well in retirement.
Bush 43 = Dave Kingman, nothing but the bombs.
William Henry Harrison -- John Paciorek or Moonlight Graham
Grover Cleveland -- Cool Papa Bell. Big mid-career slump.
William Howard Taft -- Albert Spalding. Went on to greater things.
Woodrow Wilson -- Connie Mack. Fine career, though teams run by assistants near the end.
George Washington -- Lou Gehrig. Went out on top, great farewell speeches.
FDR -- Cal Ripken. Only person with a longer streak, although some argue that he was hurting the team. . . . . . I think FDR and Connie Mack would also make sense, owing to Mack's ultra longevity and FDR's four terms. Both had a sort-of fatherly thing about them too.
I'd guess that Andrew Johnson might be similar to Fred McMullin. A generally ineffective second-stringer who was (or was nearly) ousted under a cloud of intrigue.
Abe Lincoln and Jackie Robinson are an obvious parrallel, each marking a major point of division in the history of the country
U.S. Grant and Fred Haney seem like a good match to me. Haney, the inept manager who couldn't get Aaron, Mathews, and Spahn into the Series in 1959 in a weak year in the league, while Grant idly sat about and let his cronies pillage the South and exploit its resources and people.
Not to mention the part about both being child-eating, mass-murdering Satanist Nazis.
-- MWE
Thinks he's an All-Star but carries a limited skill set.
not so much in the temperment (MVB was exceedingly cautious and calculating), but they were both schemers through and through.
Woodrow Wilson -- Connie Mack. Fine career, though teams run by assistants near the end.
I prefer WW = Peter Angelos
Clearly a very intelligent man, but basically f'd things up for the long term because he was convinced of the brilliance of his own grand scheme.
The San Diego Chicken?
This has nothing to do with Bill Clinton, but I love it when people describe A-Rod as having "generally performed well".
That's asinine. I'm no Wilson fan but the bashing of him is out of hand to the point of ignorance. In his first term he was a pretty damn good progressive president. It was one of the high points of national progressive reform as he helped pass a series of acts, most nobaly the Clayton Anti-Trust Act (which Samuel Gompers called the Magna Carta of labor) and the Federal Reserve Act, while also engaging in a good amount of trust-busting. I can see an argument agasint him if you're a libertarian, but the most venomous bile for him ain't coming from the libertarians.
Oh - I might have to steal that one.
No, it breaks down there -- surely that phrase has to be reserved for use AGAINST the Yankees, Celtics, or Canadiens. I'm not sure football has the equivalent dominant dynasty.
Nixon: Good Foreign Policy. Selig: World Baseball Classic.
Nixon: Visited China. Selig: Had Dodgers and Padres visit China.
Nixon: Man landed on Moon during his term, which looks good until you realize Nixon had basically nothing to do with it. Selig: Had Ripken break streak during his term, which looks good but Selig had absolutely nothing to do with it.
Nixon: Prolonged Vietnam War. Selig: Prolonged Steroid scandal.
Nixon: Watergate. Selig: Steroids, tie All-Star game.....
Bush 43 - Roger Clemens. From Texas, enormously popular at his peak but later the entire persona was exposed as fraudulent. Did things in a pumped-up, overly masculine way. One is in the pocket of Big Oil, the other, famously, has some grotesque number of Hummers.
Bush 41 - Carlos Beltran. Does the little things well but is criticized by many in the press due to a lack of flash. Generally competent and good, but not quite the best.
Reagan - Mark McGwire. Very popular for a long time but left tainted by scandal. Manages to be both overrated and underrated, depending on who you ask.
JFK - Sandy Koufax. A short, generally successful career that ended during its peak and is thus remembered as being even better than it actually was.
I also like the Pete Rose-Nixon comparison. I've been trying to come up with ones for Clinton and Carter, but right now, I can't.
There's got to be a baseball player that fits those parameters: consistent solid production with great career value but little peak flash, underrated by the masses but appreciated by aficionados.
Al Kaline?
Long, steady career with tremendous accumulated value and a strong all around game, but little sizzle.
Take away the steroids and Rafael Palmiero would be a decent fit as well.
Palmeiro was actually the guy I thought of as an Eisenhower comparison as well. But it just doesn't work for me because Eisenhower went out in an unexpected flash of integrity (who could've predicted the military-industrial complex speech from EISENHOWER of all people?) whereas Palmeiro went out with...well, you know.
Can you really give that much credit to Ike for the first one? Afterall, most of the rest of the first and second world was rebuilding from rubble and we hadn't gotten dependent on foreign oil yet (or if we were, we had control of most of the wells anyway).
I thought Truman was responsible for the military desegregation, hence is(was) loved by blacks of that generation.
Also, some uber-Greens might argue that the Interstate System is responsible for our poor public transportation infrastructure and our total dependence on foreign oil.
Well, Ike had his jeep driver lady friend.
Maybe Eddie Murray? I think the Musial/Collins/Gehringer/Kaline comparisons are maybe a cut too good as ballplayers. Eisenhower was good, but probably not an all-time great President (although when you start working through the Presidents, it's a little surprising how quickly you run out of "all-time greats"; you can probably make a perfectly reasonable argument for Ike being in the top 10). Disregarding his last two crappy hang-around seasons, Murray went out with a surprisingly solid season as the DH for the best Indians team in 40 years in 1995. Although I don't know that Murray was ever truly "underrated by the masses" (although the press did seem to hate him at times, they tended to give him his due, if sometimes grudgingly) or particularly "appreciated by aficionados" (he's a guy whose value was probably pretty accurately pegged; he's not necessarily a darling of the statheads).
Didn't do so well in fifth grade Virginia history, did you? Sic semper tyrannis. Thus always unto tyrants.
I would put the Romans Go Home Graffiti scene from Life of Brian here but it's too long.
In the right place at the right time.
It's lasted another 60 years, sort of. :) Of course a lot of our bridges are breaking down now. PA claims 25% of bridges in substandard shape. No doubt, with the interstates commerce would have slowed if RRs were the alternate. We are paying now for that breakthrough, although the price we are paying today is probably small potatoes when compared to the benefits.
this supposed "affair" is just an unsubstantiated rumor as far as I can remember
Fair enough. Some smoke but no confirmed fire. I wasn't meaning to run down Ike so much, he, like the presidential Truman, might be the two most honorable presidents in the 20th century.
Because, as John McLoughlin would have you know, Warren G. Harding was a Negro. Thus, he broke the color line.
Sic triumphus tyrannis
Aha, I think that #23 was a step ahead of us. Nicely done.
That many highways are largely in need of repair some 50+ years after the Federal-Aid Highway Act was signed is no criticism of the interstate highway system. I doubt anybody figured that the roads would have zero maintenance costs when they were constructed, and railroad tracks aren't maintenance-free either.
Clinton - Darryl Strawberry. Scandal-ridden, but still viewed somewhat positively due to charming persona. As a result such scandals, he generally did not fulfill his enormous potential; however, if you look at him objectively, he was still pretty good.
I think an uber-Green (or, like myself, a non-uber-Green) would argue that we should have spent some of that money on rehabilitating and modernizing said rail network. Now, I'm not going to argue that the Interstate Highway System was a bad idea - it wasn't. It was good for the country and I give Eisenhower (about whom I generally agree with you) credit for it. However, you don't have to be Ralph Nader to argue that a more comprehensive, less auto-centric, transportation policy during the 50s and 60s would have been preferable in the long-term.
Well, flux capacitors were invented during the Eisenhower administration.
Can you really give that much credit to Ike for the first one?
No. Not only did it happen under Truman, but then-General Eisenhower testified against it before Congress. He didn't want the military to be a sociological lab.
Ike and Civil Rights. He appointed Earl Warren to the Supreme Court. That was his main claim to fame. Then again, he privately told people that it putting Warren on the Supreme Court was the biggest mistake of his life. He enforced the Court's ruling (he desegregated DC right away and as already noted sent the troops to Little Rock) but he never really embraced the cause. JFK called it a moral imperative, but for Ike it was an order from the court he had to obey, and as a good soldier he would. He also passed two civil rights acts, but they were both tepid and much pressure for them came from Congress. He doesn't have a bad civil rights record, but it is mixed and there's an overall sense that for Ike it was something he felt was part of the job than anything he saw as a moral obligation.
underrated by the masses but appreciated by aficionados.
I'm not sure that really holds for Ike. I think he's neither as underrated nor as appreciated as this indicates, strangely enough.
Oh, I originally intended to make Koufax my JFK, but backed off for various reasons.
None of the matches I intend to make has been mentioned yet (except the AJ-W. Bush one, which is me getting an idea from this thread).
In fact, I actually find the idea of Ike acting out of an instinctive understanding of the role of the Executive vis-a-vis the Judiciary to be far more honorable than I would were he acting out of private conviction; that was a man who understood the separation of powers and was willing to bring the full force of the law to act regardless of personal belief. That is the perfect definition of "integrity" IMO.
I also like Nieporent's comparison of Ike to Baines, except that I think Ike is a HOF/HOM president, whereas Baines doesn't quite qualify for the baseball analogue.
With Ike it's less about what he did and more about what he didn't do. He didn't press for any substanitive civil rights legislation, even on voting, the one area he felt was most in need of addressing. He never really tried to rally the nation's emotions behind the cause. He'd respond to it if forced to, but that's all.
I love the Cobb-Wilson match, though.
Nobody really knows exactly how to make an economy boom, but there are a number of proven ways to break one.
I also enjoyed the presidential economy = BABIP analogy. Brilliant.
Mrs. Sandberg?
Speaking of which...
Warren G. Harding = Kris Benson. Career may have been fatally poisoned by high-spirited wife.
Sorry but this is crap.
Esoteric started with a bald assertion, epitome responded in kind.
Apart from that, Jackie Jensen and Jim Bouton come to mind.
There's got to be a baseball player that fits those parameters: consistent solid production with great career value but little peak flash, underrated by the masses but appreciated by aficionados.
Stan Musial.
(ducks out of way of exploding bombs)
If I thought a more at length response was appropriate, and wouldn't derail a thread with a lot of potential for personal politics to get in the way of entertaining discussion, I would have expounded more at length. I only intended to identify a spurious accusation as bollocks. But since I've been called out by Mr. Nierporent, let me reiterate that yes, the idea that Roosevelts "active interference" in the economy "prolonged" or contributed to the economic misery of the depression in any meaninful way is bollocks. I am fairly familiar with a lot of work by professional economists on the Depression and works of economic history by professional economists as well. In fact our current (Republican) Chairman of the Fed has in the past written some of the best work on the subject. Suffice to say that in all the literature I've reviewed I've never read an economist make a case that Roosevelt's "active interference" in the economy in any way prolonged or worsened the Depression. The most uncharitable characterisations of the Roosevelt administration being that all their schemes had little impact on ameliorating the Depression and the more charitable characterisations of the conduct of the Roosevelt administration during this time being that it kept the Depression from getting worse. The strongest consensus if there was one, being that the biggest achievement during this time by the Roosevelt administration was laying the groundwork for the economic and financial regulatory infrastructure that persists to this day, rather than any impact on the Depression.
I have never read a serious scholar, widely respected in the field put forth the case that Roosevelt prolonged, worsened, or in some cases depending on the loon, "created" The Great Depression. Such accusations, with surprisingly litle variability, are generally always limited to persons pushing an obvious political and or partisan agenda, and or "libertarians". This is remarkable considering economists aren't exactly known for liberalism or leftism relative to people working in other social sciences.
So yes to summarize; "Sorry but this is crap"
But let me guess: Milton Friedman is a crackpot, and the Austrian School economists are just a motley crew of mountebank charlatans.
People blame presidents for the darnedest things, but ... monetary policy?
Despite his significant decline from eight years ago, his team gave him the nod to close out the game early in the spring because all the other options were worse. Performed well despite his advancing years, but fell apart in the dog days of summer. Age-related decline makes his hold on the closer job a shaky one. Poor comparison to flamethrowing Chicago ace has his team thinking about replacing him with a younger prospect for the fall. Otherwise, his team's faint hopes for the stretch run will rely on winning unappealing, interminable slugfests.
If you do like them but are also realistic about them, I think Obama=Jeter (like Vaux said) and McCain=KRogers
Obama=Jeter: major plusses and also big minuses, cross-over mixed-race cultural icons, bland in some ways but still get strong positive and negative reactions; both symbols of huge, powerful organizations that many like, many hate, and few ignore
McCain=KRogers: been around forever and a day, prone to temper tantrums and not above playing dirty, also underrated by detractors and even supporters; tougher, smarter and more of a factor than many realize
Those more positive about McCain might compare him to GMaddux or GPerry (after all, Rogers is a lefty). Those more positive about Obama might compare him to Willie Mays.
How about this one: Brian Jordan. Star defensive back for Atlanta Falcons teamed with Deion Sanders to form a strong defense and lead Falcons to playoffs. NFL All-Pro at young age. Retires from the gridiron to start a new career in baseball. Rises to the heights of his new profession using some of the same skill sets. Unspectacular but solid over a long career. Has some outstanding accomplishments (All Star 1999 and in the Top 10 of MVP voting 1996), but not nearly enough to put him in the top tier. Certain accomplishments overrated (had seasons with .300 avg & 100 RBI) but overall career showed competence and success, including 1999 NL pennant.
If Obama actually gets elected it would be hard to list anyone except Jackie Robinson here, for obvious reasons. (If not elected, of course, he's Cool Papa Bell.)
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