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Thursday, October 11, 2018

Using Fly Ball Distance to Find Sleeper Prospects | The Hardball Times

Interesting.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2018 at 10:59 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Texas Rangers: Decline in single-game ticket sales has cost the Rangers an estimated $54 million in revenue since 2012 | SportsDay

Some people should NOT be allowed anywhere near a calculator.

In 2012, coming off a second consecutive World Series appearance, the Rangers set a club record with 3,460,280 tickets sold. They followed that with 3,178,273 tickets sold in 2013.

The drop from 2012 to this season is 1,353,173. That is the 10th-largest decrease within a seven-season window in baseball history.

Using the $40-per-ticket estimate, that also translates to a revenue shortfall of $54 million.

Edited by Jim.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2018 at 10:56 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: attendance, rangers

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 10-11-2018

Washington Herald, October 11, 1918:

James E. Gaffney, former owner of the [Braves]...said he would take back the franchise next Monday unless the present owners of the club met their obligations. There is a considerable sum due Gaffney for rental of Braves Field, while the present owners also are behind in the payment of interest on bonds held by Gaffney and associates.
...
Percy Haughton resigned as president off the club to accept a commission as a major in the chemical warfare service. The ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 11, 2018 at 10:53 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

The Biggest Problem With Bullpenning - The Ringer

In his 1970 treatise on punishing pitchers, The Science of Hitting, Ted Williams advised aspiring sluggers that their first time at bat in a given game is “a key to effective hitting, a key to the day you are going to have and therefore a key to your baseball life.” For Williams, the primacy of the first plate appearance was simple. “You figure to face a pitcher three or four times in a game,” he wrote. “The more information you log the first time up, the better your chances the next ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2018 at 06:35 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Beats: bullpenning, strategy

Why MLB players don’t bunt against the shift – Dodger Thoughts

It depends on the player.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2018 at 06:23 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: bunting, strategy

Indians GM Mike Chernoff in play for Mets’ top job

In case you’re curious to know who would want to take over as the Mets GM, here’s a brief account of the search.

QLE Posted: October 11, 2018 at 12:09 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: general manager, mets, mike chernoff

Red Sox-Yankees provide ratings boost for TBS

A few brief comments concerning television ratings for the ALDS- some of which better explain the logic of the programmers, and one detail that I find truly depressing.

QLE Posted: October 11, 2018 at 12:04 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: alds, ratings, tbs

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

Decline in single-game ticket sales has cost the Rangers an estimated $54 million in revenue since 2012

In May, when fan interest had gone into a nosedive, the Rangers issued a statement to The Dallas Morning News in which the club said another decline in attendance would not impact the long-term payroll and baseball-operations budget.

That resolve is about to be tested.

The final numbers have been posted. For the Rangers, it was a bloodbath that will put a strain on finances and raise a question as to whether a disenchanted segment of the fan base can be retrieved.

Some interesting ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:59 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: rangers, revenues, tickets

Sources: Rangers have done significant due diligence on at least 7 managerial candidates, including Sandy Alomar Jr. and Mark DeRosa

The Rangers have yet to finalize their list of interviews for their vacant managerial spot, but have done significant due diligence on at least five external candidates, two sources confirmed Wednesday.

The Rangers are also giving strong consideration to internal candidates Don Wakamatsu, who finished the season as the interim manager, and assistant general manager Jayce Tingler, who finished the season as the bench coach, the sources confirmed.

From outside the organization, the Rangers have ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:56 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: don wakamatsu, jayce tingler, managerial search, mark derosa, rangers, sandy alomar jr.

MLB Wants Casinos to Pay It a Cut from Wagers Placed on the Sport

Kenny Gersh, Major League Baseball’s executive vice president of gaming, said the league is seeking a fee from casinos if sportsbooks are going to profit off legalized sports gambling.

According to the Associated Press’ Regina Garcia Cano, Gersh told a panel at a Las Vegas trade show on Wednesday that MLB wants a 0.25 percent cut of betting handles in the spirit of “fairness.”

“The state is going to designate these three, four, five very specific licensed entities: You guys get the right to ...

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Michael Kay Says Yankees Lost To Red Sox Because Math Can’t Account For The Soul Of A Baseball Or Whatever

For those of us who still look out into the night to see if Fire Joe Morgan shall return.

QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:45 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: bad analysis, michael kay

How Alex Cora earned the Red Sox’s trust—and how he repaid it as they ended the Yankees’ season

NEW YORK – Long before he led the Boston Red Sox to a franchise-record 108 victories, before he drubbed the New York Yankees by managing a near-perfect postseason series, before the American League Championship Series beckoned and a World Series berth stood four victories away, Alex Cora needed a favor.

When he called Rick Porcello and Chris Sale in January, they were glad to hear from him. Over the previous two months, as he prepared to drop into the snake pit that is the Red Sox ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:40 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: alex cora, chris sale, puerto rico, red sox, rick porcello

Former MLB star Lenny Dykstra indicted on cocaine, meth and terroristic threat charges

The continued saga of the rise and fall of Lenny Dykstra adds a new chapter.

ELIZABETH, N.J.—Former Major League Baseball player Lenny Dykstra has been indicted by a Union County (New Jersey) grand jury on two drug charges and allegedly threatening an Uber driver during a May incident in Linden, N.J.

Dykstra was indicted on possession of cocaine and possession of methamphetamine, both third-degree crimes, according to the indictment handed up Tuesday. He was also indicted on a terroristic ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:32 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: cocaine, indicted, lenny dykstra, uber

Kris Bryant turned down huge multiyear deal

The Cubs made an attempt to lock up Kris Bryant to a multiyear deal in the neighborhood of $200 million, but the superstar third baseman turned down the deal in recent months, a source confirmed to MLB.com on Wednesday. ESPN’s Dave Kaplan was the first to report the offer and its rejection. The club has not confirmed such an offer.

Bryant and agent Scott Boras are inclined to proceed on a year-by-year salary increase through arbitration before Bryant becomes a free agent after the 2021 season. ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:25 PM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: contract extension, cubs, dollah dollah bills, y'all, kris bryant


Arizona Diamondbacks to explore MLB trade market as offseason begins

They will have to be very creative to get a team to take on a big chunk of his contract and bring back young talent.

Right-hander Zack Greinke is a possible example. He is owed more than $31 million a year over the next three seasons, and if the Diamondbacks were to find a taker – even if it meant paying down some of his contract – they potentially could bring back young talent in a trade and free up money to be spent strategically on smaller, upside plays in free agency.

The ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2018 at 01:37 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 10-10-2018

Harrisburg Telegraph, October 10, 1918:

The New York Giants will likely change hands before the December baseball meetings [in New York], it was learned from an authoritative source last night. Harry N. Hempstead, president of the club, is known to be eager to sell the outfit, and is at present considering a tentative offer made him by a prominent New York businessman.

Arnold Rothstein - yes, that one - brokered this deal to sell the Giants to the family that would eventually move the team to ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 10, 2018 at 12:36 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

John Henry praises Red Sox top to bottom, criticizes media | NBC Sports Boston

I bet he thinks the Globe’s coverage is the worst.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2018 at 11:00 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: john henry, red sox

Rockies Have a Blueprint for Long-term Deal With Arenado

Will Blackmon’s downturn give the Rockies cold feet with Arenado?

Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:33 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: nolan arenado, rockies

Using Swing Plane to Coach Hitters: a Deeper Look - Driveline Baseball

Science and data is helping pitchers. It can help hitters too.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:14 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: hitting

Max Muncy’s single off a 103-mph fastball was a rare triumph for the human mind – Orange County Register

Now, some hitters will have seen this velocity even before reaching the professional ranks. The adjustment process begins sooner. As Roberts said, “95 is the new 90. That’s just what their normal is.”
What Muncy did against Hicks was not normal.

“The real separator from the highest levels to the level beneath,” Ochart said, “are the visual and the neurological ability to see and perceive and, I guess, be able to know and guess where the ball’s going to be based on a small amount ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:12 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, max muncy

Brewers look to emulate 1982 AL champions

MILWAUKEE—Cecil Cooper willed the baseball to earth and Charlie Moore greeted Jim Gantner at home plate with a hug. Marshall Edwards made a catch. Robin Yount fielded Rod Carew’s grounder and threw him out at first base.

And Dwayne Mosely, who had the radio call while Bob Uecker was poised to interview players in the wake of the Brewers’ pennant-clinching win in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series, bellowed, “Milwaukee, you have a World Series!”

It all happened 36 years ago ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:11 AM | 43 comment(s)
  Beats: 1982, brewers

Giancarlo Stanton’s first postseason with the Yankees was a disappointing dud

Giancarlo Stanton stood at the plate with a chance to rewrite the narrative of his first year with the New York Yankees. It was the bottom of the ninth, the Yankees were on the brink of postseason elimination and he represented the tying run.

A homer here? He could forget about all those boos after strikeouts in April and May, because the people in Yankee Stadium sure would. A homer here? He’d be a Yankees legend already. He’d be the guy who saved their season when it looked like the ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:11 AM | 53 comment(s)
  Beats: giancarlo stanton, yankees

Yankees manager Aaron Boone regrets slow hook of Severino

NEW YORK (AP) — Aaron Boone regrets his slow hook of Luis Severino.

Given a night to reflect on New York’s record-setting 16-1 loss to Boston in Game 3 of the AL Division Series, the Yankees’ rookie manager said he would not have let his ace take the mound for the fourth inning down 3-0 after allowing five singles and several hard-hit outs.

“Certainly in hindsight, when he doesn’t get an out, I’d like to have that back,” Boone said before Game 4 on Tuesday. “Being able to look back in ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:11 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron boone, luis severino, yankees

Chris Sale to Red Sox doubters: ‘Keep comin’ with it’

NEW YORK — Chris Sale does not mind if you doubt, have doubted, or intend to doubt the 2018 Red Sox.

After 13 pitches in a perfect eighth-inning appearance on Tuesday night in the decisive game of the ALDS, Sale was asked about the level of respect the Sox received leading into and during the series. The Sox finished off the Yanks with two consecutive wins in New York, the last one a 4-3 victory on Tuesday.

“We’re here now. Doesn’t matter. Anybody outside of this clubhouse can say ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:11 AM | 42 comment(s)
  Beats: chris sale, hubris, red soxs

Broadcasters Rod Allen, Mario Impemba won’t return to Detroit Tigers

As expected, the Detroit Tigers will have a new television broadcast team next season.

After a late-season falling out escalated to a physical altercation on Sept. 4, longtime Fox Sports Detroit broadcasters Rod Allen and Mario Impemba will not return next season, according to multiple persons with knowledge of the situation.

The end of their lengthy run is not surprising: Both Allen and Impemba did not appear on the air for the remainder of the season after the incident.

Should we all come ...

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QLE Posted: October 10, 2018 at 06:11 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: broadcasting, fired, tigers

Tuesday, October 09, 2018

“By now I’m entirely consumed with it, and only marginally able to do anything else”: Bill James can’t stop dreaming about baseball – The Athletic

I know exactly how he feels. I also know I wouldn’t be making this post without ever finding and reading his books.

“The more you know about the game, the more enjoyable — the more fun it becomes,” James says. “And this cycle has been running in me for 50 years, so that by now I’m entirely consumed with it, and only marginally able to do anything else.

“And I’m up in my dirty little office upstairs, just obsessively studying this and that. Not because I have to … I just can’t ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 09, 2018 at 01:47 PM | 129 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, pay site

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Ron Darling doesn’t have a Luis Severino regret — but he should

How quickly can Google Maps find a route from a molehill to a mountain?

When Severino failed, Darling did as well, drawing a straight line from his pregame prep to his poor outing, declaring as fact that Severino warmed up late and left early.

“That was a cute line,” Darling said in our interview. “You are going into break. You are trying to find something interesting to say. That’s a going-to-break line. But I understand what you are saying.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 09, 2018 at 01:45 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: luis severino, ron darling, yankees

Nick Cafardo: Red Sox manager Alex Cora went against analytics in Game 3 — and the result was spectacular

Alex Cora managed it. It’s that simple.

He saw that what he had drawn up wasn’t working. As much as he loved and believed in the lineups in the first two games, he had left two of the hotter hitters of the past couple of weeks on the bench. So even though Brock Holt and Rafael Devers had horrific numbers against Luis Severino, he put them in the lineup anyway.

This was one of those nonanalytic moments. Cora simply had a feeling, a Joe Morgan hunch, that the two lefthanded hitters would do ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 09, 2018 at 01:43 PM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: analytics, red soxs

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 10-9-2018

Washington Herald, October 9, 1918:

Capt. Christy Mathewson of the Chemical Warfare Service, U.S.A., has arrived in France, according to authentic information from private sources and has been sent to a training school for instructors.

It has been said and written that Capt. Mathewson and other ball players from here who joined the colors later than others will meet with cool receptions by the boys who have been on the firing line.
...
Surely, Capt. Mathewson ought not to be criticized. As soon ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 09, 2018 at 10:15 AM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: christy mathewson, dugout, history, world war i

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