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1. BringBackTimTeufel Posted: December 04, 2009 at 10:24 PM (#3403695)Peter said...
I think we’re missing something really important here - When do stringers move between parks?
If stringer A only scores at Wrigley field, then his perspective/parallax never changes. So he should always be judging under the same conditions.
If the ballpark moves the press box in the middle of a season, or if a stringer scores consecutive seasons in different stadiums with different perspectives (like shea/citi, oys/nys), then you might have a year-to-year issue.
but I hardly doubt there’s a contingent of mobile stringers hopping from stadium to stadium and having different judgements.
Now announcers who do jump from stadium to stadium, yes, it could affect the quality of the broadcast (that could be mitigated by good broadcasters who remember fenway is higher than citi). But overall, this should *not* affect stringers who stay in 1 park.
now, if you want to talk about multiple stringers scoring different games within the season and stringer A’s perception of a line drive differs from stringer B’s perception, then you’re on to something.
thinking about that again, you're right. they could be cross-scoring in say NY, OAK/SF, chicago, etc, assuming the teams let them (which, obviously, is the case in bal/dc)
but that goes to another commenter on the original site talking about small sample size - the only "valid" points are multi-stadium individual markets where they share stringers (and he was originally stating that there weren't enough points even with all the stadiums)
and it also goes to my comment about announcers: hopefully these guys would be cognizant of the differences between the 2 stadiums enough to alter accordingly.
but that still doesn't warrant a coast to coast statistical analysis (albeit a pretty sound one).
From experience, it is often hard to tell the difference between a line drive and fly ball at Nationals Park. We're waaaaaaaaaaay up there, so we're essentially looking down on the field from above, as an almost two-dimensional thing. It takes a while to learn to judge them there.
the point is that if Larry sees a line drive in RFK, he's not going to misjudge pop fly in Wrigley because it's so much lower - because he would never score a game in wrigley. hopefully a scorer would get to know his home park(s) well enough to figure it out over time. but it's not like we have to have "park effects" for scorers in different parks for line drives vs fly balls - which is where i thought the article was eventually leading towards.
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