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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
So help me…If I see Ted Uhlaender end up in the top 5 in Batting Average, I’ll…I’ll…
Not only is the NL giving more PA to younger players, its younger players tend to be better. Note that at the ages where the NL OPS is higher, it tends to be much higher than it is at the corresponding AL age. Where the AL OPS is higher, the gap is not quite as large. Even in the 31-34 group, the NL is better except at age 34.
This bodes well for the Senior Circuit in the long term. Not only are their hitters producing at a higher rate, but their ages are in the range where we can still expect them to maintain or improve their performances. Meanwhile, AL teams keep signing older players such as Mike Lowell, Jorge Posada, Alex Rodriguez and Torii Hunter to long-term contracts. Over the next few seasons, we may see some AL clubs do what the Marlins, Diamondbacks and Rockies have done recently. Tearing teams down to watch young talent develop resulted in a high scoring National League, even without a designated hitter.
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1. JJ1986 Posted: May 07, 2008 at 10:08 PM (#2772730)I particularly do not share his POV, as expressed in his own blog to the effect that:
http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/026460.php
"I really believe this is the first indication of a seismic shift in the quality of the leagues. It happened twice before. The NL was way ahead of the AL in signing black ballplayers after Jackie Robinson broke the color barrier, and that led to the NL dominating the All-Star game from the 1950s through the early 1980s. Then, the AL was quicker to harvest the talent coming out of Latin America, and AL became the dominant league, taking over the All Star game from the late 1980s through last season. It now appears that the NL discovered that young talent is better talent, and I suspect they will once again return to being the dominant league."
The sample size is too small, and there's too many variables (e.g., AL 3B and C are hitting lower this year to an extent because A-Rod and Posada, who had monster seasons in 2007, are injured/have been injured) that it doesn't take into account.
Furthermore, the AL has 4 of the 5 highest ranked farm systems in baseball (using the below two rankings), so I truly believe that we are not seeing a shift but a blip.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080313&content_id=2423721&vkey=spt2008news&fext;=.jsp&c_id=mlb
http://www.meadowparty.com/blog/?p=160
Also, last time I checked, Colorado is still in the NL.
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