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Wednesday, November 04, 2009

What the elections mean for the Rays

Bill Foster wasn’t the only winner in Tuesday’s election in St. Petersburg.  The Tampa Bay Rays, eager to get out of downtown because they say it’s too far from the center of the area’s population, were probably celebrating like they had won a title too.

pransky Posted: November 04, 2009 at 04:47 AM | 688 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: rays

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   601. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:33 PM (#3381359)
I think it is, although that's not a fair and complete description of what is being proposed.


You're wrong. As for the angry old people going off on "keeping government out of my Medicare," I'd prefer to keep the conversation out of those levels of crazy.
   602. Shalimar Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:34 PM (#3381362)
It's just hiding in the closet, waiting to come out once it gets dark.

Barney Frank and others have admitted such.


It's best not to associate Barney Frank and closets in the same thought process. No telling how many secret lovers might tumble out once you start combing the payroll and opening doors.
   603. zonk Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:35 PM (#3381364)
Unfortunately, it didn't.

It's just hiding in the closet, waiting to come out once it gets dark.

Barney Frank and others have admitted such.


With the best PO possible to be included in the current bill?

Maybe in 50-60-70 years.

None of us will be alive to see it - and yeah, yeah, go ahead with the snark :-)
   604. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:38 PM (#3381372)
You're saying more than 50% of Americans are not just liberal, but radical?


No, I'm saying that Obama's health care proposal is "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" - the language that Sam used. It's caused a great divide.
   605. zonk Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:42 PM (#3381377)
I would say -

My hope - and where I ultimately think US health insurance will head - is that basic coverage and catastrophic coverage (note - not care, but coverage of care) is nationalized.

Private/for-profit insurance handles the middle. Call it the Swiss/Japanese/Dutch model, whatever...

But you have mandated basic checkups, age/history appropriate tests, prenatal/neo-natal care covered on a zero profit basis. This happens via a mix of private plans (with Japanese style mandates and oversight) and a public plan. Catastrophic risk is nationally pooled - if you pull the unlucky card that has a gang of cells go apeshit, you're not in a position where the only option is to slide into poverty so you qualify for Medicaid/poor care.

The middle - hip replacements to knee scopes to experimental treatments - is where private insurers fight it out.
   606. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:46 PM (#3381384)
No, I'm saying that Obama's health care proposal is "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" - the language that Sam used. It's caused a great divide.


It's nothing remotely of the sort, it hasn't caused a great divide- but has illuminated that a "great divide" currently exists.
   607. Shalimar Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:47 PM (#3381385)
No, I'm saying that Obama's health care proposal is "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" - the language that Sam used.


What that means is that you aren't using language in the same way that a political scientist would. There is nothing earth-shattering or paradigm altering about the current healthcare debate. Applying those terms to every political proposal you disagree with just makes them useless to describe something truly radical.
   608. zonk Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:50 PM (#3381390)

No, I'm saying that Obama's health care proposal is "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" - the language that Sam used. It's caused a great divide.


I'd also say - it may be paradigm shifting, but I don't know that I'd call it earth-shattering... the basic idea of a national health coverage scheme isn't new - it's got a near 100 year history of being proposed and not enacted.

We've spent the better part of 30 years trying to go in the other direction -- Medicare Part C, HSAs, etc -- under the idea that if we just privatize more of it, market forces will drive down costs.

It just hasn't worked. Out-of-pocket costs and insurance rates have skyrocketed, as has our national expenditure (taken as private and public expenditures together) on health care.

The fundamental problem with insurance to cover health is that the usual system of efficient offerings putting inefficient offerings out of business doesn't work in this case.

Once/if you get sick enough that you NEED insurance - you cannot afford to shop around. You're stuck with what you got, and you're just praying that you don't lose what you DO have, whether it's working out well for you or not.
   609. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:52 PM (#3381393)
I'd also say - it may be paradigm shifting, but I don't know that I'd call it earth-shattering... the basic idea of a national health coverage scheme isn't new - it's got a near 100 year history of being proposed and not enacted.


I think this only helps make my point.

I didn't say it appeared out of thin air - I said many people don't want it.
   610. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:53 PM (#3381397)
Applying those terms to every political proposal you disagree with just makes them useless to describe something truly radical.


ditto.

Now, if Obama had decided to push for the UK's system
now that would be "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" -

if he had started out saying we should copy Canada's system- maybe....

the "plan" as it looks now, not so much, in fact it has actual lefties annoyed because it's not.

One thing I've noted about the current healthcare "debate" (though I don't think you can characterize a situation where people are shouting past each other as debate...)- both the left and right wing partisans say, and actually believe, that their position is the majority position.
   611. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:56 PM (#3381400)
No, I'm saying that Obama's health care proposal is "earth-shattering" and "paradigm altering" - the language that Sam used.


Extension of a program that currently exists - public option health insurance - to a second sub-set of the population can not be paradigm altering, by definition. If something similar is already in place - and whether you think the proposals improve or degrade the existing Medicare model you can't possibly believe that Medicare is not similar in scope and purpose to proposed health care reform options - then it is impossible to consider another like-minded program revolutionary.

There is absolutely *nothing* radical about the Democratic health reform proposals. Nothing at all. The Pelosi bill is more liberal than the Senate bill. Obama, if you pay attention to his positioning, actually seems to prefer the less liberal Senate option so far (because Obama is a center-left politician whereas Pelosi is much more of a traditional liberal.) The fact that a lot of uninformed seniors have joined forces with more economically radical (reactionary?) libertarians to vocally oppose a pretty run-of-the-mill proposal doesn't make the proposal itself less run-of-the-mill.
   612. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:58 PM (#3381402)
I said many people don't want it.


And most of those who don't want it, already have it (ie: Healthcare Insurance of one type or another).

Also many of those who "don't want it" are making false* arguments (either because they are lying or are being misled).

*Most BBTF Libertarians excepted, I disagree with their position on this issue, but they're not dishonest in their arguments.
   613. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:00 PM (#3381405)
Extension of a program that currently exists - public option health insurance - to a second sub-set of the population can not be paradigm altering, by definition.


You're not noting the consequences of such extension - what would happen to peoples' existing coverage, etc.

EDIT: People are most upset not because entitlements are being extended to another X million people, but because their own situation is going to change. If you can't understand this, I don't know what else to tell you.
   614. robinred Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:01 PM (#3381406)
both the left and right wing partisans say, and actually believe, that their position is the majority position.


That seems to be true. Frankly, I have no idea what the "majority position" on it really is.
   615. BarrettsHiddenBall Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:06 PM (#3381420)
When I lived in England in the 1980s many members of the Labour Party (who is in power now BTW) wanted to leave Nato and declare England neutral in the cold war.

When you lived in England in the 1980s, the Labour party couldn't get elected in large part because of such radical ideas. That's why they abandoned pretty much their whole platform and became New Labour. The party in power is centrist, fiercely committed to NATO/US alliances, and related to the original socialist party in virtually no meaningful way.
   616. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:07 PM (#3381422)
There is absolutely *nothing* radical about the Democratic health reform proposals. Nothing at all.

Unless your idea of "radical" is any bill that would tax someone to pay for anyone else's health care. Which pretty much defines the position of our resident libertarians. Hell, from their vantage point up there on Mt. Galt they see even Medicare as "radical," not to mention "theft," "slavery," etc.
   617. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:08 PM (#3381424)
You're not noting the consequences of such extension - what would happen to peoples' existing coverage, etc.


Please enlighten me?
   618. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:08 PM (#3381426)
Frankly, I have no idea what the "majority position" on it really is.


I don't think there is one.
   619. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:10 PM (#3381430)
Hell, from their vantage point up there on Mt. Galt they see Medicare as "radical."


I don't think they see it as "radical", they see it as "wrong"

Most libertarians freely acknowledge that their beliefs and wants are radical compared to society at large.
   620. BarrettsHiddenBall Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:16 PM (#3381447)
Just a meaningless semantic footnote, but it's kinda funny how conservatives have spent the past 30 years tearing down existing programs and structures to create a radically new society, whereas liberals have been trying to conserve what's left of the New Deal.
   621. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:17 PM (#3381452)
Most libertarians freely acknowledge that their beliefs and wants are radical compared to society at large.

Being as how for the vast span of human history the idea of taxing for social services was unheard of, I'd say that "radical reactionary" would be a more precise term. But I have to admit that the more honest libertarians would proudly claim that description as well.

Of course since all these terms are relative, the real argument is about how one defines what the starting point of "normality" is. Is it the United States of the 21st century, the United States of 1787, or the United States of the Hoover administration?
   622. robinred Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:18 PM (#3381453)
radically new society


Well, a lot of them want to go back to how things were before FDR in many respects, so it wouldn't really be "new."
   623. Shalimar Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:19 PM (#3381454)
Ray, please answer this: If everything Obama and Democrats are proposing on healthcare is radical, then what kind of change would be the liberal position? Is there one?
   624. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:23 PM (#3381463)
Unless your idea of "radical" is any bill that would tax someone to pay for anyone else's health care. Which pretty much defines the position of our resident libertarians. Hell, from their vantage point up there on Mt. Galt they see even Medicare as "radical," not to mention "theft," "slavery," etc.


Right, but we've defined our terms ahead of time here, remember. A radical wants to significantly change society from how it currently operates, often via violent revolution. A liberal wants perceptible change - "progress" or "progressive reform" within the constraints of the current system. A conservative is skeptical of change, Buckley's aphoristic man "standing athwart history yelling stop." A reactionary wants to "put the genie back in the bottle" in some sense of another.

The status quo for the United States in 2009 is public sector health insurance provided so certain citizens based on criteria for inclusion (age), paid for by reciept from the common treasury. The current proposals look to provide that same sort of service for more citizens based on another criteria (need.)

The libertarian mindset you reference is either radical (if not violently so) in that it is an attempt to vault society forward to a Galtian paradise, or reactionary in that it wants to return to a sort of pre-FDR Eden where "creeping socialism" hadn't been introduced to the grand American continent. I honestly don't know which is the kinder or more precise description to use.
   625. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:26 PM (#3381468)
That writeup of the latest Tea Party event in DC yesterday was kind of sublime. I wonder what the reaction from Jon Voight and his friends would have been if those government emergency medical crews had demanded cash up front for their services:

But, as with a similar rally by Democrats a week before, unpredictable things tend to happen in the wide-open spaces of the Capitol's West Front. Minutes into the rally, a breeze toppled the American flag from the stage.

More ominously, a man standing just beyond the TV cameras apparently suffered a heart attack 20 minutes after event began. Medical personnel from the Capitol physician's office -- an entity that could, quite accurately, be labeled government-run health care -- rushed over, attaching electrodes to his chest and giving him oxygen and an IV drip.

This turned into an unwanted visual for the speakers, as a D.C. ambulance and firetruck, lights flashing, pulled in just behind the lawmakers. A path was made through the media section, and the patient, attended to by about 10 government medical personnel, was being wheeled away on a stretcher just as House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) stepped to the microphone. "Join us in defeating Pelosi care!" he exhorted. A few members stole a glance at the stretcher. Boehner may have been distracted as well. He told the crowd he would read from the Constitution, then read the "we hold these truths" bit from the Declaration of Independence.

As you'd expect at a political protest, the messages on signs and buttons were provocative: "Waterboard Congress," "A Commie Is in the House."

But this protest was unusual because it was an official House GOP event, and because some of the remarks on the stage were as outrageous as those in the crowd. The actor Jon Voight, standing with the lawmakers, said of Obama: "Could it be he has had 20 years of subconscious programming by Reverend Wright to damn America?"

Even the Rev. Stephen Broden, at the microphone to deliver the closing prayer, fumed about "death panels inside this death care," adding: "It is tyranny! It is socialism!"

The lawmakers set the tone early, when Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) asked for the Pledge of Allegiance because "it drives the liberals crazy" to hear the "under God" part (his bravado was premature, for he left out the word "indivisible"). The tone continued to the end, when Rep. John Carter (R-Tex.) beckoned to the House office buildings and shouted, "Go get 'em!" Some took him literally: Ten people were arrested at a sit-in at Pelosi's office in the Cannon Building, where they were crumpling up the health-care bill one page at a time.

By the time it was over, medics had administered government-run health care to at least five people in the crowd who were stricken as they denounced government-run health care. But Bachmann overlooked this irony as she said farewell to her recruits.

"You," she said, "are the most beautiful sight any of us freedom fighters have seen for a long time."
   626. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:33 PM (#3381480)
The libertarian mindset you reference is either radical (if not violently so) in that it is an attempt to vault society forward to a Galtian paradise, or reactionary in that it wants to return to a sort of pre-FDR Eden where "creeping socialism" hadn't been introduced to the grand American continent. I honestly don't know which is the kinder or more precise description to use.

That's why I'd combine it into "radical reactionary," which is both precise and not unkind. The only question is how they divide within their ranks in terms of how far back in time (or how far up Mt. Galt) they want to go. Unless they're hiding in a cave, though, their form of protest seems to be pretty much of the traditional American sort, and the best way to answer them is simply to outvote them and let them scream themselves blue in the face for another four years. It's not as if we haven't seen these sort of people before, and when they get off their steeds they can sometimes be quite nice.
   627. Shalimar Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:36 PM (#3381485)
The libertarian mindset you reference is either radical (if not violently so) in that it is an attempt to vault society forward to a Galtian paradise, or reactionary in that it wants to return to a sort of pre-FDR Eden where "creeping socialism" hadn't been introduced to the grand American continent. I honestly don't know which is the kinder or more precise description to use.


Libertarians are neither. What they want is a world where government doesn't exist at all, and political science isn't necessary in that fantasy world.
   628. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:45 PM (#3381492)
Libertarians are neither. What they want is a world where government doesn't exist at all, and political science isn't necessary in that fantasy world.


I am attempting to engage said fairy minded dreamers in good faith, so I'm trying to find a way of not talking past one another.

Except for Kneepants, of course.
   629. JPWF13 Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:46 PM (#3381493)
I have to believe that some Dem operatives are filming these various tea party events, culling out the wingnuttier images and commentary, and planning on using it.

In fact, if I was a Dem operative (trust me I'm not), I'd create a pro-Bachman/Boehner flyer using it, and then mass mail that flyer (asking people to vote for Bachmann/Boehner whoever to help advance the Tea Party Freedom agenda)- to the most demographically liberal areas I can find.

If that doesn't get the "progressives" out to vote

nothing will.
   630. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:49 PM (#3381498)
How did this thread turn back into a reasonable discussion?
   631. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:55 PM (#3381504)
if I was a Dem operative (trust me I'm not), I'd create a pro-Bachman/Boehner flyer using it, and then mass mail that flyer (asking people to vote for Bachmann/Boehner whoever to help advance the Tea Party Freedom agenda)- to the most demographically liberal areas I can find.

Kind of the way that the Republicans (or I should say, more precisely, Hillary Clinton's primary supporters) used Jeremiah Wright videos, except that the Tea Party people are an far greater percentage of the GOP base than black nationalists were among Obama supporters. And the beautiful thing about the Tea Partiers is that they have absolutely no clue as to how their rhetoric comes across outside the friendly confines of the true believers. They give the term "useful idiots" an entire new meaning.
   632. Shalimar Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:58 PM (#3381507)
I am attempting to engage said fairy minded dreamers in good faith, so I'm trying to find a way of not talking past one another.


Good luck. You might as well try talking about angels with an atheist.
   633. Moneyball can't buy you love (Joey B.) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:03 AM (#3381523)
And as long as people like you control the Republican nominating process, I doubt if the Democrats will have much to worry about in 2012.

If I were a leftie, I'd spend less time playing the concern troll about the Republican party and more time desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days.

And I mean a real economic recovery, not this "jobless recovery" bullsh*te. An unemployment rate of 10.2 percent and rising is nobody's idea of an economic recovery.
   634. Answer Guy Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:05 AM (#3381526)
I wonder what the reaction from Jon Voight and his friends would have been if those government emergency medical crews had demanded cash up front for their services:


That would have been awesome.

Of course they omit "indivisible" from the Pledge; it might offend the neo-Confederates in the crowd.
   635. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:12 AM (#3381537)
If I were a leftie, I'd spend less time playing the concern troll about the Republican party and more time desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days.


It is true, if sadly ironic, that the last 28 years of Republican and psuedo-Republican economic dithering may have blown a hole into the economy so large that it effectively undermines the only administration in the last 30 years who might actually apply some corrective to the fundamental failures of said economy. If Reaganomics has exploded so thoroughly that it leads to the election of hyper-rabid Reaganistas who would tar the actual Reagan as a RINO, there would be a certain pathetic "Nero fiddling the fire" sort of justice at work, I suppose.
   636. JPWF13 Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:15 AM (#3381541)
If I were a leftie, I'd spend less time playing the concern troll about the Republican party and more time desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days.


Hey, I can't speak for others, but I'm even handed I think, I play concern troll for both the Elephants and the Donkeys.

Seriously, I don't doubt that concern trolls exist, but I've noted a tendency for the partisans of either party to insist that anyone who says they are on the same side as the partisan, but offer a different strategy or tactic, is really a concern troll.

It's basically a way to avoid debating the merits.
   637. Shalimar Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:29 AM (#3381551)
Seriously, I don't doubt that concern trolls exist, but I've noted a tendency for the partisans of either party to insist that anyone who says they are on the same side as the partisan, but offer a different strategy or tactic, is really a concern troll.


This was actually the cause of my first and biggest falling out with Daily Kos. It was the special election that Jean Schmidt won back in 2005, and there were some negative rumors floating around about Schmidt a few days before the election that most likely wouldn't have proved true but also wouldn't have time to be proved true or false before the election. Front-pagers like Armando were arguing that Republicans would use those rumors against her and spread them around, so Hackett supporters should too. All is fair in politics. I argued that we should hold ourselves to higher standards and not spread rumors that could turn out to be false. For which my comments were troll-rated.

It can be argued whether or not DKos has gotten more or less liberal over the years, but what can't be disputed is that their focus has always been on winning elections, at all costs.
   638. JPWF13 Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:31 AM (#3381556)
If I were a leftie, I'd spend less time playing the concern troll about the Republican party and more time desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days.


The lefties would like to see it start visibly/palpably recovering by about, oh, June/July 2010, but as long as it starts recovering before summer 2012 they'll be happy.

The possible paths I see based upon historical analogies:

1: Reagan Path: The recession costs Dems congressional seats in 2010, but recovery well under way by 2012 allows Obama to crush the Repub nominee in 2012 (whose campaign message is hijacked by wingnuts in much the same way that Mondale's in 1984 was by Jesse Jackson and the Fems)

2: Clinton Path: Healthcare fails, dems get tossed out on their ears, economy perks up, Obama triangulates, you know the drill.

3: Hoover: Recession is L shaped (we know now it's not Vee shaped, it's probably U shaped, but...), Dems get clobbered in 2010 and totally reamed in 2012, any Repub running who has a pulse wins.

Of course, something totally unexpected will happen to screw this all up, Aliens visit, Osama gets the bomb, we actually stumble into usable cold fusion energy and finally get to tell OPEC to fcuk off for good... The Protestant Evangelicals are right and the rapture occurs, the Shiite twelvers are right, the Mahdi comes and all us unbelievers get smited (except the unbelieving women who will apparently be sold off to the believers as concubines or something...)
   639. robinred Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:44 AM (#3381564)
Aliens visit, Osama gets the bomb, we actually stumble into usable cold fusion energy and finally get to tell OPEC to fcuk off for good... The Protestant Evangelicals are right and the rapture occurs, the Shiite twelvers are right, the Mahdi comes and all us unbelievers get smited


Which one do you see as most likely from this list, and how do they stack up in terms of likelihood to "Mets win the World Series?"
   640. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:47 AM (#3381568)
Front-pagers like Armando

Yeah, but he's a d*****-bag.

If I were a leftie, I'd spend less time playing the concern troll about the Republican party and more time desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days.

Is this from Joey? Call me crazy, but I almost sense that he's desperately hoping that the economy doesn't recover.
   641. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:48 AM (#3381569)
the Mahdi comes and all us unbelievers get smited

Don't worry, he came already, but Kitchener kicked his ass.
   642. Lassus Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:50 AM (#3381571)
Of course, something totally unexpected will happen to screw this all up, Aliens visit, Osama gets the bomb, we actually stumble into usable cold fusion energy and finally get to tell OPEC to fcuk off for good... The Protestant Evangelicals are right and the rapture occurs, the Shiite twelvers are right, the Mahdi comes and all us unbelievers get smited (except the unbelieving women who will apparently be sold off to the believers as concubines or something...)

I vote FTL drive.
   643. JPWF13 Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:55 AM (#3381575)
Which one do you see as most likely from this list, and how do they stack up in terms of likelihood to "Mets win the World Series?"


In order:
Osama gets the bomb
we actually stumble into usable cold fusion energy and finally get to tell OPEC to fcuk off for good...
gap
Aliens visit
The Protestant Evangelicals are right and the rapture occurs,
gap
Mets win the World Series
gap
the Shiite twelvers are right, the Mahdi comes and all us unbelievers get smited
   644. JPWF13 Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:58 AM (#3381577)
Is this from Joey? Call me crazy, but I almost sense that he's desperately hoping that the economy doesn't recover.


I don't know about our pal Joey, but some of the wingnut media whores (Rush/Coulter/Malkin) definitely give me the impression that's what they want to see happen.
   645. Steve Treder Posted: November 07, 2009 at 01:13 AM (#3381578)
some of the wingnut media whores (Rush/Coulter/Malkin) definitely give me the impression that's what they want to see happen

Impression? It's so vividly clear that it can be seen from space.
   646. robinred Posted: November 07, 2009 at 01:15 AM (#3381579)
It's so vividly clear that it can be seen from space.


Better move "Aliens visit" up your list, JPWF.
   647. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 01:15 AM (#3381581)
Impression? It's so vividly clear


Is there any other kind?

Other than crystal, I mean.
   648. zenbitz Posted: November 07, 2009 at 01:35 AM (#3381591)
Since Joey really wants something to rail against:

You want us to ignore the fact that a Muslim-American became radicalized, started to symapthize with the enemy during war, and instead of obeying his orders decided to turn coat and kill as many of his fellow American soldiers as he possibly could.


Hey, we're at war, right? What if the reverse occurred? An Al-Q operative in Afghanistan, undercover, became tainted by Western influences while fraternizing with American soldiers. So he turns coat and detonates himself during a local AQ get-together, killing and maiming dozens of America's top enemies.
   649. Sheer Tim Foli Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:06 AM (#3381607)
When you lived in England in the 1980s, the Labour party couldn't get elected in large part because of such radical ideas. That's why they abandoned pretty much their whole platform and became New Labour. The party in power is centrist, fiercely committed to NATO/US alliances, and related to the original socialist party in virtually no meaningful way.

Yes I didn't mean to suggest the radicals were in power. Until I read your post I didn't realize I might have been taken that way.

The point I was trying to make was that to some of us with real socialists in government the difference between the Dems and Repubs doesn't always seem to be as big as our American cousins view it.
   650. Sheer Tim Foli Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:15 AM (#3381608)
Using those baselines, today's Republican Party is hyper-conservative on social issues, bleeding into reactionary, while engaging a very liberal (I'd call it radical) "neoconservative" foriegn policy. Today's Dems are socially liberal with a conservative foreign policy (having coopted what used to be "realism") that still has elements of liberal interventionism. Libertarians tend to be socially liberal but economically radical. Their FP are all over the map.

Yes I think you have accurately explained why the old left/right paradigm doesn't really work.

Someone I recently read (I can't for the life of me remember who) used a cute though simplistic paradigm.
He said there were two important thinkers we are all arguing about: Darwin and Adam Smith.

Some people like Darwin and don't like Smith. Some people like Smith and don't like Darwin. Some like both. Some don't like both. That divides us into four groups rather than a one dimensional paradigm. It has a ton of weaknesses but it is a better approach than left/right.
   651. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:35 AM (#3381619)
That divides us into four groups rather than a one dimensional paradigm. It has a ton of weaknesses but it is a better approach than left/right.

I'd go even further.

You've four major "fissions" as I see it.

1) Traditional personal morality (largely sexual): this is the one where the conservative/liberal divide often works as intended.
2) Primarily market based economics vs. larger government sector/welfare state.
3) Nationalist vs. Internationalist. This encompasses a bunch of issues like trade, immigration, culture etc.
4) Activist foreign policy vs. quasi-isolationist.

That gives you 16 cells, which may not even be enough.
   652. Sheer Tim Foli Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:48 AM (#3381624)
Yes if we are going for accuracy the more cells the better. It can also get confusing quickly. Before you know it we all have Myers-Briggs codes for our political affiliation.
   653. Andere Richtingen Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:49 AM (#3381625)
I for one am having a good laugh listening to pretty much every news/newsish media venue try to read the tea leaves on this election with respect to the national temperature. It doesn't mean ####. The high-profile races everyone is discussing are quirky and nothing can be extrapolated from them.

Ignoring that, it's obvious that the Democratic leadership is in a bit of a jam and that there is a significant national sense of dissent with regard to the stimulus and health care. The Republicans have a horrible record over the last several years with regard to fiscal conservatism, and the tea baggers are not endearing themselves to the moderates who are currently questioning where the Democrats are taking the country. I think it's pretty clear that the Democrats are failing to sell their "plan" (if it can be called that) to the public. But all of that can change very quickly.
   654. Something Other Posted: November 07, 2009 at 03:38 AM (#3381644)
More accurately,

A conservative is skeptical of change, Buckley's aphoristic man "standing athwart history yelling stop, I've got mine!"
   655. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 12:42 PM (#3381791)
A conservative is skeptical of change, Buckley's aphoristic man "standing athwart history yelling stop, I've got mine!"


Yawn.
   656. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:50 PM (#3381820)
This would seem to fit Obama pretty well (except for the "by violent means," which is not a required condition since you said "often").

I mean, the health care thing is fairly described as "wanting to change society immediately."
The "health care thing"? It's not like all he wants to do is expand Medicaid. Obama came to office and wanted to take over the health care system, the banks, the auto companies, the energy industry...
   657. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:52 PM (#3381823)
We've spent the better part of 30 years trying to go in the other direction -- Medicare Part C, HSAs, etc -- under the idea that if we just privatize more of it, market forces will drive down costs.
I don't think "privatize" means what you think it means.
   658. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 03:02 PM (#3381826)
desperately hoping that the economy doesn't recover.

I don't know about our pal Joey, but some of the wingnut media whores (Rush/Coulter/Malkin) definitely give me the impression that's what they want to see happen.
Of course, those same "wingnut media whores" said the same thing about liberals wrt Iraq: desperately hoping that the U.S. loses.
   659. Swedish Chef Posted: November 07, 2009 at 03:22 PM (#3381831)
desperately hoping that the economy doesn't recover.

I don't know about our pal Joey, but some of the wingnut media whores (Rush/Coulter/Malkin) definitely give me the impression that's what they want to see happen.


A true believer (of whatever stripe) doesn't "hope" the economy doesn't recover, they "know" it wont recover under the evil policies of whoever is in charge.

(And if it would happen to recover, beyond what's possible to dismiss, it is despite and not due to Reagan, Clinton, Obama etc...)
   660. Los Angeles El Hombre of Anaheim Posted: November 07, 2009 at 04:58 PM (#3381865)
desperately hoping that the economy doesn't recover.

I don't know about our pal Joey, but some of the wingnut media whores (Rush/Coulter/Malkin) definitely give me the impression that's what they want to see happen."</i>

Of course, those same "wingnut media whores" said the same thing about liberals wrt Iraq: desperately hoping that the U.S. loses.
That's the point: those "wingnut media whores" don't care about the U.S. at all. They care about the politics.
   661. Ray (RDP) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 10:28 PM (#3382044)
The "health care thing"? It's not like all he wants to do is expand Medicaid. Obama came to office and wanted to take over the health care system, the banks, the auto companies, the energy industry...


Well, I was going to type the entire list, but I didn't think I'd be able to get through it without my fingers cramping up.
   662. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: November 08, 2009 at 05:10 AM (#3382165)
That's the point: those "wingnut media whores" don't care about the U.S. at all. They care about the politics.
I don't see how "that's the point" at all, since I was making the opposite point: that "those 'wingnut media whores'" make the same accusation about the people on the other side.
   663. Lassus Posted: November 08, 2009 at 05:34 AM (#3382169)
   664. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: November 08, 2009 at 05:34 AM (#3382170)
The "health care thing"? It's not like all he wants to do is expand Medicaid. Obama came to office and wanted to take over the health care system, the banks, the auto companies, the energy industry...


Well, I was going to type the entire list, but I didn't think I'd be able to get through it without my fingers cramping up.

So, Rush, is Obama going to turn us into the Soviet Union circa 1952, complete with Doctors' Plots, or is he going to ease off and settle for being merely an American Tito or Chavez?

ONLY 1,576,800 MINUTES LEFT TO SAVE YOUR COUNTRY---WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO ABOUT IT????
   665. JPWF13 Posted: November 09, 2009 at 04:22 PM (#3382880)
I don't see how "that's the point" at all, since I was making the opposite point: that "those 'wingnut media whores'" make the same accusation about the people on the other side.


That's our Dave, never missing an opportunity to miss a point.

Seriously, whether or not those wingnut media whores make the same argument regarding the lefties is pretty irrelevant- whether or not the lefties really want us to fail in Iraq/Afganistan is the point.

I have no doubt that some moonbats (especially in academia) want us to fail, and spectacularly, in Iraq and Afganistan. But no liberal or normal dems do (some may want to simply cut and run, but that's something else entirely).

Now the wingnut media whores I was discussing DO WANT this recession to be long and painful, simply because they believe it will harm Obama and the Dems, now if I was charitable I'd say they want that for the long term good of the country.
   666. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: November 09, 2009 at 04:43 PM (#3382899)
Of course the "wingnut media whores" make that accusation about the other side. It's simply projection -- they assume we root for the US to fail to further our partisan goals because they do the same. Joey's comment is perfectly consistent with the right's claims that the left is rooting for us to fail in Iraq and Afghanistan. By saying the left should spend more time "desperately hoping that the economy recovers one of these days," he framed the issue of economic recovery in purely partisan terms. It's not a real issue with real consequences, just a bludgeon to use in a political argument.
   667. zenbitz Posted: November 09, 2009 at 06:40 PM (#3383074)
I can confirm that *EXTREME* leftwing moonbats (I am talking ex-CP members and anarchists and the like, well to the left of DailyKos) are indeed happy at any failure by the establisment (to include wars in Iraq/Afganistan - whether waged by Bush or Obama).

But you are talking about a marginal minority (even in Berkely/San Francisco) that is dwarfed even by Libertarians.
   668. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 09, 2009 at 08:58 PM (#3383299)
The "health care thing"? It's not like all he wants to do is expand Medicaid. Obama came to office and wanted to take over the health care system, the banks, the auto companies, the energy industry...


You're so precious, little bird. An idiot, but precious none the less.
   669. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 09, 2009 at 09:05 PM (#3383306)
But you are talking about a marginal minority (even in Berkely/San Franciscothat is dwarfed even by Libertarians


Dude, anyone not striding from peak to peak across the Mountains of Galt are *totally* communist already. Don't think you're fooling anyone with this idea that there's some "real left" that's more socialist communist Stalinist murder 12 million by taking over GM and force relocating anyone on the death panels to DETROIT DEMONRATS!!
   670. He's Bought a Bat Like Prince Fielder Posted: November 10, 2009 at 05:58 AM (#3383793)
It all comes clear. Hutch is hoping that the new health plan will enable him to obtain his Thorazine with greater regularity.
   671. SugarBear Blanks Posted: November 10, 2009 at 10:39 PM (#3384324)
Way late to this party, but:

Maj. Hasan was raised and acculturated in the United States, joined the Army against the wishes of his parents, and was educated as a doctor. He had pledged an officer’s oath to serve faithfully and a doctor’s oath to do no harm. With every built-in advantage, we lost his heart and mind, failing to retain from him even the most rudimentary of fidelities.

That's the real story of his tragedy.

How can we possibly win hearts and minds in Iraq and Afghanistan if we can't even win the heart and mind of our own?

More broadly, isn't it obvious that something more profound is at work with what some call Islamic fanaticism? Religion alone, IMHO, is insufficient to explain what's going on. One must note that Maj. Hasan was a doctor and unable to find a girlfriend. Those with potential were dubbed, reports tell us, insufficiently chaste. There's an admixture of inhibition and desire at the very core of the psyches of many Muslim males, whereby the Freudian injunction against self-denial has mixed with the Mohammedian imperative to form men whose outlet lies in fanaticism. Women are tantalizingly available and at the same time profoundly unavailable. This is why the most fanatical aren't found in the mountains and backwoods, but in the straddlers of both civilizations -- in Hamburg, Palestine, Jersey City, Fort Hood. The long-term answer can't be anything other than our Muslim brothers liberating their women from the burka and the harem and letting them fully enter modernity. Sometimes the best explanations lie in our most primal instincts.
   672. JPWF13 Posted: November 10, 2009 at 11:15 PM (#3384357)
As insane as what SBB's post may seem, he has a point.

An article in Atlantic Monthly last year mentioned a similar phenomenon among devoutly religious muslim men in the UK, attractive women are all around in the west (attractive women are all around everywhere, but in the west you can actually walk down the street and see their faces, arms, legs...)

when you are constantly confronted with what you want but can't have, resentment builds (except apparently among dedicated libertarians who profess no covetous feelings towards the property of others whatsoever)- and make no mistake about it, many islamists HATE women- whenever Islamists have taken over an area some of the very FIRST things they do, is restrict the rights of women, women can't drive, go to school, go out in public unless accompanied by a male relative, can't work, get married off agisnt their will to men 3X their age.

What many men like the FT Hood shooter want is a world where woman are kept in place, a world where he doesn't have to impress or date women, but one where some GIRL is told that she has to marry him, where he can later divorce her at will, but she can't divorce him,
   673. robinred Posted: November 10, 2009 at 11:41 PM (#3384379)
As insane as what SBB's post may seem, he has a point.


Naw. His insane posts were in the other thread. ;- Seriously, interesting stuff, SBB.

I will digest it more fully once I stop celebrating the deaths of American soldiers with the other BTF Leftists.
   674. Moneyball can't buy you love (Joey B.) Posted: November 10, 2009 at 11:51 PM (#3384395)
How can we possibly win hearts and minds in Iraq and Afghanistan if we can't even win the hearts and minds of our own?

Our own Muslims or our own deranged leftists? It could apply equally well to either.
   675. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: November 10, 2009 at 11:54 PM (#3384405)
Naw. His insane posts were in the other thread. ;- Seriously, interesting stuff, SBB.

concur.
   676. BarrettsHiddenBall Posted: November 10, 2009 at 11:59 PM (#3384411)
The long-term answer can't be anything other than our Muslim brothers liberating their women from the burka and the harem and letting them fully enter modernity.

Yup. Assuming there's still a civilization around in 200 years, the Islamic womens lib/reformation that's currently bubbling up around the margins will be much more historically important than any of the wars-of-civilization we're fighting.
   677. JPWF13 Posted: November 11, 2009 at 12:31 AM (#3384449)
Our own Muslims or our own deranged leftists? It could apply equally well to either.

I was thinking of our own deranged rightwing nutbags like, oh

Timothy McVeigh
James W. von Brunn...
   678. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 11, 2009 at 12:56 AM (#3384471)
Interesting, yes. Correct in that Islamic extremism is a reactionary hatred of modernity, one that is especially notable in its misogyny. Unfortunately, SBB felt the need to wrap up interesting, fundamentally sound points in a bunch of neo-Freudian bunkem. This is, of course, nigh unforgivable.
   679. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 11, 2009 at 01:01 AM (#3384476)
I was thinking of our own deranged rightwing nutbags


Of course the non-libertarian "conservative" fringes share with Islam a fundamental discomfort with modernity. The violent explosions from that fringe that you mention - McVeigh, Von Brunn, Scott Roeder, etc. - hate women and modern "liberal" culture as much as Hasan. They just couch their hatred of modernity and women in terms selected readings of western/Christian doctrine rather than cherry picking from the Koran.
   680. SugarBear Blanks Posted: November 11, 2009 at 01:03 AM (#3384477)
Interesting, yes. Correct in that Islamic extremism is a reactionary hatred of modernity, one that is especially notable in its misogyny. Unfortunately, SBB felt the need to wrap up interesting, fundamentally sound points in a bunch of neo-Freudian bunkem. This is, of course, nigh unforgivable.

What is more emblematic of modernity, though, than free, equal, sexually uninhibited women and the men who celebrate them -- all on proud public display?(**) How can Freud not be part of the discussion about how repression interacts with all that?

(**) Which isn't of course to leave our non-heterosexual friends out of this ... since they're a big part of the mix, throw them into the mix.
   681. Sam Hutcheson is the Rickey Henderson of... Posted: November 11, 2009 at 01:47 AM (#3384522)
What is more emblematic of modernity, though, than free, equal, sexually uninhibited women and the men who celebrate them -- all on proud public display?(**)


Very few things. God bless America.

How can Freud not be part of discussion about how repression interacts with all that?


The problem with Freud is that his theories were all untested ########. His notions of sexual repression are the "clutch hitter moxie" of psychology. When put to the test they're all essentially crap. We can discuss behavioral models if you want, or we can just stick to the boring description of facts. Cultural "traditionalist" both Muslim and Christian (and Hindi and Chinese and a gazillion other whatever variants thereof) thrive on the subjecting and disempowerent of women. The violent outbursts from those "traditional cultures" when faced with the ever forward wave of modernity are evidence in and of themselves. We don't need some Freudian sub-conciousness to frame the matter.
   682. SugarBear Blanks Posted: November 11, 2009 at 02:02 AM (#3384540)
The problem with Freud is that his theories were all untested ########. His notions of sexual repression are the "clutch hitter moxie" of psychology. When put to the test they're all essentially crap. We can discuss behavioral models if you want, or we can just stick to the boring description of facts. Cultural "traditionalist" both Muslim and Christian (and Hindi and Chinese and a gazillion other whatever variants thereof) thrive on the subjecting and disempowerent of women. The violent outbursts from those "traditional cultures" when faced with the ever forward wave of modernity are evidence in and of themselves. We don't need some Freudian sub-conciousness to frame the matter.


A lot of Freud's theories were claptrap, but he was on to something when he noted that the repression of desire leads to other neuroses. And from there it's not that big a leap from neurosis to violence.

I don't disagree, really, with what you say, but IMHO the causes of what we see run deeper than sociology, culture, politics and the like.(**) They go to the core of the psyche -- to sexual competition, desire, and repression.

(**) Culture and politics can of course be expressive of the collected psyches of the people.
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