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Monday, June 16, 2014

WSJ: At Least the Mets Are Good at One Thing… Bullpen Somehow Excels in Preventing Inherited Runners to Score

You can’t call the Mets “good for nothings.” They’re actually great at something. Entering Sunday, they ranked second-best ever at preventing inherited runners from scoring.

Only 20 of 109 inherited runners have scored against the Mets, a rate of 18.3%. Since Stats LLC began tracking the statistic in 1974, just one team has been better—the 1995 Cleveland Indians (17.7%). The 1988 Mets are third-best at 18.8%.

Too bad they’re 7th of 30 this season in games the relief pitcher pitched in more than one inning.

bobm Posted: June 16, 2014 at 06:44 PM | 4 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets, relief pitching

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   1. Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: June 16, 2014 at 09:58 PM (#4728074)
The '95 Indians and '88 Mets were damn fine teams. This Mets team not so much. So...I got nothin'.
   2. Walt Davis Posted: June 17, 2014 at 03:01 AM (#4728174)
I assume we're comparing Mets mid-season to the others full-season?

Interestingly the Mets bullpen ERA doesn't look very good.

I wondered at first that it might be that relievers today are not used as often mid-inning ... but the Mets pen has so far inherited 109 runners while the 95 Indians pen inherited only 186 all season and the 88 Mets only 144. I suppose more multi-inning appearances would (on average) reduce IR raw counts.

Is there double-counting of IR with LOOGYs? 2 men on, LOOGY enters, inheriting 2 runners, gets an out, leaves and the next reliever inherits 2 runners ... counting as 4? Not that LOOGYs weren't around in 1995 and even some in 1988.
   3. Adam Starblind Posted: June 17, 2014 at 07:25 AM (#4728183)
I'm going to go with random chance here.
   4. bobm Posted: June 17, 2014 at 07:45 AM (#4728188)
Average inherited runners is pretty stable despite the rise in relief appearances (GR) and the rise in scoring.
(ISTM more like relievers are starting innings clean and may be giving up their own runs before being pulled.)

MLB average relief pitching data from BR

2013 478 231 29%  139
2008 472 241 32%  140
2003 442 235 33%  138
1998 399 251 33%  150
1993 368 257 32%  152
1988 282 223 33%  131
1983 260 228 36%  134

Runr -- Games Entered With Runners On
Pitcher entered the game with runners on base.

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