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Friday, November 24, 2017

Who, me?! Why your team’s next closer will probably be a total surprise—even to him

It’s hard, looking at that group now, to appreciate how weird a list of names it is. Of course, Hector Neris and Corey Knebel look like closers now, now that we’ve seen them do it and carried them for months on our fantasy rosters. But 12 months ago, Neris and Knebel had two career saves apiece. So let’s try this: I’m going to predict the 30 pitchers who will be closers in September 2018, and you’re going to look at me like I’m insane:

Cody Allen, Henderson Alvarez. Jacob Barnes, Cam Bedrosian, Archie Bradley, Alan Busenitz, Steve Cishek, Alex Colome, Wade Davis, Edwin Diaz, Brian Duensing, Jeanmar Gomez, Chad Green, Jesse Hahn, David Hale, Brad Hand, Raisel Iglesias, Kenley Jansen, Keone Kela, Craig Kimbrel, Knebel, Tom Koehler, Jake McGee, Sam Moll, Roberto Osuna, Addison Reed, Felipe Rivero, Joe Smith, Drew Steckenrider, Hunter Strickland and Vince Velasquez.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2017 at 08:04 AM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: closers

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   1. Mike Webber Posted: November 24, 2017 at 10:57 AM (#5580691)
Dear Sam Miller,

This is a fun and interesting article, but you've timed it poorly. This article needs to come out BEFORE the last transaction day (usually Sunday night) of the final fantasy week of the season. For those of us that are playing in leagues with some carry over of players that is the exact moment when we are looking for potential closers for next season, not two months later when the rosters are locked until auction day.

I have tried to do this several times, occasionally hitting but mostly missing. My process is usually looking at which current closers will be free agents and trying to figure the next logical internal candidate, such as Fernando Rodney being a free agent which makes Archie Bradley the next man up.

Looking for closers that are old works too, and to not pick on the 40-year old Rodney, I'll mention Brad Ziegler who is 38, which would make Kyle "Bearclaw" Barraclough a potential closer - he is after all the finest set-up/doughnut combo reliever, slightly edging out White Sox prospect Tyler Danish.

So Sam, let me say again, it's a good article, and I hope you write it again September 21, 2018.

Mike
   2. Captain Supporter Posted: November 24, 2017 at 11:24 AM (#5580704)
Apparently Chad Green is going to be the closer for the Yankees. Why? I have no idea, but I'd be willing to make a very large bet with Miller that he is wrong about that. Aroldis Chapman will be the closer with David Robertson and Tommy Kahnle as the obvious fallbacks in case of injury or ineffectiveness. Green is probably more likely to be a starter than he is the closer, but, of course, the far greater likelihood is that the Yankees keep him in his role as a two inning type middle reliever who can come in early or later in the game depending on the situation. After I saw his silly Yankee pick, I decided it was not even worth looking at the rest of Mr. Miller's list to find equally unlikely possibilities.
   3. Mike Webber Posted: November 24, 2017 at 11:59 AM (#5580711)
I wouldn't say Green is a terrible pick, maybe to be the Yankee closer but he could be swapped and close elsewhere. He's the 4th guy in the Yankee pen, he's still fairly young and definitely cheap, and an injury to one of the older Yankee outfielders and Aaron Hicks turning back into a pumpkin and suddenly swapping him for an outfielder like seems completely plausible. Stuff like that is how Blake Treinen ends up saving 14 games in a season.
   4. Howie Menckel Posted: November 24, 2017 at 12:30 PM (#5580719)
Of course, Hector Neris and Corey Knebel look like closers now, now that we’ve seen them do it and carried them for months on our fantasy rosters.

end game of my 34th annual Rotisserie auction in April, and I have 4 P slots and a variety of wannabes to choose from.

Daniel Hudson for 4 = big miss.
Shawn Kelley 1 = miss.
Oh, and Knebel 2 and Neris 1.
:)

#flagsflyforever
   5. PreservedFish Posted: November 24, 2017 at 01:21 PM (#5580731)
#2 - you gotta chill out.
   6. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: November 24, 2017 at 09:16 PM (#5580854)
Apparently Chad Green is going to be the closer for the Yankees. Why? I have no idea, but I'd be willing to make a very large bet with Miller that he is wrong about that. Aroldis Chapman will be the closer with David Robertson and Tommy Kahnle as the obvious fallbacks in case of injury or ineffectiveness. Green is probably more likely to be a starter than he is the closer, but, of course, the far greater likelihood is that the Yankees keep him in his role as a two inning type middle reliever who can come in early or later in the game depending on the situation. After I saw his silly Yankee pick, I decided it was not even worth looking at the rest of Mr. Miller's list to find equally unlikely possibilities.

Well, he's probably the 2nd best RP on the Yankees right now, so aside from contract issues, it's not crazy.

I certainly rather have Green close than Betances.
   7. ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: November 24, 2017 at 09:39 PM (#5580860)
I certainly rather have Green close than Betances.

Betances with his control issues obviously won't be a closer, but Green's much more valuable as a 2 or 3 inning middle relief man. Relief pitchers who can give you 17 games with 2 or more innings, and allow a total of 6 runs in the 41.2 innings of those 17 games, obviously don't grow on trees.
   8. JJ1986 Posted: November 24, 2017 at 09:45 PM (#5580861)
Are the Mets bringing back Joe Smith?
   9. RMc's Unenviable Situation Posted: November 26, 2017 at 08:38 AM (#5581052)
The Tigers' next closer is never a surprise: they always suck.
   10. PreservedFish Posted: November 26, 2017 at 10:00 AM (#5581069)
Betances with his control issues obviously won't be a closer, but Green's much more valuable as a 2 or 3 inning middle relief man. Relief pitchers who can give you 17 games with 2 or more innings, and allow a total of 6 runs in the 41.2 innings of those 17 games, obviously don't grow on trees.


Such relief pitchers are also invariably converted to single-inning late-game usage.
   11. Cooper Nielson Posted: November 28, 2017 at 02:24 AM (#5581863)
Cody Allen, Henderson Alvarez. Jacob Barnes, Cam Bedrosian, Archie Bradley, Alan Busenitz, Steve Cishek, Alex Colome, Wade Davis, Edwin Diaz, Brian Duensing, Jeanmar Gomez, Chad Green, Jesse Hahn, David Hale, Brad Hand, Raisel Iglesias, Kenley Jansen, Keone Kela, Craig Kimbrel, Knebel, Tom Koehler, Jake McGee, Sam Moll, Roberto Osuna, Addison Reed, Felipe Rivero, Joe Smith, Drew Steckenrider, Hunter Strickland and Vince Velasquez.

Out of curiosity, does anyone know which one of these guys is the hypothetical closer for the Tigers? I don't recognize any of these names as being part of the organization, but there could be a recent addition or he might even be assuming a future trade/signing. I've never heard of a few of these guys.

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