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Thursday, August 14, 2014

SOE: La Russa’s New Learning Curve

Well, it certainly ain’t the Beane curve.

La Russa’s thought on sabermetrics are along the lines of separation between church and state. He believes statistics have their place in player evaluation and game preparation but not so much in determining in-game strategy.

“When I started managing in the major leagues with the White Sox in 1979, I’d had a half a season managing in Double-A, a half-season managing in a Triple-A and a season of winter ball, so I was studying my butt off in order to ...

Read More...
Repoz Posted: August 14, 2014 at 08:26 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: d-backs, sabermetrics

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

OMNICHATTER 8-14-14

OMNICHATTER on a Thursday!

Gamingboy Posted: August 13, 2014 at 11:31 PM | 85 comment(s)
  Beats: omnichatter

Tulowitzki To Undergo Season-Ending Hip Surgery

How does that work… instead of a hospital bed, they use a fixed-gear bicycle?

The Rockies received more bad news on the injury front today, as Thomas Harding of MLB.com tweets that MVP candidate Troy Tulowitzki will miss the remainder of the season to undergo surgery to repair the labrum in his left hip.

Tulowitzki, 29, has appeared in just 91 games this season but is hitting a hefty .340/.432/.603 with 21 homers in 375 plate appearances and elite shortstop defense.

The District Attorney Posted: August 13, 2014 at 10:34 PM | 79 comment(s)
  Beats: injuries, rockies, troy tulowitzki

Here’s What Happens When A Pitcher Throws A Meatball

The batter asks for some spaghetti to go with that meatball.

But all types of meatballs hurt somehow. The off-speed ones aren’t swung at as often, but when hitters do make contact, they’re clobbering the ball. The fastball variety, meanwhile, do entice a hitter to take a swing, leading to a ball that’s more likely to find its way around the defense. And whether it’s a fastball or an off-speed pitch, meatballs are still the most homer-friendly pitch I’ve seen.

The more I looked into ...

Read More...
Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: August 13, 2014 at 08:08 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching

NotGraphs: A Dangerous Experiment: 25 Adam Dunns.

Thus I began this mad, stupid experiment. The premise is simple: using everyone’s favorite realistic baseball simulation, Out of the Park 2015, I created teams of baseball players by cloning a single player until they filled the active roster, and set them against each other in 162 games of gory combat. The results exceeded my wildest expectations.

The four teams in the CBL (Clone Baseball League) are:

• The Adam Dunns
• The Dee Gordons
• The Bartolo Colons
• The Koji Ueharas

...Read More...
Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: August 13, 2014 at 07:17 PM | 61 comment(s)
  Beats: adam dunn, bartolo colon, dee gordon, humor, koji uehara

Amazin Avenue: Mets are right to let Jenrry Mejia continue pitching

Since moving to the bullpen, Mejia has posted a strong 2.70 ERA and 9.81 K/9. He was even better before his last seven appearances, posting a 2.10 ERA from May 12 through July 23. However, the only thing that appears to have changed between July 23 and now is Mejia’s luck. Despite posting a BABIP of .321 through July 23, Mejia’s BABIP has exploded to an impossible .565 over his last 6⅔ innings. This despite the fact that his strikeout rate over that span is an excellent 13.49 per nine ...

Read More...
thetailor Posted: August 13, 2014 at 05:34 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: injuries, jenrry mejia, mets

Owners want a debate, not inevitability that Rob Manfred will succeed Bud Selig as MLB commissioner

Manfred, man: Why should we not?

Whether it was Peter Ueberroth in 1984, Bart Giamatti in 1988, Fay Vincent in 1989 or Selig in 1992, all the [recent] previous baseball czars ascended to the top job by unanimous vote of the owners.

You would have thought that would be the case this time as well, with Rob Manfred, Selig’s No. 2 man, waiting in the wings after having been the point man for the most impactful commissioner ever…

And apparently, for the vast majority of owners, it is.

But a few, ...

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Mets, Matt Harvey rethink Tommy John rehab plan after elbow injury to Jeremy Hefner

This is becoming uncomfortably like a parent trying to get their teenager to do something without telling them to do it…

As word leaked out of the Mets organization about Jeremy Hefner having re-injured his elbow, one official made a point of noting, off the record, that injured ace Matt Harvey had a front-row seat to see a pitcher have a major setback after Tommy John surgery.

Tuesday, Sandy Alderson was not so subtle.

The Mets general manager said Hefner’s injury, which will likely require ...

Read More...
The District Attorney Posted: August 13, 2014 at 03:50 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: injuries, jeremy hefner, matt harvey, mets

FG: Shin-Soo Choo’s Lost Season

A fan has gotten more press than him lately, never mind Hyun-jin Ryu…

The Rangers signed [Shin-soo] Choo to a seven-year, $130 million contract in the offseason, expecting 4-win player for at least a couple more years. What they’ve gotten is exactly replacement level production. Choo’s WAR is currently 0.0…

Choo’s batting average on balls in play this year is .309. That’s pretty normal, even a little high compared to the league average. But Choo has never been average when it comes to ...

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The District Attorney Posted: August 13, 2014 at 03:40 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: rangers, sabermetrics, shin-soo choo

Cubs fans have a way to drown their sorrows

Or celebrate the WAR/$ championship! (Kidding, kidding.)

Wirtz Beverage IL @WirtzbevIL

All eyes are on @Cubs’ Baez right now. Build on that excitement w/ @Smirnoff’s first-ever team branded bottle.

The District Attorney Posted: August 13, 2014 at 03:35 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: alcohol, cubs

Bud Selig expects MLB regular season games in Europe soon

Outgoing Major League Baseball commissioner Bud Selig hopes to announce plans for regular season games in Europe before he leaves office, according to multiple reports.

The league has its eye on London and Amsterdam as potential hosts, Eric Fisher of SportsBusiness Journal tweeted. Of the two sites, Selig believes Amsterdam is “more prepared” to host games as soon as 2015, per Fox Sports’ Jon Morosi.

Gamingboy Posted: August 13, 2014 at 02:08 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: europe, international

How a small-time handicapper concocted a wild MLB game-fixing tale

Gives new meaning to the phrase, “this game is a Locke.”

In the waning days of the 2012 major league season, Niki Congero received an unusual text message. It came from a man she had never met — a sports handicapper who for a couple of weeks had been texting unsolicited betting tips to her cellphone.

“LOL,” wrote the man, who identified himself as James Hunter from VIP Sports. “I got a baseball game that will be fixed on sunday.”...

At first the tips were nothing special, ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 13, 2014 at 12:08 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, fixed games, gambling, jeff locke, pirates

Buschmann: The real reason why pitchers get injured (INSIDER)

The writer, Matt Buschmann, is currently a starting pitcher for the Athletics top minor league affiliate.

I’ve been in professional baseball since 2006 and every year there seems to be a rash of injuries that plague pitchers. This inevitably leads to an eclectic mix of baseball people comprising a panel trying to explain the injury epidemic on local and national baseball television shows. Each time I catch one—and there were several in 2014 due to a slew of spring training injuries—I’m ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 13, 2014 at 11:48 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, mechanics, pitch counts, pitcher injuries, velocity

OMNICHATTER 8-13-14

Prepare yourself for the Buck Farmer experience at the OMNICHATTER.

Gamingboy Posted: August 13, 2014 at 11:35 AM | 63 comment(s)
  Beats: omnichatter

Scapegoating the Shift for the Decline in Offense – The Hardball Times

Early this year, Jonah Keri identified defensive shifts as one reason for the recent decline in baseball offense.  By early July, David Lennon placed basically all of the blame for baseball’s offensive challenges on the shift.  Like Keri, he pointed to declining batting averages as proof that the shift was working too well.  Things reached a fever pitch a few weeks ago when Tom Verducci ran with an idea that Lennon had proposed: banning the shift in some form, lest baseball offense never ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2014 at 11:11 AM | 44 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

Vincent: undefeated Bud Selig is ‘the Rocky Marciano of baseball politics’

Vincent on sports radio:

“I think he’s the Rocky Marciano of baseball politics. He’s undefeated.
....
Just imagine, guys, if Manfred and Bud left on a given day, would baseball be comfortable with Jerry Reinsdorf, whose record in this area is pretty poor? Collusion was a $280 million mistake. And Jerry was right in the middle of that.”

 

The Fallen Reputation of Billy Jo Robidoux Posted: August 13, 2014 at 11:00 AM | 35 comment(s)
  Beats: commissioner's office, selig

Billy Butler would be willing to renegotiate deal to stay in KC next season

When Billy Butler thinks about next season and ponders the possibility of not being in a Royals uniform, he quickly tries to think of something else.

“It would definitely be painful,” Butler tells FOXSportsKansasCity.com.

Butler is in the final season of a four-year, $30 million deal he signed in 2011. There is an extended year to the deal, but it is a club option valued at $12.5 million with a $1 million buyout.

The Royals, naturally, won’t comment on their plans with Butler now. But ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 13, 2014 at 10:13 AM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: billy butler, contract, royals

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-13-2014

Dakota County [Nebraska] Herald, August 13, 1914:

Buck Weaver of the White Sox is engaged in gathering together a collection of assorted bats so valuable that it couldn’t be purchased for money, marbles, or chalk. This aggregation of clout rods will consist of bats once grasped by the stalwart hands of Cobb, Speaker, Jackson, Baker and other man [sic] who have helped make the base hit famous. Each bat will be autographed by the man who used it for swatting. Weaver is gathering these for the ...

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The Robby Hammock District (Dan Lee) Posted: August 13, 2014 at 09:17 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: buck weaver, dugout, history

Nats Enquirer: Jayson Werth apparently has speeding problems

Why else does someone get a Porsche?

According to a search of Fairfax County General District Court in the Virginia General District Court Online Case Information System, Werth was pulled over in Fairfax County, VA on July 6 and charged with reckless driving for doing 105 in a 55, and had a court date this past Friday (August 8) that has been continued until November 12. We don’t know our Virginia traffic laws very well; but can’t reckless driving offenses can lead to jail time in VA?

...Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2014 at 09:11 AM | 51 comment(s)
  Beats: driving very fast, jayson werth, nationals

Jon Lester: Free Agency Won’t Be Driven By Money, Still Open To Red Sox Return | Boston Red Sox | NESN.com

So he’s saying there still is a chance.

“(The Red Sox) told me (after the trade to Oakland), ‘We’re going to be aggressive. You’re going to get blown out of the water by some of these (other) offers,’” Lester told the Boston Herald. “I’m like, ‘I don’t need to be blown out of the water.’ Why would I need to be blown out of the water? That doesn’t make or break your decision, at least for me. I’m not going to the highest bidder. I’m going to the place that makes me and ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2014 at 09:02 AM | 44 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, jon lester, red sox

How Burke Badenhop uses Pitch F/X data

What can Badenhop glean from the site after an outing? He recently pulled up the data from an outing last week against the Cardinals — a one-batter appearance in which he struck out Matt Holliday on four pitches.
The first thing he looks at is velocity. Although Badenhop generally finds velocity overrated, there’s obviously value to knowing how hard he threw in a particular outing. Often, the radar-gun readings say more about his effort level and his aggressiveness on the mound than, say, ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2014 at 09:00 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: burke badenhop, pitchfx, sabermetrics

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Jazayerli: Hitting Wins Championships: Why the Chicago Cubs’ Inverted Rebuilding Strategy Is Starting to Look Brilliant (Grantland)

I don’t simply mean that the Cubs are rebuilding with complete conviction; under the terms of MLB’s collective bargaining agreement, that’s really the only way to go.1 Nor do I mean that the Cubs are nearly the extremists that the Houston Astros are. I’m referring instead to the core principle with which the Cubs have been trying to build a championship roster since team president Theo Epstein and general manager Jed Hoyer were hired after the 2011 season, a principle that distinguishes ...

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Dock Ellis on Acid Posted: August 12, 2014 at 07:48 PM | 75 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, grantland, rany jazayerli, theo epstein

FG: Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and Appreciating Greatness

Let’s go back to the qualified pitcher seasons since 1915, of which there are 7,464… Only 18 times — 0.002% — has a pitcher topped 25% in strikeouts and kept walks below five percent… Four of those seasons had more than one home run per nine innings. Ten of them were above 0.50/9. Still very good, and yet now out of the mix.

We’re left with four seasons… Let’s limit our pitchers to only seasons where the ground ball rate has been at least 50%; this, unfortunately, goes back only to ...

Read More...

Calcaterra: Rays minor leaguer Josh Sale is suspended. Again.

I really thought I was going to be able to pull the trigger on the ambiguous headline here, but I just couldn’t…

The Office of the Commissioner of Baseball announced today that Tampa Bay Rays Minor League outfielder Joshua Sale has received a 50-game suspension without pay after a second positive test for a drug of abuse in violation of the Minor League Drug Prevention and Treatment Program.  The suspension of Sale, who is currently on the roster of the Single-A Charlotte Stone Crabs of the ...

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The District Attorney Posted: August 12, 2014 at 04:26 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: josh sale, minor leagues, rays, suspensions

Robin Williams and a baseball film he never made

Williams’ best baseball line:

 

   Sgt. Major Dickerson: [Pointing to his rank insignia] What does three up and three down mean to you, airman?

   Adrian Cronauer: End of an inning?

I fervently wanted Robin Williams to play Casey Stengel.

A long time ago, I wrote a book about the Hall of Fame manager based upon what I believed to be the central conflict of his life: That he was a very funny man who also wanted to be taken seriously. I don’t mean that Stengel liked to take off his ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2014 at 03:11 PM | 91 comment(s)
  Beats: baseball in film, casey stengel, robin williams, yankees

BP: Sveum’s unheard guide to fixing Royals’ offense

Freddie Patek says just get shorter hitters!

[The Royals] fired [their] previous hitting coach, Pedro Grifol, at the end of May. The replacement was Dale Sveum, before that the manager of the Cubs. The position of hitting coach is widely believed to be largely ornamental (and sometimes sacrificial) in nature. They don’t do much to change the hitters in their tutelage, but they are the first to be fired when the offense underperforms. Accordingly, the Royals were on their fifth hitting coach in ...

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The District Attorney Posted: August 12, 2014 at 03:04 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: dale sveum, royals, sabermetrics

The 1994 strike cost us a terrible playoff team

CONSPIRACY THEORY: Bud Selig cancelled the World Series to avoid this embarrassing failure!

When the strike hit on August 12, 1994, the AL West had four teams with a losing record out of four, with the first-place Rangers sitting at 52-62.

That alone is bad enough, but let’s slap some context on this to drive home how absurd it would have been for the 1994 Rangers or one of the teams trailing them—after all, the last-place Angels were just 5.5 back of Texas at the time of the strike—to ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2014 at 02:48 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: playoffs, rangers, strike, work stoppage

What if the Expos won the 1994 World Series?

I don’t want to live in a world where Loria’s glorious home run machine in Miami doesn’t exist.

World Series champions always experience an attendance craze in the following season, sometimes several seasons. With the revenue increase down the stretch in 1994 with postseason games and everything, isn’t it possible the Expos kept the core together?

If so, the Expos don’t alienate their fan base and finish last in 1995. That’s a whole different ballgame now.

It was obvious the ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2014 at 02:41 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: bud selig, expos, strike, work stoppage

BP (Carleton): I Believe In Clutch Hitting

I assume he means for the next two months, and then Jeter retires.

I examined how, for each player, the leverage of a situation affected his tendencies to swing at the first pitch… I then… calculated the chances that each player would swing at a first pitch when the leverage index was 1 (average) and 2 (a situation twice as important as the average situation)... What I found is that for hitters who show more of an effect on swing difference (leverage makes them swing at the first pitch more), ...

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The District Attorney Posted: August 12, 2014 at 02:24 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

FG: Xander Bogaerts’ Rookie Struggles

I think we’ve learned that “trouble with the curve” is no good for anybody…

[Xander] Bogaerts… has a wRC+ of 82, which combined with mediocre defense has left him hovering around replacement level…

Bogaerts is actually hitting pretty well against fastballs and changeups. The crux of his issues this year have been against breaking balls. And there’s really no way to sugarcoat it. He’s been terrible against any and all spin, hitting just .143 and slugging .167. Unfortunately, opposing ...

Read More...
The District Attorney Posted: August 12, 2014 at 02:06 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox, sabermetrics, xander bogaerts

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