Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Unloading Carlos Zambrano

I would say the Cubs have no chance of unloading combustible righty Carlos Zambrano this offseason, but the Vernon Wells trade showed that even the game’s worst contracts can be moved.

Is Carlos Zambrano the most untradeable player in the majors?

YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 03:05 AM | 59 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: cubs

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:00 AM (#3902090)
Unfortunately Carlos Zambrano does not play centerfield and thus has no appeal to the Angels.
   2. Jeff R., P***y Mainlander Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:06 AM (#3902091)
I still haven't been able to mentally assimilate the Vernon Wells trade. It's just not possible. How can that contract be traded?
   3. Into the Void Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:12 AM (#3902095)
Ridiculous. As a Giants fan I would happily trade Rowand or Zito for Zambrano.
   4. akrasian Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:16 AM (#3902097)
With money thrown in, or a bad contract taken back, Zambrano is easily tradeable. While no longer an ace, he is still a solid or better starter. His contract runs one year. He's overpriced, and with what happened he won't fetch what he might have, but the Cubs will not have to eat his whole contract, and might get marginal value in return. Might I say - Carlos Lee?
   5. Horror Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:37 AM (#3902101)
Who has Scott Kazmir these days?
   6. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:52 AM (#3902105)
#1 - HA. But, Zambrano would be an upgrade offensively for this team - at many positions.

#2 - Not only is it impossible to believe that Reagins traded for that contract, but he traded value to GET that contract. Mike Napoli is just ripping the ball this year and would be so helpful on this team, this year.

#5 - Don't say Kazmir. Ever.
   7. Halofan Posted: August 17, 2011 at 06:08 AM (#3902107)
Wells for Zambrano.
   8. franklloyd Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:03 AM (#3902121)
The Cubs and Mariners should celebrate their outstandingly even Milton Bradley for Carlos Silva trade,
by swapping Carlos Zambrano for Chone Figgins!

Make it so!
   9. Walt Davis Posted: August 17, 2011 at 10:16 AM (#3902124)
What #8 said ... sorta. If Bradley's tradeable, Z is tradeable.

Magic 8 Ball says....

AJ Burnett
   10. Toothless Posted: August 17, 2011 at 11:03 AM (#3902127)
It's too early for this as he's still productive, but Ryan Howard's contract will be firmly in the "untradeable" category in a few years...
   11. Guapo Posted: August 17, 2011 at 11:51 AM (#3902131)
Zambrano for Adam Dunn.

Zambrano and Ozzie Guillen get along like peas in a pod and Z flourishes. Dunn returns to the NL and magically regains his mojo.

EDIT: Shoulda, coulda, didn't RTFA
   12. Joey B. has ignited his October #Natitude Posted: August 17, 2011 at 12:24 PM (#3902141)
While no longer an ace, he is still a solid or better starter.

Your standards for a solid starter are pretty low.
   13. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: August 17, 2011 at 12:56 PM (#3902148)
A contending team should take a chance on him. I don't have the numbers handy, but Zambrano seems to pitch lights out for weeks following his return from a meltdown.
   14. YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 01:04 PM (#3902153)
With money thrown in, or a bad contract taken back, Zambrano is easily tradeable. While no longer an ace, he is still a solid or better starter.


Not only is he no longer an ace, he's proven himself a dangerous ass. I wouldn't want a guy with his behavioral history anywhere near my clubhouse if I were a GM.
   15. ColonelTom Posted: August 17, 2011 at 01:08 PM (#3902156)
Magic 8 Ball says....

AJ Burnett

The article suggests Zambrano for Burnett and $15M. There's no way the Yankees pay that much for the privilege of this deal, as that would be essentially giving the Cubs Burnett for free in 2013. Without quite as much cash, it's intriguing. From FanGraphs:

xFIP last 3 years:
Burnett: 4.23, 4.49, 3.96
Zambrano: 4.27, 4.27, 4.12

SIERA last 3 years:
Burnett: 4.18, 4.37, 3.92
Zambrano: 4.25, 4.33, 4.31

Zambrano has 1 year, $18M left on his deal; Burnett has 2 years, $16.5M per. Cut the cash going to the Cubs in half to $7.5M, and trading headaches might make sense.

From Chicago's view, they will need to sign a free-agent pitcher in 2013 (or sooner) to replace Zambrano anyway. Burnett gives them a bird in the hand, and if the xFIP and SIERA numbers don't lie, he'll be better than most FA options available. They also drop $1.5M in salary next year by the swap, plus whatever cash they can extract from the Yankees in the deal. Put that together with some big expiring contracts - Ramirez ($14.6M), Pena ($10M), Grabow ($4.8M) - and that's $30.9M in salary off the books, most of which could go toward an Albert Pujols offer.

From the Yankees' view, they get rid of a guy who has become a piñata in the NY media, and get out from under a big contract for 2013, when their young arms should be ready to step in or be traded for a top veteran pitcher. That makes a big extension for Sabathia easier to stomach (pun intended). If NY needs more in the deal, they'd probably love to get a top lefty reliever. Sean Marshall ($3.1M in '12) might fit the bill and clear more salary for the Cubs, though the Cubs would hate to give him up.
   16. Curse of the Graffanino (dfan) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 01:35 PM (#3902178)
I bet the Patriots would take him.
   17. flournoy Posted: August 17, 2011 at 01:45 PM (#3902185)
A.J. Burnett isn't allowed to play for any organization that Al Leiter never did.
   18. YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 02:30 PM (#3902219)
I mistakenly thought Zambrano had two more years on his contract, not one - you'd think I'd RTFA properly before submitting it.

No way I'd trade Burnett for Zambrano, as awful as AJ has been he's not a jerkass who has alienated half the roster and he's been healthy. If Zambrano were just "generic 30 year-old pitcher" with the same statistical history, sure , you'd at least consider it, but he's Carlos Zambrano.
   19. Brian C Posted: August 17, 2011 at 02:41 PM (#3902243)
No way I'd trade Burnett for Zambrano, as awful as AJ has been he's not a jerkass who has alienated half the roster...

We don't know that this is true. A couple of quotes by players does not constitute "alienated half the roster." In fact, Soriano's apparently reached out to Zambrano since his critical comments the other day.

Don't treat media reports so credulously, especially those coming out of Chicago.
   20. Heinie Mantush (Krusty) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 02:48 PM (#3902252)

It's too early for this as he's still productive, but Ryan Howard's contract will be firmly in the "untradeable" category in a few years...


It's stuff like this that makes me hope that Ryan Howard is Willie Stargell reincarnate.
   21. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 02:57 PM (#3902261)
No way I'd trade Burnett for Zambrano, as awful as AJ has been he's not a jerkass who has alienated half the roster and he's been healthy. If Zambrano were just "generic 30 year-old pitcher" with the same statistical history, sure , you'd at least consider it, but he's Carlos Zambrano.

I'd do it straight up, just to be rid of the extra year, and clear room for the young pitchers after next year (or whenever Zambrano melts down.)

You tell Zambrano this is your last chance. If he blows up again you put him on the restricted list, refuse to pay him, and let him file his grievance.
   22. AROM Posted: August 17, 2011 at 03:06 PM (#3902268)
Wells for Zambrano.


I'd like that trade. Move Zambrano to left field, and his 318/348/500 bat would be a huge upgrade on Wells.
   23. Banta Posted: August 17, 2011 at 03:43 PM (#3902309)
A.J. Burnett isn't allowed to play for any organization that Al Leiter never did.

As a Mets fan, I'm now greatly concerned.

EDIT: Forgot for a second that the Mets had him in the minors. Hopefully the major league level isn't the requirement for this.
   24. you got a STEAGLES? you're gonna need a STEAGLES. Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:02 PM (#3902331)
It's too early for this as he's still productive, but Ryan Howard's contract will be firmly in the "untradeable" category in a few years...
if he ever gets to be so bad that they'd consider trading him, i agree, that would be an untradeable contract.


on the other hand, i think his problems are mechanical as opposed to physical or mental, so i'm optimistic that the contract will just be a significant overpay, as opposed to an untradeable albatross.
   25. DCW3 Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:34 PM (#3902358)
Is Carlos Zambrano the most untradeable player in the majors?

A-Rod.
   26. Horror Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:41 PM (#3902366)
Is there anyone other than the Yankees who would take Jeter and his contract, realistically?
   27. bunyon Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:45 PM (#3902371)
I'd love to see the comments below a blog entry about how untradeable Jeter is.

The answer is, no, I can't imagine anyone taking him. But he never occured to me.
   28. Swedish Chef Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:45 PM (#3902372)
Is there anyone other than the Yankees who would take Jeter and his contract, realistically?

No, but there's only 35 million or so on that after this season.

I would take that over A-Rod, Howard, Dunn or Werth any day. If he can still play a little like he has in the last few weeks, even better.
   29. PreservedFish Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:48 PM (#3902374)
Jeter's leadership ability would be valued at many millions of dollars by a lot of teams.
   30. SouthSideRyan Posted: August 17, 2011 at 04:57 PM (#3902385)
Zambrano's not even the most untradable guy on his own team.
   31. ColonelTom Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:08 PM (#3902395)
Nope, and it's not even close. Soriano has 3 more years at $18M per year. A Figgins/Soriano deal might make sense for both clubs, but would still require the Cubs to eat $37M over 3 years to make it salary-neutral for Seattle.

Don't look now, but Jeter's hitting .326/.380/.458 since returning from injury in the beginning of July.
   32. YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:17 PM (#3902402)
We don't know that this is true. A couple of quotes by players does not constitute "alienated half the roster."


Well we know Zambrano has physically fought with teammates, got himself suspended again in 2010 for screaming profanity at teammates and members of the media, and of course the most recent incident where he quits on the team. I wouldn't want to have anything to do with him, but you know what they say - every town has a drunk and a woman who thinks she can change him.
   33. Slivers of Maranville (SdeB) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:34 PM (#3902419)

Well we know Zambrano has physically fought with teammates,


None of whom are presently on the team. And Michael Barrett was a bit of an ass, himself.
   34. SoSH U at work Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:37 PM (#3902422)
Zambrano's not even the most untradable guy on his own team.


He is the most untradable Carlos, though if Silva hadn't gotten the early-season pink slip, it might be a little closer.
   35. YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:42 PM (#3902425)
None of whom are presently on the team. And Michael Barrett was a bit of an ass, himself.


How much trouble has Barrett gotten into since leaving the Cubs? I vaguely remember he got into some shoving bouts with AJ Pierzynski during an interleague game but fighting with a guy on another team is different than fighting with your teammates, at least in my valuation.

I dunno, obviously my opinion is in a small minority here but Zambrano is the kind of player I'd think GMs would want to steer clear of given his history and temperament, even if he were playing for free.
   36. SouthSideRyan Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:44 PM (#3902428)
I thought Barrett was more of an idiot than an ass.
   37. SouthSideRyan Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:46 PM (#3902430)
A shove? How can you forget the greatest moment in the history of mankind?

Barrett's "shove"
   38. Dag Nabbit has the talking pillow Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:50 PM (#3902435)
How much trouble has Barrett gotten into since leaving the Cubs? I vaguely remember he got into some shoving bouts with AJ Pierzynski during an interleague game but fighting with a guy on another team is different than fighting with your teammates, at least in my valuation.

That happened with the Cubs. Not just a shoving match. Barrett was blocking the plate waiting for the throw when AJ came into score, knocking over Barrett in the process. So far, so normal - the sort of play that happens to catchers all the time.

But in this case Barrett seemed to think it wasn't normal. He grabbed AJ, muttered to AJ something like "Don't do that - I didn't have the ball" and punched him in the face. Cue bench-clearing brawl.

Barrett and Zambrano both reminded me a lot of each other when they were with the Cubs - and that was a feeling I had before their fight. Both seemed to get angry and lash out in counterproductive ways. (No, I can't think of any other Barrett examples). Barrett wasn't a bad guy by any means, but his emotions hurt him sometimes.
   39. SoSH U at work Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:50 PM (#3902438)
How much trouble has Barrett gotten into since leaving the Cubs?


Well, he's had very little opportunity for baseball-related trouble since leaving the Cubs.
   40. The Long Arm of Rudy Law Posted: August 17, 2011 at 05:55 PM (#3902446)
But in this case Barrett seemed to think it wasn't normal. He grabbed AJ, muttered to AJ something like "Don't do that - I didn't have the ball" and punched him in the face. Cue bench-clearing brawl.


"I didn't have the ball, #####."

That last word rhymes with pitch.
   41. McCoy Posted: August 17, 2011 at 06:00 PM (#3902455)
Jeter's leadership ability would be valued at many millions of dollars by a lot of teams.

If Pete Rose could find a home then so could Jeter.
   42. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: August 17, 2011 at 06:02 PM (#3902458)
Wells for Zambrano.
I'd like that trade. Move Zambrano to left field, and his 318/348/500 bat would be a huge upgrade on Wells.


from Wells bbref page:

2011 32 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim $23,000,000 Player may opt out after 2011 season $5M paid by Toronto Blue Jays
2012 33 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim $21,000,000 Player may opt out after 2011 season
2013 34 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim $21,000,000 Player may opt out after 2011 season
2014 35 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim $21,000,000 Player may opt out after 2011 season


If Wells opted out, his agent would likely get the opt out voided on the grounds of mental incompetency.

104
129
85
122
86
125
69

hey he's due for a good year next year.
Given his pattern you can't really bet against him hitting for a 120 next year (and he'd still be wildly overpaid), but then again he'll be 33 and he has a career OPS+ of 106, and these odd/even year patterns tend to be just random flukes- he'll basically be a career 106 OPS+ hitter heading into his age 33 season- so what does that project to? A 100 OPS+ out of a corner OF getting paid $20m plus?

I know what the Jays were thinking when they signed that deal, that he was their cornerstone player and that his up years reflected his true talent level and his down- well he just had bad years... the contarct wa sbad, their reasoning was wishcasting - the Angels had no such excuse.
   43. Bob Evans Posted: August 17, 2011 at 06:09 PM (#3902470)
Might I say - Carlos Lee?

If Z is frustrated playing with the Cubs, I can't imagine the Astros will lighten his mood.

I bet the Patriots would take him.

University of Miami!
   44. haven Posted: August 17, 2011 at 07:33 PM (#3902562)
University of Miami!

I'm sure they can find a booster to pay his full salary.
   45. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:00 PM (#3902597)
the Angels had no such excuse.


No kidding. AND they gave up their second-best hitter too! Ugh. That trade is going down as historically awful.
   46. AROM Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:08 PM (#3902605)
No kidding. AND they gave up their second-best hitter too! Ugh. That trade is going down as historically awful.


I'm scratching my head trying to think of the hitter left on the Angels better than Napoli. Who did you mean?
   47. JJ1986 Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:13 PM (#3902613)
I'm scratching my head trying to think of the hitter left on the Angels better than Napoli. Who did you mean?


Tyler Chatwood is hitting .667.
   48. Horror Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:18 PM (#3902623)
I think he meant he (Napoli) was their second best hitter in 2010. Abreu was maybe marginally better. That he would then go on to have a terrific 2011 makes it even worse.

Although it does suck that AA flipped him for Frank Francisco. WTF was that about?
   49. Eraser-X is emphatically dominating teh site!!! Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:36 PM (#3902642)
Well we know Zambrano has physically fought with teammates, got himself suspended again in 2010 for screaming profanity at teammates and members of the media, and of course the most recent incident where he quits on the team. I wouldn't want to have anything to do with him, but you know what they say - every town has a drunk and a woman who thinks she can change him.


This is really whiny. I mean, profanity? Quitting on the team when he's not in the game? Getting in a shoving match with a known face puncher?

BFD. And the "if he was a generic 30 year-old pitcher with the same stats..." arguments. If that were true, he'd be a generic HoVG pitcher, of course you'd want him. Even single franchise in MLB would want him.
   50. Rowland Office Supplies Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:45 PM (#3902654)
"I didn't have the ball, #####."

That last word rhymes with pitch.


He Pinkmanned him.
   51. YR Misses Reggie Bars Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:47 PM (#3902658)
This is really whiny. I mean, profanity?


There's lots of profanity in baseball, but it's fairly unusual for a player to be suspended for it. Were the Cubs running a nunnery?
   52. Horror Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:57 PM (#3902667)
"quitting on the team" = announcing retirement, not going into the locker room.
   53. Jeff R., P***y Mainlander Posted: August 17, 2011 at 09:05 PM (#3902674)
A shove? How can you forget the greatest moment in the history of mankind?

Barrett's "shove"


I think I just found my new desktop wallpaper.
   54. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: August 17, 2011 at 09:17 PM (#3902684)
I think he meant he (Napoli) was their second best hitter in 2010.


Yeah, I figured that Hunter or Abreu were better in 2010 than Napoli. I didn't look up the numbers but Napoli wasn't a world beater last year - 2nd worst of his career after 2007 according to OPS+. I figured someone had to be better.

[looks up 2010 numbers]

Actually Hunter was better, but so was Hidecki Matsui! Completely forgot he was on the team last year! Abreu was a little better, but that was negligible. Using 2011 numbers, Napoli would be the best on the team - by .200 points of OPS. Ugh.
   55. you got a STEAGLES? you're gonna need a STEAGLES. Posted: August 17, 2011 at 09:47 PM (#3902704)
Actually Hunter was better, but so was Hidecki Matsui! Completely forgot he was on the team last year! Abreu was a little better, but that was negligible. Using 2011 numbers, Napoli would be the best on the team - by .200 points of OPS. Ugh.
napoli has 20 batting runs, mathis has -17. and that napoli is doing what he is for the team that's 6 games up on LA in the AL west just makes it all the more entertaining.
   56. A triple short of the cycle Posted: August 17, 2011 at 10:06 PM (#3902716)
"I didn't have the ball, #####."

I think a correct reply would have been, "Then get out of the ####### baseline."
   57. Brian C Posted: August 17, 2011 at 11:07 PM (#3902741)
Well we know Zambrano has physically fought with teammates, got himself suspended again in 2010 for screaming profanity at teammates

You know, just for the record, he was yelling to himself, not at anyone in particular, until Derrek Lee started yelling profanity (you could clearly read Lee's lips, he said to "shut the #### up") from the other end of the dugout. And Lee was generally regarded as a fine upstanding team leader even after that incident.

So, I'm not impressed with the charges against him there. Odd behavior, yes. Worse than the media-appointed team leader's? Not really. Two to tango, as they say. And either way, a recitation of his past incidents is no way to demonstrate that he's alienated half the team.
   58. Benji Posted: August 18, 2011 at 05:31 AM (#3902883)
Jason Bay is the worst contract albatross IMHO. Zambrano has moments at least. And he's a better hitter now.
   59. Gern Blanston Posted: August 18, 2011 at 05:51 AM (#3902889)
Is Carlos Zambrano the most untradeable player in the majors?

He's not even the most untradeable player on the Cubs.

EDIT: Cokes to all those so entitled.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Demarini, Easton and TPX Baseball Bats

 

 

 

AllianceTickets.com has cheap MLB Tickets. Get all your Colorado Rockies Tickets, Seattle Mariners Tickets, San Francisco Giants Tickets and all your favorite baseball tickets here. We also carry cheap Denver Broncos Tickets, Seattle Seahawks Tickets and Denver Nuggets Tickets.

For wholesale prices on baseball gifts and equipment, check these stores out!

Baseball Autograph Signings
Baseball Card Supplies
Baseball Memorabilia
Baseball Collectibles
Baseball Equipment
Baseball Protective Gear

Page rendered in 0.3233 seconds
54 querie(s) executed