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Monday, May 14, 2018

Wainwright likely headed back to DL after difficult start, loss to San Diego

From the beginning, it was clear that Wainwright did not have his best feel for pitches or the velocity expected.

After the game he said he lacked “snap.”

His fastball hovered below 90 mph, and there were times he had a cutter at 84 mph or 82 mph. His changeup, which usually would be in that range, slipped into the 70s mph. He was able to get outs with his curveball and find a way through two scoreless innings. In the third, a single with the bases loaded produced the Padres’ first run and the end of Wainwright’s start.

“I didn’t have much,” Wainwright said. He added that another turn to the DL and another look at the elbow would give him a chance to determine what’s next and that he still intends “to be a force” at some point this season.

Los Angeles El Hombre of Anaheim Posted: May 14, 2018 at 03:19 AM | 5 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: adam wainwright, cardinals, disabled list

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   1. The Duke Posted: May 14, 2018 at 08:18 AM (#5671703)
The cardinals have an epidemic of older players collapsing this season with Wainwright, Fowler and Carpenter all looking like they are done. Post-steroids, I can see what no one wants to bet on players in their 30s.

Plus the cardinal pixie dust has not worked on Ozuna and they have a terrible defensive first baseman. It’s not a good look. If Tommy Pham gets hurt this team is toast.
   2. Spahn Insane Posted: May 14, 2018 at 10:17 AM (#5671735)
they have a terrible defensive first baseman

Martinez has looked pretty bad just to the naked eye, so I looked it up. -0.7 dWAR already. Yeah, a first baseman on pace to put up almost 3 negative wins on defense seems...poor.

Looking up further: Dr. Strangeglove's own career worst was -2.3. Pedro Alvarez, who I've always thought was the worst defensive first baseman I've seen (dude has trouble catching routine throws), bottomed out at -2.2. (In fairness to Pedro, his declining platoon-only bat saved him from even worse cumulative defensive numbers once he was no longer a passable everyday bat. If he were still getting 500 PAs a year [and playing in the NL], I'd like his chances of putting up some 3+ negative dWAR seasons.)

So yeah. Martinez appears to be legitimately awful out there.
   3. salvomania Posted: May 14, 2018 at 01:39 PM (#5671957)
So yeah. Martinez appears to be legitimately awful out there.

You know who you'd think would have been bad, but who actually played a pretty good first base was Matt Adams.
   4. salvomania Posted: May 14, 2018 at 01:56 PM (#5671985)
Plus the cardinal pixie dust has not worked on Ozuna and they have a terrible defensive first baseman. It’s not a good look. If Tommy Pham gets hurt this team is toast.

Half the Cardinals' 8 position starters---all reasonably expected to be significant offensive contributors based on their 2017s---have been terrible through the first almost-quarter of 2018.

player/2018 OPS/decline from 2017
Fowler: .541 (-.310)
Ozuna: .658 (-.262)
Carpenter: .576 (-.259)
Wong: .591 (-.197)

I expect all four to play better going forward; I mean, how long can Fowler have a BABIP of .150? Despite his horrid start he's on pace to hit 20 homers and walk 100 times, his hard-hit pct. is better than his career average, and he's severely underperforming his expected wOBA.
   5. salvomania Posted: May 14, 2018 at 02:05 PM (#5671991)
Carpenter is a head-scratcher; every year he seems to be a slightly (or not-so-slightly) different version of himself while providing similar performance, going from a guy who hit .318 with an .873 OPS (but just 11 homers) in 2013 to a guy who .272 with an .871 OPS (but 28 homers) in 2015 to a guy who hit just .241 but still an .835 OPS (and 109 walks) in 2017.

He's still walking at an elite level (on pace for more than 100), his hard-hit pct is better than his career average, and his expected wOBA is .382 (actual .263), and his BABIP is .183. I expect he'll improve as well.

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