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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Wednesday, November 28, 2012Time: Jim Bunning Remembers Marvin Miller, Baseball’s ‘Moses’Jim Bunning conked 160 in his career…this ain’t one of them.
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1. bjhanke Posted: November 28, 2012 at 11:33 AM (#4311400)I've tried gaming the situation. Best I can tell, it just complicates management's life. Maybe some players sign "early/low" out of fear of being the last man standing, but it also works the other way.
I've tried gaming the situation. Best I can tell, it just complicates management's life. Maybe some players sign "early/low" out of fear of being the last man standing, but it also works the other way.
Long term, salaries would rise and the market would not be free due to players getting locked up into long term contracts. Short term, it would have produced a drag on a good chunk of salaries as a few star players would get the lionshare of pay and the rest would be viewed as interchangeable.
The risk, from Miller's POV, would be that the ensuing chaos of everybody being a free agent would scare/piss the players off enough that it would turn them away from Miller and his guidance. If the vast majority of players felt they were getting screwed while the 1% were getting rich it would cause a schism between the players that create the power and the players that form the core of the union. Not good at all for Miller.
But the bit about the Miller/Finley debate is that I fail to see how you enforce 1-year contracts only. Sure, it could go into the CBA but why would the players agree to such silliness? And if it wasn't part of the CBA but only 1-year contracts were on offer, the collusion case is easy.
You're the Devil Rays and you've gotten the rights to Evan Longoria ... are you really only going to offer him a 1-year contract at 22 then let him become FA? Of course not, you're going to do essentially what the Rays did under the current system. And it's probably going to cost the Rays more.
What the system does is shift money from young to old but I'm not at all convinced that the overall money would be substantially different. The thornier question in my opinion is the distribution of young talent. Do you go back to amateur free-for-all or do you still have a draft? If you have a draft, what are the incentives for the Rays to develop Longoria to begin with if they aren't guaranteed to be able to keep him. If you don't have a draft, you have substantial competitive imbalance.
Anyway, think of the money that Kerry Wood and Mark Prior would have gotten if the Cubs might have lost them after their rookie years. The Cubs would have backed the money truck up to their doors ... and regretted it. :-) Bryce Harper or Mike Trout might right now be the highest paid players in the game.
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