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Sunday, October 19, 2014

JAVIER prospect comparison system, now with speed! - Beyond the Box Score

After posting the original articles on JAVIER, I knew I would have to update these values after the season, which would provide an opportunity to build some improvements into the system.

As a refresher, JAVIER is a minor league hitting evaluation system that uses basic statistics and finds comparable players in history. It uses each player’s minor league walk, strikeout, and isolated power numbers and compares them to the league average, turning them into z-scores. These z-scores are then ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 05:23 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: projection models, projections, prospects

Sherrington: Jeff Banister’s back story as compelling as any in pro sports | Dallas Morning News

If this Rangers gig doesn’t work out, Jeff Banister should check with central casting to see if anyone’s making another epic about Patton. Or a John Wayne biopic. He fits the type. Tall, erect, barrel chest, lantern jaw, laser gaze. The son of a high school football coach, he used the term “men” 22 times at his introductory news conference. When it was over, I wasn’t sure whether to shake his hand or salute.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 04:35 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: jeff banister, rangers

Sunday Notes: Tazawa’s Role, Perkins’ Bullets, Butler, Buck, Baseball Americana | FanGraphs Baseball

Some good stuff from David Laurila.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 02:00 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Dombrowski told that Iglesias ‘will be fine’ for 2015

Their biggest acquisition this off-season already is on the team — shortstop Jose Iglesias.

Iglesias is ramping up his baseball activity, president and general manager Dave Dombrowski said during the team’s end-of-the-season news conference Tuesday.

“The doctors tell me he’ll be fine,” Dombrowski said. “He’s going to be ready for spring training, he’s going to be ready to go, and he’s over all of his (injuries).”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 10:28 AM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: jose iglesias, tigers

Could the Yankees ever be Royals? Young and athletic K.C. is everything that Bombers are not - NY Daily News

The Yankees are sinking in the standings because they have been applying patches to a problem which requires some dry dock time. It’s not because the game has shifted to benefit fast defenders.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 09:00 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: royals, yankees

Josh Byrnes seen as a leader for job under Dodgers president Friedman - CBSSports.com

Like Jed Hoyer in Chicago, would Byrnes really just be an assistant GM with the GM title?

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 08:54 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: andrew friedman, general managers, josh byrnes


Saturday, October 18, 2014

Sielski: A friend fights for ex-Phillie Dick Allen’s Hall of Fame induction

Welcome back,
Your dreams were to knock Bill James out.

“Bill James,” Frog said. “That’s how it all started, I think. I’d like to punch him in the face.”

The author, historian, and sabermetrician, James wrote in 1984 that Allen “did more to keep his teams from winning than anyone else who ever played major league baseball.” As far as Frog’s concerned, that single sentence, from so influential a voice, has done more to damage Allen’s chances of induction than anything else. Yet time has hardly ...

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Repoz Posted: October 18, 2014 at 09:32 PM | 56 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, history, phillies

ESPN: Brian Roberts retires

Second baseman Brian Roberts, who played all but one season of his 14-year major league career with the Baltimore Orioles, confirmed Friday that he is retiring.

Brian Roberts never played a postseason game in his 14-year career, most of which was spent as a second baseman for the Orioles. “It was just kind of my time,” Roberts told the Baltimore Sun. “There were numerous reasons that I felt like I couldn’t play at a level that I was accustomed to and wanted to play at if I continued to ...

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The Clarence Thomas of BBTF (scott) Posted: October 18, 2014 at 03:41 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: brian roberts, orioles

Angell: Gigantic

Last night also put the quietus to that numbing “small ball” we kept hearing from the game announcers all summer, in a season dominated by enormous heat-radiating relievers and resulting low scores and shrivelled offense. You can win games like this, to be sure, as these Giants had been telling us. They’d scored the winning runs in the previous two Cardinals games without anything knocked out of the infield: on a wild peg by Cardinal reliever Randy Choate, and, a night later, two botched ...

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Good cripple hitter Posted: October 18, 2014 at 01:50 PM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: nlcs, roger angell, san francisco giants, st louis cardinals

Progressive Pitch Projections | Community – FanGraphs Baseball

I hope MLB releases FIELDf/x so we can see more interesting stuff like this, but for fielding.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 01:37 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

Peter Gammons: In the year of the improbable, will the impossible happen? - GammonsDaily.com

The Royals won 89 games.

The success of the Royals has led to considerable speculation that we will see a return to the WhiteyBall style. Herzog was a meticulous master of defensive preparation, with folders of pitcher- and hitter-specific charts. But the study of defense is not new. The Athletics focused on defensive information two years after the Moneyball draft, and so were the Red Sox, Mets and several other teams. These Royals did not have the ballpark or the payroll to afford a bopper ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 01:26 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: world series

How long of a season does it take before talent beats chance? - Beyond the Box Score

Regardless of the talent spread of the league, it’s going to take a lot more games than there is time available before we start to see the most talented team winning the regular season. The likelihood that the best team survives the randomness of October and goes on to win the World Series Trophy is even bleaker. While all this randomness may be unsettling, I don’t think anybody is calling for a 20,000 game season, so let us enjoy this great October for what it is: exciting baseball.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 10:31 AM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

On Paul DePodesta, Craig Wright, and rounding out the Dodgers narrative. | Inside the Dodgers

Craig Wright was a pioneer. It’s not easy being a pioneer.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 10:27 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: general managers, history, sabermetrics

San Francisco Giants save best for last in journey back to World Series | FOX Sports

Please, for the love of baseball, keep the Steve Perrys and Neil Diamonds away from the game broadcasts.

Unlike Peavy, who finally got his long-awaited ring last season with Boston, starter Tim Hudson has waited a teenager’s lifetime to even sniff the World Series.
Now, at 39, he finally gets his chance.

“You go 16 years without being able to experience something like this, you wonder if it’s going to happen,” he said in the locker room. “It’s hard to put into words. It almost feels surreal, ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 10:11 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Video: AFL Javelinas at Rafters | MLB.com

OK, I watched part of this game last night before falling asleep. Is there any way to watch the game today?

Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 10:08 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, help

Pedro seems talented in everything he tries. | SportsonEarth.com : Matthew Leach Article

For a neutral observer, it’s great to see the Royals in the World Series. But it’s really a shame that the American League Championship Series is over. Not just because the ball was so good—though it was—but because of Pedro Martinez.

Pedro was the breakout star of the 2013 postseason, and he topped himself in 2014. And now we have to do without Pedro on our television screens until 2015.

This is a significant loss. Pedro is as good as it gets in the broadcast booth, much as he was as good ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 18, 2014 at 09:55 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: broadcaster, pedro martinez

Friday, October 17, 2014

Schoenfield: Welcome to the worst World Series ever

Shorter Schoenfield: Don’t confuse “fun” with “awesome.”

So these aren’t great teams. So this is arguably the worst World Series matchup ever, as far as quality of teams. Giants fans can disagree, but if this was a great team, why did the Giants put themselves in the dice roll of a wild-card game? Why couldn’t they beat out the Dodgers for the division title? Royals fans can point out that their team has won eight postseason games in a row, but if the Royals are a great team, why ...

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JE (Jason) Posted: October 17, 2014 at 09:01 PM | 70 comment(s)
  Beats: kansas city royals, san francisco giants, wild card, world series

Giants, Ishikawa suspend belief in pennant-clinching win

Neshek hung a 1-1 slider, Morse was on it. And …

“It was absolutely pure elation,” said Hunter Pence, Morse’s best friend on the team. “I literally lost 30 seconds of my life. I blacked out. It was chaos.”

Morse raised long gorilla arms and flailed and bounced around the bases, barely touching each one. The crowd noise melted eardrums. When Morse descended into the madness of the Giants dugout, Bruce Bochy had legitimate concerns that hands might be broken.

“It fired us up,” ...

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Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili(Teddy F. Ballgame) Posted: October 17, 2014 at 08:11 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, nlcs, supervillains

Brisbee: The 5 worst commercials of the MLB postseason

Whose father this year is the district attorney? Is this our country?

If you take this pill, there is a gorgeous woman on a beach in front of a sailboat and three random flags (quidditch? idk) just begging to have sex with you. She can wait. She can wait all year. She doesn’t even know how to sail, so she’s hanging out indefinitely. Just get ... that ... taken care of.

 

Greg Franklin Posted: October 17, 2014 at 01:34 PM | 94 comment(s)
  Beats: commercials, media, postseason, television, viagra

Al Oliver on the 1985 ALCS & the Canadian National Anthem

We’re down 2-1 in Game 7 of the 1985 American League Championship Series against the Kansas City Royals. Willie Upshaw just smashed a double to right field off left-hander Charlie Leibrandt, scoring our second baseman Damaso Garcia. I’m standing in the on-deck circle. I have a career .303 average and almost 2750 hits in the major leagues, plus three more in this series, including two game-winners – and I’m not looking toward my manager, because I know what’s coming.


The end of my ...

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djordan Posted: October 17, 2014 at 12:11 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: al oliver, alcs, blue jays, mlb

Tim Sommer: OCTOBER, 1969: THE NEW YORK METS INVENT ME

Back in 1969, a Mets pal of mine tried to start a “Rank and Pfeil Fan Club”...low membership etc, etc.

Before we believed in Beatles, before we believed in Kinks, before girls made us damp with tears or uselessly electric with desire, before we even dreamed of The City and its’ promise of midnight diners and the perfect glamour of sun-gleamed Pan Am buildings, we had baseball.

Before we were swept away by every passion that would occasionally or eternally define us, we were defined by our ...

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Repoz Posted: October 17, 2014 at 10:13 AM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: history, mets

Cardinals proud of fourth straight NLCS appearance | cardinals.com

Remember last week when the Cardinals were the model franchise?

Jim Furtado Posted: October 17, 2014 at 09:33 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals

Bernie Miklasz on Twitter: Matheny, when asked about not using closer T. Rosenthal in 9th

“We can’t bring him in, in a tie-game situation. We’re on the road.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 17, 2014 at 09:23 AM | 125 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals, mike matheny

Surprise heroes, tough ‘pens, gritty clubs make Series tough to predict | FOX Sports

Anyone who claims to have any idea about which club actually will prevail needs to utter the names, “Travis Ishikawa” and “Mike Moustakas” for an hour straight, as fast as humanly possible.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 17, 2014 at 09:21 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: ken rosenthal, world series

Is Jason Heyward the Red Sox’ biggest trade target? - Over the Monster

Heyward is a great defensive rightfielder. Although he hit OK vs. LHP in 2013, for his career he’s been a much better hitter against RHP (.281/.374/.466) than LHP (.221/.301/.349). He would definitely fit the line-up which is getting far too right-handed dominant.

What makes it that much more impressive is that Jason Heyward turned 25 in August. As it stands, Heyward is a fine player, just maybe not the best fit for a Red Sox team with Mookie Betts and Rusney Castillo lined up to play the more ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 17, 2014 at 08:45 AM | 44 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, red sox


Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 10-17-2014

Pittsburgh Press, October 17, 1914:

Reuben N. Oldring, left fielder of the Philadelphia American League baseball team, and Miss Hannah A. Thomas of Bridgeton, N.J., were married by a magistrate [in Philadelphia] today. Oldring is under bail to answer charges of desertion and non-support preferred against him by a Wilkes-Barre (Pa.) girl shortly before the opening of the world’s series games with the Boston Nationals. He denied a prior marriage to the license clerk.

I know it’s gossipy and has ...

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Dan Lee is some pumkins Posted: October 17, 2014 at 06:55 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, rube oldring

Thursday, October 16, 2014

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants - October 16, 2014 | MLB.com Wrap

Congrats to the Giants and their fans!

Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2014 at 11:24 PM | 76 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals, giants, playoffs

red sox - In defense of Royalty: Why Red Sox may want to follow Kansas City’s run prevention model - WEEI | Alex Speier

They already are.

The Red Sox already have the makings of an excellent defense in 2015. Napoli is a good defender at first. Pedroia is fantastic at second. Xander Bogaerts will probably never be much better than average (which is OK considering his offensive potential). Middlebrooks’ defense looks OK at times but seems to be regressing rather than improving. Christian Vazquez is a beast behind the plate. (Their longterm catcher Blake Swihart gets good marks too.) Their outfield already has ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2014 at 08:56 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox, sabermetrics

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