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1. Joey B. has ignited his October #Natitude Posted: April 17, 2012 at 11:59 PM (#4109354)And "K Street" is a great nickname for the staff. Fun team they've got in D.C. this season.
Finally, Gio Gonzalez and Edwin Jackson are making one hell of an impression thus far. Gonzalez has the added virtue of being almost ridiculously likable.
Damn it feels good to be a fan of this team. My reward for suffering through those awful "Natinals" years.
QFT.
Runner on third, medium-shallow fly to center... yeah, let's just hope the next guy gets a hit.
For once I'm wearing my red curly W baseball cap around not as an ostentatious joke, but with pride. How long will it last?
Please don't wake me, don't shake me now if it's only...if it's only just a dream.
And you wonder how he was unable to throw to home plate from 60 feet, 6 inches, a decade ago.
The playoff teams currently are
AL East - Toronto 108 wins
AL Central - Detroit 111 wins
AL West - Texas 137 wins (mostly thanks to the 18-2 win today)
Wild Card 1 - Baltimore 93 wins
Wild Card 2 - New York 91 wins
NL East - Washington 114 wins
NL Central - St. Louis 120 wins
NL West - Los Angeles 110 wins
Wild Card 1 - Arizona 98 wins
Wild Card 2 - Philadelphia 85 wins
It's obviously a very rudimentary system, but by about three weeks in its usually spitting out fairly reasonable win totals (if not necessarily correct on which teams will end up winning that amount).
I think we'd all like to see Ankiel do what makes him the happiest, but selfishly as a baseball fan, I really don't want to watch him suffer through the same issues that almost cost him his career. This American Life had a segment with Steve Blass this week in which a sports psychiatrist talked about how Blass Disease is often caused by overthinking. That rings true when you watch that throw Ankiel made - he didn't have time to worry about his mechanics, he just had to wing it in there. Having 20-30 seconds between pitches to stand there and think might be the worst thing in the world for him.
My take is that it hasn't hit the average person yet, though I think actual sports fans (locally-raised fans and those from other cities) are paying a little more attention. Strasburg went Monday night, for instance, and the attendance was under 17,000. So they haven't yet reached the point where they can draw against bad teams during the week.
This.
Really, how can an alleged sabremetric site base power rankings off a 10-game sample?
Isn't the "best" approach to revise your projectiosn model every 10 or 20 games (based on the new data), sim the remainder of the season, and add the projected records to actual records to date?
A rolling sample of team performance includes a lot of guys that are on different teams now (e.g. Mil. should not be getting "power" credit for what Fielder did last year.
That's true but that's already being done at baseball prospectus and coolstandings. I think SI is trying to do something different. Its also true that many players have turned over but the rolling 6 months sample is still more meaningful than this.
So Ankiel needs to learn Zen, then?
Monday night games in April are generally going to draw poorly. On the same night, the White Sox drew 13,732, the Diamondbacks drew 17,366, the Royals drew 14,039, the Braves drew 16,161. Some of those teams were even good last year.
There's definitely potential here.
The small sample size is a problem now, but as the season progresses, it will become increasingly apparent that FanGraphs' WAR has only a nodding acquaintance with actual wins.
Yes, their pitching WAR is a joke.
This is basically just a component runs power ranking, with some regression of batted ball data on defense. It's not much different from the W2% or W3% at BPro. I don't think that Fangraphs WAR, used for a whole team, will be notably worse at predicting team quality than the various other component runs metrics out there.
/Glad baseball fans in my old hometown have something to cheer about - when Senators II left it was very sad for my 10 year old self.
-------------------------------------------------------
Are DC fans excited about the Nats yet? I lived there when they moved to DC and it was all Redskins, all the time. With the Caps success, and the Nats having exciting players like Stras and Harper, has that put the Nats on the map in DC yet?
Attendance hasn't yet reflected the quality of the team, but it'll get there if the Nats keep going the way they have been. My Nats fan friends are all excited, and I'm even thinking of making the long trek down there myself. What we all want to see, of course, is a Yanks - Nats World Series.
And for the first time in my memory, the Post is actually starting to give prominent play to the Nats on a regular basis** instead of focusing almost exclusively on the Caps' playoff games and the Redskins' strategy for the upcoming draft.
**Nice front page Sports section story today on the velocity ratings of the starting rotation---tops in baseball
Just bought some tickets for tomorrow's game against the Astros. Ended up costing me $29.45 for a ticket that would cost me $71 if I bought it from the Nationals. Not crazy about the over $10 in fees that end up jacking up tickets significantly but hopefully it will be a good game. i'll be just to the right of home plate (to the left if you are viewing it from the pitcher's mound) and up one section.
The fact that all of them are eventually diagnosed with compromised UCLs is a coincidence, I'm sure.
They all seem super-excited about this year's team, but they've always gone to lots of games.
Also, that A's rating is too low. They beat the Angels decisively last night! I demand a recount! Josh Reddick!
The main reasons I haven't done so yet are DC traffic (Which is horrific in the weekday pregame hrs)and the cost(Because the O's are so terrible I can usually snag free or super cheap tix for anything other than Yanks/Sox games).
But this team looks to be worth a gander...plus I know this gal who lives in the new buildings right next to the stadium...
I noticed this too - I forget if it was Saturday or Sunday, but it was the Nats rather than the Caps who got the big shot across the top of A1.
The main reasons I haven't done so yet are DC traffic (Which is horrific in the weekday pregame hrs)
Drive to Greenbelt and take the Metro - in my experience they do a pretty good job of getting people in and out.
And eat before you go or bring your own food - my wife had to wait in the hot dog line for three innings on Saturday.
Edit: Coke to TerpNats
There is a Metro problem for those returning home looking to transfer from the Green to the Red/Orange/Blue/Yellow. At 10pm or later you can expect up to a 15-minute wait at Gallery Place or L'Enfant Plaza. On a weeknight that is a real inconvenience.
Agreed - my closest stop is Takoma, but I usually park at Fort Totten to avoid having to transfer. If you can do it from the green line though, like toratoratora can, it beats the hell out of driving all the way in.
I don't know for sure which station TerpNats was referring to (I gave up listening to DC area sportstalk about the time Ken Beatrice retired), but I would guess it could be the station owned by Redskins owner Dan Snyder.
Thanks to the miracle of deregulation, Dan Snyder now owns ALL of the local DC sports talk stations.
I wish there were more reasonable parking options. There are some $10 lots ~5 blocks or so away, but everything closer is $20 and up, which is ridiculous. In the zeal to cater to the NIMBYs they've taken away basically all street parking, even in parts of the zone that're nothing but empty lots and warehouses. I'll usually park near Capitol South (there are a few 2-hour parking zones that stop enforcement at 8:30) and hoof it from there. It's like a 20-minute walk, which isn't bad if I'm by myself or a friend... but I can't imagine trying to bring a family there.
Of all the alternatives they examined, this is one of the least convenient locations for a lot of their fans.
What about green to L'Enfant, and then yellow from there to VA?
This team is really fun. It is possible that this will be the year I finally switch my "offical fandom" from the A's to the Nats. It's been coming for awhile, and the A's aren't really putting up much of a fight.
You can just pretend that your fandom was included in the Gio trade.
I live smack dab in the heart of B-more so driving to Silver Spring or Ft. Totten on a weekday around 5 or 6 at night is a nightmare. A 30 or so mile drive can easily take 2 hrs.
Really the best bet for me is to take the MARC to DC, then hop a Metro. I know they have a stop by the stadium and the neighborhood is changing (A few years back I would have never gotten off at that stop at late night). It may take a bit longer coming home but the tradeoff is worth it.
Edited to add that of course, I could leave way early, go to the Mall,check out the Freer, make a day of it, have dinner in G-town(1789 anyone?), then roll to the game....which sounds like a better plan.
Plus I can park at my friends place, which makes life smooth
Don't feel bad. After a lifetime of quasi following the Pirates I'm thinking of switching allegiances and making the Nats my NL team.It would be nice to root for one local team.
There's only one way to find out.
Power Rankings of Dumb Things, 4.5 Billion B.C.-Present:
1. Sox dump Babe Ruth, launch Evil Inc.
2. Spiderman on the Bases
3. The Holocaust
4. Bo Schembechler pushing out Ernie Harwell
5. Power Rankings
6. A Box of Rocks
7. Tommy Lasorda
8. Interleague Play
9. 10 Dogs (whaddya know, jmac was right).
10. Scientology
11. 6org (to tie it back to the original thread).
12. New Coke
So, not all-time, but dumbest thing currently in existence.
I also park approximately 20 minutes away -- near the Capitol Police HQ -- but enforcement ends there at 6.30.
EDIT: Keep that between us, ok?
[53] Yeah, brain cramp. Maybe I shouldn't have downed that 5th claritin.
I think that was true two years ago but who knows now? I really like parking closer to the Capitol, even with the 15-20 minute walk and putting up with the Fascist/Bolshevik crossing guard at the intersection of M and South Cap. By the time I get to my car I have walked off one of the two Stellas I consumed and the traffic has pretty much dissipated.
That sucks. Good luck with the appeal. I got a $15 ticket last August for not completely scrubbing off my expired DC registration sticker even though the old one would not even partially come off without the repeated use of a razor blade and bucket of warm water. Needless to say, my protest went nowhere.
*throws chair*
Plus I can park at my friends place, which makes life smooth
Wouldn't that be something like a 4pm dinner then? Or even something like a 3pm dinner depending on what you get and when you go.
Things sure have changed in DC. Back in the early 80's my best friend had a decrepit Dodge Dart that couldn't have passed the annual inspection without a bribe way beyond his limited means. So first he placed a strategic leaf over the expired sticker, and after he started thinking that that particular ruse had passed its pull date, he then scraped the old sticker off (very carefully), artfully changed the year of expiration with a flair pen, then took it to one of those fancy color copying centers and made himself a very workable facsimile.
But the best part was when after about a year he finally got caught. On the space on his ticket where the DOT cop marked the nature of his violation, he simply wrote "FICTITIOUS INSPECTION STICKER". My friend said that the literary effort on the part of the DOT was almost worth the price of the ticket, and I couldn't really argue the point.
When he retires, he's going to have quite a greatest hits video. I still love the first of these two the best.
Maison Blanche used to do a spectacular prix fixee "pre-theater" meal starting 4pm. It was the only way I could ever afford it, let alone bring a date.
I agree with you, because the runner was safe in the second one
k i've seen that before. It looks like washingtons vaunted era is going to take a massive hit tonight.
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