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Friday, January 19, 2018

Why is J.D. Martinez’s big bat still available

Why should the Red Sox bid against themselves? If there was another team out there willing to bid higher, he would have signed already. Certainly a higher bid could eventually materialize but until that actually happens…

“If you’re Boras, J.D. and the Red Sox, there has to be some creativity involved to get a deal done,” the industry source said. “They’re a perfect match. They’re really the only match.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 19, 2018 at 09:11 AM | 48 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: free agents, j.d. martinez, red sox

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   1. Darren Posted: January 19, 2018 at 11:05 AM (#5609424)
His bat is still available because he is a good, not great, player. Here are some comps for Martinez, all age 30-31 OFs.

Name/year: fWAR for previous 3 years, contract

Cespedes 16: 2.4, 3.3, 6.7 3/$75MM+opt out
Cespedes 17: 3.3, 6.7, 3.2, 4/$110MM
Upton 18: 3.5, 1.3, 5, 5/$106MM
Fowler 17: 1.5 3.2 4.6, 5/$82MM
Martinez: 5.0, 1.8, 3.8, ????

Same Group, this time with 5/4/3 projections, Steamer Projections, and ZIPS projections:

Cespedes 16: 4.1, 2.5, 4.4, 3/$75MM+opt out
Cespedes 17: 4.1, 2.3, 4.1, 4/$110MM
Upton 18: 3.2, 2.1, 2.6, 5/$106MM
Fowler 17: 3.2, 2.5, 2.8, 5/$82MM
Martinez: 3.2, 2.5, TBA, ????


We can argue around the margins here, but is there really a legitimate argument that Martinez should be expected to get something like 50-100% more than the guys in this group? Especially since, as Jim points out, the Red Sox appear to be bidding against themselves?
   2. Nasty Nate Posted: January 19, 2018 at 11:43 AM (#5609451)
I haven't thought this through, but as a creative (and worse) fallback to JD Martinez, what about Jonathan Lucroy? They could still carry 2 other catchers, but he could get time behind the plate, at DH, as a pinch-hitter, and also be on the 1B depth chart.
   3. BrianBrianson Posted: January 19, 2018 at 11:49 AM (#5609454)
I mean, he's still available because Boras believes he'll get a bigger contract if he keeps waiting. Teams can't force him to sign - so no matter what they do, he might not. And indeed, the harder they try to sign him, probably means the longer he holds out.
   4. BDC Posted: January 19, 2018 at 11:59 AM (#5609460)
Here's an idle question: let's say some team broke the piggy bank and signed all top three position players: Martinez, Hosmer, plus Cain or Moustakas.

Would that team have improved themselves more, going into 2018, than the Astros did going into 2017 by acquiring Reddick, McCann, and Beltran?

It's not a perfect comparison. The Astros' three were expensive, but signed for shorter terms than Martinez, Hosmer, et al. are wanting. McCann wasn't a FA signing, but he was something of a free-to-a-good-home acquisition (though for all I know the two pitchers the Yankees got for him are great prospects).

Beltran turned out to be fairly useless but the other two were fine. I guess what I'm trying to compare is the short-term projection of the Astros' guys going into '17 with a similar projection of this year's top three going into '18, without hindsight.

If the cream of the crop this year isn't much better than one team got in a shopping spree last winter, that's an interesting commentary on the strength of this year's group (which everyone has noted, of course).
   5. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 19, 2018 at 12:51 PM (#5609508)
Mainly because he can't field. If Martinez was an average corner OF, he'd get 6/150 easily.

As it is, he's not worth 6/150, but 5/100 is a bit light. I'm guessing he signs with the Sox for 6/120, which seems eminently reasonable.
   6. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: January 19, 2018 at 12:54 PM (#5609512)
Would that team have improved themselves more, going into 2018, than the Astros did going into 2017 by acquiring Reddick, McCann, and Beltran?

In the abstract, I would definitely prefer Hosmer, Martinez, and Cain/Moustakas to that trio.

And of course the problem isn't that these guys won't be useful in 2018, it's that they want guaranteed years for seasons when they're not likely to be assets. And they're insisting on AAVs where they're unlikely to bank enough surplus value in the initial years to cover the inevitable decline in the later years of the contract.

Isn't there something now where the QO doesn't cost a draft pick if it's below $55M or something? That could also lessen some of the sting of signing one of the former Royals or the top pitchers.
   7. reech Posted: January 19, 2018 at 01:06 PM (#5609525)
Beltran turned out to be fairly useless

Unless you consider the "intangibles" such as clubhouse presence and recognizing pitch tipping... if you do, he was pretty valuable.
   8. Bad Fish Posted: January 19, 2018 at 01:06 PM (#5609526)
The guy is a DH. He can also be used as a 4th outfielder or a crappy everyday outfielder. This renders him a 3-5 WAR player, useful but not great. His profile is pretty tough. He poses a lot of risk to any NL team because if his hit tool declines, Matt Kemp - I'm looking at you, they have an expensive paperweight sucking up a valuable roster spot and there are not that many AL teams that utilize a full time DH, preferring to have an extra bench player. His second problem besides a limited market is that the AL has never shown a tendency to pay full time DH's very much money. Ortiz peaked out at $16M/year and he brought a lot of intangibles to the RS. I get Boras hyping his clients value for maximum benefit, but if Martinez has internalized the hype he is deluding himself. $20M a year for 5 years is a great, great contract for a DH and obviously there isn't any other market. I imagine the RS have an internal clock on this, and will yank the offer at some point. After that, J.D. can join the infamous list of athletes who let hubris stand between them a large payday.
   9. The Interdimensional Council of Rickey!'s Posted: January 19, 2018 at 01:20 PM (#5609551)
Because he hasn't signed a contract yet.
   10. Darren Posted: January 19, 2018 at 01:53 PM (#5609597)
He was below average in the field last year, terrible in 16, and averagish before that. I'd feel okay putting him in LF, especially in Fenway.
   11. jmurph Posted: January 19, 2018 at 03:58 PM (#5609758)
Seems like this one eventually gets done:
Michael Silverman‏ @MikeSilvermanBB
Source: Red Sox offer to JD Martinez believed to be roughly $125 million over five years.
   12. Carl Goetz Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:08 PM (#5609769)
If the Redsox are willing to pay Martinez 5/$125 to be a DH, why not just get in on Encarnacion last year? He was cheaper and you'd have a guy on your 1B depth chart as well.
   13. Nasty Nate Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:13 PM (#5609775)
If the Redsox are willing to pay Martinez 5/$125 to be a DH, why not just get in on Encarnacion last year? He was cheaper and you'd have a guy on your 1B depth chart as well.
Well, Martinez is a better hitter and younger. Also, they had reasonable hope that Hanley could be a good DH for 2017.
   14. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:16 PM (#5609776)
If the Redsox are willing to pay Martinez 5/$125 to be a DH, why not just get in on Encarnacion last year? He was cheaper and you'd have a guy on your 1B depth chart as well.


Four possible reasons;

1 - Encarnacion was 34 last year, Martinez will be 30 this year.

2 - I think the Sox (and probably a few other teams) were surprised to see Encarnacion sign the deal he did.

3 - Hanley Ramirez was coming off a big year (.286/.361/.505) so they probably felt good about his bat in the middle of the lineup.

4 - I'm pretty sure the Sox were in the same boat last year as the Dodgers and Yankees this year where they "had" to stay under the luxury tax to reset. One reason the Sox have been seen as the "obvious" landing spot for Martinez is that everyone knows they don't have the "Red Sox Tax" holding them back by mean ol' Budshoviks.
   15. Internet Commenter Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:23 PM (#5609778)
He's going to be 30, has only played >125 games once, and is a bad defender likely to get worse. It's not hard to see why there aren't many great fits for him.
   16. Carl Goetz Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:25 PM (#5609779)
"Well, Martinez is a better hitter and younger."
Both were around 4 oWAR on BBRef for 4 years prior to the deal.

"Four possible reasons;

1 - Encarnacion was 34 last year, Martinez will be 30 this year.

2 - I think the Sox (and probably a few other teams) were surprised to see Encarnacion sign the deal he did.

3 - Hanley Ramirez was coming off a big year (.286/.361/.505) so they probably felt good about his bat in the middle of the lineup.

4 - I'm pretty sure the Sox were in the same boat last year as the Dodgers and Yankees this year where they "had" to stay under the luxury tax to reset. One reason the Sox have been seen as the "obvious" landing spot for Martinez is that everyone knows they don't have the "Red Sox Tax" holding them back by mean ol' Budshoviks."
Makes sense. I don't like the idea of tying that much up in a DH. But, we may be re-entering the era where the Redsox "have" to respond every time the Yankees add somebody.
   17. TJ Posted: January 19, 2018 at 04:37 PM (#5609786)
5/$125 million seems about right for both- Boston gets an excellent bat which they need and is not locked in to a 37/38 year old Martinez. JD gets paid, which I like since he was such a good guy here in Detroit.

Does cause me to wonder if Boston- if they don't trade JBJ- are pondering giving Mookie some time back at second base...
   18. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:08 PM (#5609814)
I wouldn't offer him more than 3 years, but if Boston wants another Hanley/Pablo on their hands in a few years, who's to deny them that experience? On the other hand, they were able to mostly escape their mistakes with Crawford/Gonzalez going back a few years.
   19. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:10 PM (#5609816)
Does cause me to wonder if Boston- if they don't trade JBJ- are pondering giving Mookie some time back at second base...


I doubt it. Mookie hasn't played the infield since 2014 and they haven't given any indication of doing so. On top of that I think they'd be wary of messing around with a guy who has been so good playing as an every day right fielder. He's won back to back Gold Gloves out there so it's not like a Zobrist who truly is a jack of all trades master of none. Putting him at second base would be a genuine defensive drop down at two positions.
   20. donlock Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:18 PM (#5609824)
This situation reminds me of the Orioles' signing of Chris Davis. He got a boatload of money and a 7 year deal when there was no apparent bidding opponent. He today serves as a good example of not throwing money at one-dimensional hitters/1b/DH types. Who is offering more money?

I'd like to see 3/$75 or 4/$80 for this type of hitter. Or 3/$33 which the O's gave Mark Trumbo after his big year.
   21. Nasty Nate Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:24 PM (#5609827)
I'd like to see 3/$75 or 4/$80 for this type of hitter.
What do you mean by this?
   22. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:26 PM (#5609828)
He means he wouldn't sign J.D. Martinez.
   23. Nasty Nate Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:28 PM (#5609831)
He means he wouldn't sign J.D. Martinez.
Right. I guess my question is that if one wants your team to sign JD Martinez at a contract that he won't agree to in real life, why not something like 8 years at $1 million per year?
   24. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: January 19, 2018 at 05:45 PM (#5609842)
Or 3/$33 which the O's gave Mark Trumbo after his big year.

Jay Bruce just signed last week for $39M/3yrs.

And Martinez is a helluva lot better than Jay Bruce.
   25. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: January 19, 2018 at 06:12 PM (#5609855)
I would like to sign Machado and Harper for the Wakefield special.
   26. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: January 19, 2018 at 06:13 PM (#5609856)
I wouldn't offer him more than 3 years, but if Boston wants another Hanley/Pablo on their hands in a few years, who's to deny them that experience?

Martinez is a much better hitter, than Hanley was when they got him back, and a much much much better hitter than Sandoval when they signed him.
   27. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 19, 2018 at 06:25 PM (#5609861)
not throwing money at one-dimensional hitters/1b/DH types.

Martinez hits for average (.300 since his breakout), walks in about 10% of his PA, and has tremendous power. That's not a one-dimensional hitter.
   28. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: January 19, 2018 at 07:47 PM (#5609884)
If the Redsox are willing to pay Martinez 5/$125 to be a DH, why not just get in on Encarnacion last year? He was cheaper and you'd have a guy on your 1B depth chart as well.

Both were around 4 oWAR on BBRef for 4 years prior to the deal.


And that's it right there. They are effectively singing EE, just at age 30 and if you get EE's production through the age of 35, then you're looking at 16+WAR...and there's your $125 mil in value.

I think that's the best projection for JD, what did EE do from ages 30-34? that's what you pay for.
As Snapper points out though, he really is a great all around bat. He doesn't walk as much as EE, but really strikes the ball well and hits for a good average for someone with his power. It's like he left Detroit and took Miggy's hitting ability with him.
   29. Walt Davis Posted: January 19, 2018 at 08:20 PM (#5609897)
#1 ... that Cespedes comp is exactly the one Boras is pitching. He got 4/$110 entering his age 31 season ($27.5 AAV). Martinez is entering his age 30 season plus one season's inflation and the equivalent contract is 5/$140-150. Boras of course wants a 6th year. The Upton contract is a real bargain.

#12 ... somebody beat me to it but they Sox were hoping Hanley would be a good DH. The bigger mystery is their fascination with Mitch Moreland.

I'd guess something like 5/$125, maybe front-loaded a bit, with an opt-out after year 2. The last thing Martinez would want is an opt-out in the same year as Harper/Machado are on the market but the spot between those two and Trout/Bryant could be pretty sweet. Sit there between 2019-20, wait for Bryant's year 3 (of 4) arb award/signing of $25 M to be announced and await some manna from heaven.

But I agree that JDM doesn't seem to have a lot of leverage in this market. Hou and Tex strike me as the only other logical contenders.

The main question about him is his health. That Steamer projection looks crazy low to me, especially since they're projecting him at 611 PA. That's a decline of over 1 WAR in just 1 year by turning age 30. I don't buy it.

The comp list I came up with for ages 30-34 is much more promising than Steamer. Most of these guys continued to be very productive. Killer and McCovey excelled (26 and 24 WAR). Then there's a group ranging from 17 to 21 WAR -- Thome, Berkman, Holliday, Delgado, Winfield, J Clark, Ortiz and Vlad. Then things get a bit darker with Salmon at 15 ... then things start to fall apart with McGriff, Cepeda, Boog, Mo, Juan Gone and Kevin Mitchell. Jose Abreu just had his age 30 year and put up 4.7 bWAR.

Anyway, the median outcome was 17 WAR (Ortiz, Clark, Vlad); the mean comes out around Tim Salmon at 14-15 WAR. If we believe $8 M/WAR that's $112-136 ... and that's assuming stagnant $/WAR over the last few years and for the next 5. But obviously if you can buy just the first 3 years at any similar AAV, you do that. But remember, the Red Sox have lux tax concerns, they wouldn't necessarily prefer, say, 3/$90 to 4/$110.

Most of those guys had established themselves as very good players at younger ages than JDM so possibly just comparing ages 26-29 biases the list in his favor. But a fair number either struggled to establish themselves or also got somewhat late starts as college picks. There are of course a ton of players who are comps for JDM through age 25 -- I came up with over 100 of them just in the 2000s. But only two of them managed to do what he's done at ages 26-29. But those two don't improve his comp set -- Hafner and Chris Davis. (Nobody else has come close.) Hafner did fall apart at 30 and never bounced back. Chris Davis still has a chance to bounce back but he's going to need at least 2 of his big seasons in the next 3 to reach Salmon.

If you're piling extra injury risk onto that, it becomes even less attractive. I don't blame teams for being skittish about JDM. But I also don't know where teams are valuing $/WAR these days. Given what top set-up relievers go for, it seems to be at least $8, maybe $9 and that's with high injury/collapse risk.

It struck me that it might be useful to look at the original comps for ages 30-32 since we know most of the value will come in those years. The median for those ages is about 11 WAR (Winfield), the mean is a bit higher at 12, the absolute minimum is 6, maximum of 22, a 25% chance at 15 and a 75% chance of at least 8. The difference between this and the age 30-34 totals is basically whether the player had 0, 1 or 2 more 3-WAR seasons left.

To me that suggests that something like 3/$90 is break-even if you want the short-term contract. But again, once you're at 3/$90 then 4/$110 becomes pretty attractive (the extra 1/$20 is not a big gamble) and then 5/$125 is looking not too bad either. All you're betting on there is another 4 WAR over 2 years with those 4 WAR just bringing the age 30-32 mean/median projections in line with the age 30-34 mean/median projections. So 3/$90 vs 5/$125 mainly comes down to team/player preferences, lux tax issues, signing bonus, deferred salary and other marginal stuff.

Finally, as I've noticed elsewhere, Boras does seem to have a thing for magic numbers. There are lots of ways to structure a "5/$150" contract such that, in NPV terms, it's the same as a 5/$125 contract paid out in 5 equal installments. (It's a good bit harder to do it in lux tax terms because the MLB/MLBPA seem to use a very low rate of return.) Don't get too worked up if he signs for 5/$150 until you've seen the detail on the structure.
   30. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: January 19, 2018 at 10:46 PM (#5609942)
Somewhat separate from the quantitative element of this discussion...

As a Red Sox fan, I am not excited about the prospect of the team signing JD Martinez for something like 6/$120m. Before 2004, there was such intensity and urgency for the team to win THE WHOLE THING that every transaction was a news item.

Then, the team wins three titles. In the same period, the Patriots win five Super Bowls and make two (maybe three after this weekend?) others; the Bruins win a championship; the Celtics win a title and are once again one of the most fascinating teams in the NBA. For Red Sox fans, it's pretty simple: Unless you are winning World Series titles, and are really interesting in the process, then the fan base interest level will remain surprisingly low.

This Martinez signing feels like the move of a team that will win 85-93 games, compete for a playoff spot...but is not at the same level as Houston, Cleveland, or NY. Eh. Are New England sports fans ridiculously spoiled right now? You bet, and in 10 or 15 years, we'll all be back down to Earth. But right now, the Red Sox are struggling to be relevant.
   31. donlock Posted: January 20, 2018 at 06:02 PM (#5610208)
My point was these are large sums of money. If two teams want the same player then it is a risk to get in a bidding war. If there is no competition, just wait. Who was trying to get Jay Bruce? Why did the Mets sign him early and why for so much?

I used Mark Trumbo as an example of a player coming off a very good year (47 dingers) and looking for big money with lots of years but the Orioles wisely waited until there was very little, if any, competition. By the way, you could probably get him in trade from Baltimore if you lose out on Hosmer or Martinez. He is cheaper, signed for two more years and had a monster year a season ago. He is a good 1b but a slow outfielder, who doesn't hit as well when he DHs. I see Martinez and Jay Bruce finishing their contracts as 1b or DH.
   32. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 20, 2018 at 06:05 PM (#5610210)
I see Martinez and Jay Bruce finishing their contracts as 1b or DH.

Martinez should be a DH next year, if Boston signs him.
   33. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 20, 2018 at 06:31 PM (#5610226)
31 - Part of the reason for signing Bruce early is if you don’t you run the risk of someone else signing him. In today’s game that’s not particularly big money and while it’s easy to say there was no market for him every team has to make that decision about waiting it out and potentially losing the player.

32 - That’s a function of the Sox’ roster though. Martinez COULD be an outfielder next year. He’s not a total disaster out there (give it a couple years).
   34. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: January 20, 2018 at 06:49 PM (#5610238)
Mark Trumbo has never had a monster season. Even his 47 home run season was below average if you factor in defense. And only slightly above average hitting for his position. His inability to get on base, completely destroys his value as a hitter.

He was below replacement level last season. Taking on his contract, even for nothing, should not be seen as a viable backup option for any team.
   35. JJ1986 Posted: January 20, 2018 at 06:54 PM (#5610243)
But if you miss out on Bruce you can still sign Seth Smith or Carlos Gonzalez or Todd Frazier or maybe the market tanks and you can get Lorenzo Cain.
   36. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 20, 2018 at 07:00 PM (#5610246)
True but if you feel there is no meaningful difference between those guys you take the one who goes first. You don’t want to be left without a chair when the music stops.
   37. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 20, 2018 at 07:35 PM (#5610263)

32 - That’s a function of the Sox’ roster though. Martinez COULD be an outfielder next year. He’s not a total disaster out there (give it a couple years).


His UZR/150 the last 2 years is -21.5 and -14.8. His DRS is -22 and -5.

In 2018 he may be merely bad, or he may be disastrous. I wouldn't pay to find out. I'd only sign him to play 1B or DH.
   38. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 20, 2018 at 09:06 PM (#5610291)
Well I’d rather have him DH too but I don’t think it’s anything near a disaster if he’s in the outfield. Except for 2016 he’s been a 4-5 win player for a few years in a row as an outfielder. Obviously he’s going to go over the cliff at some point in this deal which is part of why there isn’t the market he would like.
   39. cardsfanboy Posted: January 20, 2018 at 11:07 PM (#5610317)
Martinez COULD be an outfielder next year. He’s not a total disaster out there (give it a couple years).


What the hell is your definition of total disaster? The guy was -22 rField in leftfield in 2016 and was only -5 in 2017, but we are talking about left field, he clearly needs to move to either first base or DH, those are the only two positions he isn't going to cost you a win a year defensively, if things go right for him. The clear trend is he's a disaster in the outfield, any contract giving him more than two years has to take into account that he's not going to be an outfielder in those remaining years.
   40. Bug Selig Posted: January 21, 2018 at 11:01 AM (#5610371)
Minor point, but he hasn't played left for 3 years. He's not a good fielder, but those numbers are in right, so there is at least 1 step down the spectrum available.
   41. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 21, 2018 at 11:08 AM (#5610375)
Well I’d rather have him DH too but I don’t think it’s anything near a disaster if he’s in the outfield.

There's also the health issue. He's been fragile. Playing him at DH might let you get 150 games out of him.
   42. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: January 21, 2018 at 02:40 PM (#5610419)
You are proposing to bench one of AB, JBJ, or MB in order to play JDM in the field? I don't get it. Why?
   43. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: January 21, 2018 at 02:50 PM (#5610422)
I think he is just proposing that as a viable option for a team that needs a LF. Not for the Red Sox in particular.
   44. BDC Posted: January 21, 2018 at 03:49 PM (#5610431)
You are proposing to bench one of AB, JBJ, or MB in order to play JDM in the field?

I'd bench MM in a second :)
   45. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 21, 2018 at 03:50 PM (#5610433)
42 - No of course not. Fancy Pants got it.
   46. Walt Davis Posted: January 21, 2018 at 04:48 PM (#5610474)
#32, #36, etc. -- Statcast now has "outs above-average" (OAA) ... Martinez was 62 out of 71 with 200+ opportunities in 2017; 65 out of 72 in 2016. They are more generous on outs lost so that only totaled -15 outs over 2 years, probably -7 to -9 in run terms. Still, Matt Kemp and Melky aside, he's about as bad as it gets.

Link

Still, if the Sox sign him and keep Hanley, then I assume he will spend about half his time at DH and half in the OF, meaning you don't need a "true" 4th OF, just a defense-oriented 5th OF type. Then next year with Hanley gone, he'd be close to a full-time DH.
   47. Jose is an Absurd Force of Nature Posted: January 21, 2018 at 05:29 PM (#5610533)
Walt - If the Sox sign him I suspect he would be a full time DH playing outfield sporadically to rest one of Benintendi, Betts or JBJ (Benintendi plays center when JBJ sits). I think Hanley would be a platoon first baseman, probably play a bit more than that. Maybe play when Sale pitches (all the Ks don’t need Moreland’s glove as much).
   48. Tim M Posted: January 23, 2018 at 02:16 PM (#5611820)
The Red Sox don't need any help in the OF. They have 3 young healthy guys who are all very good (or at least should get the full year to disprove that) so JD being a DH is less "harmful" to them than it would be for other teams. A little help at 1B would be nice, not sure if he could pull that off, but the "WAR DH penalty" in the case of the Sox seems lower than it would be for other teams. Someone's gotta DH, and the step up from Hanley/Moreland would be a really nice upgrade.

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