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Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Friday, October 05, 2012
For a really long time, I have believed the question of who is the best player and who is the most valuable player are two separate questions. In the first case, you need to remove context because, generally, you want to know who the best player will be going forward (to make a trade, sign a free agent, etc.). In the second case, you want to know the context because you are purely going back to see how his play impacted his team at a particular time frame.
WAR works to answer the first question but often falls short when answering the second question because, although the types of opportunities players face over a career might even out, in a particular season things don’t always work out that way. Additionally, although clutch ability might not be something that’s real, the timing of a player’s accomplishments can often provide more value to his team than is generally expected. IMHO, that additional value should be counted if we are trying to determine who has been the Most VALUABLE Player in a particular season.
In the linked article, David Cameron uses a stat called RE24 to investigate how well Trout and Cabrera did offensively to take advantage of the opportunities their teammates provided them in 2012.
(RE24 is the difference in run expectancy (RE) between the start of the play and the end of the play. That difference is then credited/debited to the batter and the pitcher. Over the course of the season, each players’ RE24 for individual plays is added up to get his season total RE24.)
Cameron’s conclusion is that Trout provided more value to the Angels than Cabrera did to the Tigers *without even considering baserunning or defense.* Here’s the end of his article:
Read the whole thing to learn even more.
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