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Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Who’s in and who’s out of the MLB postseason?

An exciting part of September baseball is watching teams clinch their berths in the postseason and seeing the stories of the playoffs begin to form throughout the month.

Another fun part, for the more cynical among us, involves watching as teams officially get mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, with not even a whiff of Wild Card chances. More and more of which are revealing themselves as days pass on the final march to October.

We’ll be tracking teams who have clinched their spot in the playoffs or been mathematically eliminated from the postseason right here throughout September. You can track it all for yourself right here, but we’re breaking it down in full as well.

This is largely stuff that’s fairly self-evident, I admit, but, as long as we still have several good races running in the National League, we might as well have an independent space to discuss them….

QLE Posted: September 18, 2018 at 09:06 AM | 14 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: pennant race, postseason

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   1. puck Posted: September 18, 2018 at 10:19 AM (#5746342)
Reposted from last night's game thread, Boteman posted a Dan Szymborski tweet:

Dan Szymborski @DSzymborski
It is almost impossible to overstate just how important the Rockies-Dodgers series is to the eventual NL West result and the teams' playoff fates.

ZiPS Projection Table Based on COL/LAD Series


Rockies are back to a negative run difference after Monday's loss.

Trevor Story left the game with elbow discomfort. That will hurt a lot if he has to miss more games.
   2. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: September 18, 2018 at 10:30 AM (#5746350)
The NL really has some great races still in play. The Central and West are still open and while the East likely belongs to the Braves the two teams play four games this weekend so the Phils have a chance to make it interesting and the Wild Card race is still very tight as well.

The AL is all but over. Unfortunately for Oakland they are done with the Astros so that 4 game lead is big. Houston finishes with Toronto and Baltimore which is not great for Oakland's chances.
   3. Nasty Nate Posted: September 18, 2018 at 10:51 AM (#5746376)
I know they've been losing games all month, but Arizona actually still has a chance to steal the division from Colorado and LA. They almost need to sweep their series against those 2, but you never know.
   4. Bote Man Posted: September 18, 2018 at 01:30 PM (#5746593)
Washington Nationals: O-U-T
   5. stanmvp48 Posted: September 18, 2018 at 05:17 PM (#5746837)
Dodgers with the best run differential in the league and I am not sure they will have a top 20 finisher in the MVP or Cy Young voting. Oh, Muncy I guess
   6. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 18, 2018 at 05:25 PM (#5746842)
If MLB just had the decency to extend the season to 180 games, the Rays would be in for sure!
   7. Tom Nawrocki Posted: September 18, 2018 at 05:27 PM (#5746843)
Trevor Story left last night's game with elbow pain that has now been characterized as a UCL injury. This is Not Good for the Rockies.
   8. stanmvp48 Posted: September 18, 2018 at 05:40 PM (#5746854)
Blake Snell goes for his 20th tonight
   9. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 18, 2018 at 06:04 PM (#5746871)
The Giants were quietly eliminated from playoff contention last night. I guess the "even year" thing is truly dead and buried.*

*Yes, I know about 2016. Shut up.
   10. ajnrules Posted: September 18, 2018 at 06:20 PM (#5746881)
The AL is all but over. Unfortunately for Oakland they are done with the Astros so that 4 game lead is big. Houston finishes with Toronto and Baltimore which is not great for Oakland's chances.

A's are never out. They had a 4-game deficit after 150 games back in 2012 and made it up. Of course a lot of that was due to the lackluster play of the Rangers, but the Astros could plausibly become complacent and suffer a similar collapse.
   11. Crispix Attacksel Rios Posted: September 18, 2018 at 06:45 PM (#5746896)
The Central and West are still open and while the East likely belongs to the Braves the two teams play four games this weekend so the Phils have a chance to make it interesting and the Wild Card race is still very tight as well.


Not only that, 7 of the Phillies and Braves' last 12 games are against each other. The Phillies will probably be 7 games back by the time this weekend starts. So they have a chance! But they've only swept one series since May.
   12. Srul Itza Posted: September 18, 2018 at 07:12 PM (#5746920)
the Astros could plausibly become complacent and suffer a similar collapse


A collapse is always possible, but I have been following that team, and I cannot see Altuve/Verlander allowing complacency to set in.
   13. cardsfanboy Posted: September 18, 2018 at 08:35 PM (#5746973)
I know they've been losing games all month, but Arizona actually still has a chance to steal the division from Colorado and LA. They almost need to sweep their series against those 2, but you never know.


I always assume a team is a legit contender, if they can win by sweeping the teams ahead of them. When it requires other people to help out... I look at 'if they go .800 and the other team goes .500 or one game below .500.... do they make it? (ignoring head to head games, which I assume the chasing team wins)
   14. QLE Posted: September 23, 2018 at 04:35 AM (#5749835)
For those who may care, an update concerning the linked article:

https://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2018/9/6/17828438/mlb-postseason-2018-playoff-teams-eliminated-clinched-giants-mets-red-sox-indians?src=rss

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