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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Dodgers - Re-signed Juan Rivera

Los Angeles Dodgers - Signed OF Juan Rivera to a 1-year, $4.5 million contract with club option for 1-year, $3.5 million.

This is a signing that makes me want to take a paint tutorial (Billy is pretty loyal to the Royals though and might not be available). Words will have to be enough.

Honestly though this isn’t an objectively terrible signing. I can’t readily identify 60 better corner outfielders, so he’s (arguably) playing on merit. He isn’t horrendously overpaid and there’s no long-term ...

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Ron J Posted: November 05, 2011 at 02:52 AM | 3 comment(s)
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Thursday, November 03, 2011

2012 ZIPS Projections - New York Mets

Obviously not a great year for the Mets at 77-85, but if you just went by the tenor of the media reports, thanks to the Wilpon/Madoff turmoil, you’d think the Mets played like the 1993

edition that went 59-103.  The team spent most of the year, playing “sort of OK-ish” and while never really in any kind of risk of being relevant, weren’t Astrotastic horrible.

The pitching staff is interesting in that while it was one of the worst in the league (the 89 ERA+ was 15th of 16 teams in the National ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: November 03, 2011 at 06:07 PM | 81 comment(s)
  Related News: mets, zips


Tuesday, November 01, 2011

Yankees - Signed Sabathia

New York Yankees - Signed P C.C. Sabathia to a 6-year, $142 million contract.

Well that was something of a letdown. I think most of us were poised
for a lot of posturing and a lengthy negotiation that in the end would
see CC re-signing with the Yankees.

Did he leave anything on the table either in terms of length of
contract or dollar per year? Could be, but I’m skeptical that he left
a lot. In effect he signed for 5 years at $117 million (but with a
potential $5 million buyout at the end) and ...

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Ron Johnson Posted: November 01, 2011 at 03:23 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Related News: yankees


Monday, October 31, 2011

Indians - Acquired Lowe

Cleveland Indians - Acquired P Derek Lowe from the Atlanta Braves for P Chris Jones

It’s not exactly news that Lowe was surplus to requirements in
Atlanta. His health record has been exceptional – rarely missing a
turn since becoming a starter a decade ago.

The problem is that he’s 3 years removed from being an impact player.
His upside is probably league average and I’d be more than a little
surprised if he’s that good. 39 year old pitchers in a decline phase
are not what you’d call good ...

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Ron Johnson Posted: October 31, 2011 at 05:49 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Related News: braves, indians


Sunday, October 30, 2011

2012 ZiPS Projections - Philadelphia Phillies

Not a whole lot of surprises here.  A ton of hitters that played in the organization get projected this year, mostly because the team employed a massive number of semi-familiar names this

year.  Brent Clevlen!  Rich Thompson!  Tagg Bozied!  A lot of the minors looked a bit like the 2004 waiver wire in your fantasy baseball league.

The starting pitching made up for a lot of sins in the form of an overrated offense and should continue to do so, even if they can’t bring Roy Oswalt back at a ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 30, 2011 at 06:28 AM | 55 comment(s)
  Related News: phillies, zips


Thursday, October 27, 2011

2012 ZiPS Projections - Chicago Cubs

Epstein!  That’s pretty much the big news in Cubs baseball the last month.  It’s still hard to tell what direction exactly Epstein will take the Cubs, but it’s likely that the list of

players employed by the Cubs in 2012 will look very different than the list of players below.  Epstein wasn’t brought in with giant sacks full of money in order to politely churn Jim

Hendry’s assemblage of awesomeness.

On the plus side, the Cubs aren’t really as decrepit a team to rebuild as the Houston Astros ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 27, 2011 at 05:24 PM | 65 comment(s)
  Related News: cubs, zips


Tuesday, October 25, 2011

2012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox

Despite the September collapse, the Red Sox managed to still win 90 games, but the collapse is what will be remembered about this team in the year 2050.  Hopefully, as we listen to baseball

games in our rocket cars or watch with our virtual reality Ballparksperience contraptions.  Still, what it came down didn’t really have much to do with beer drinking in the clubhouse

(drinking beer and playing video games seemed to work just fine for the 5/6th of a season during which the team was one of ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:08 PM | 46 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, zips


Monday, October 24, 2011

Frank McCourt Bankruptcy Plan

With so many interest in parties, keeping track of who owes who what is a monumental task.  To make things simple, I’ve made a quick diagram that sums up Frank McCourt’s proposal to the bankruptcy court.

image

Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 11:00 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Related News: dodgers


Transaction Oracle, the Future

As most of you probably ought to know by now, I’ve been contributing regularly to ESPN.com for about a year and a half.  As such, a lot of the transaction analysis stuff that went on in this area has gone by the wayside, simply because I’ve done a lot of articles for ESPN that involve player signings and trades.  While I don’t write up every trade for ESPN, I do enough that to oraculate about the rest here would tend to leave this blog unsatisfyingly fragmented.  After all, what good’s a ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 07:40 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Related News: sabermetrics


2012 ZiPS Projections - New York Yankees

And heeeeeeeere come the pretzels!

Just a reminder, that I’m going in reverse from last year.  Starting next year, I’m going to randomly draw for order.

ZiPS is rather grumpy again about the Yankee starting pitching.  Banuelos and Betances still have a lot of upside, but ZiPS is suspicious about them immediately making an impact in the rotation, given that they both walked way too many batters in AA.  The good news for Yankees fans, of course, is that the team has an open wallet and is likely ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 03:52 PM | 72 comment(s)
  Related News: yankees, zips


Sunday, October 16, 2011

2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations 0.9

Archive with files .xlsx and .csv can be found here.  I’m calling this 0.9 for now as there are usually some errors to massage out, sometimes big ones I overlooked.

As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.

Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.

For those that don’t remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression.  I post the latter one as people have found it ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 16, 2011 at 08:09 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Related News: minor leagues, sabermetrics


Saturday, October 15, 2011

2011 Minor League Park Multipliers

As usual, the raw data for these would be a complete pain to accumulate without the scripting wizardry of Jeff Sackmann.  Jeff runs College Splits, GMAT Hacks and has a weekly column on college baseball on ESPN Insider during the season.  Jeff also has a tennis sabermetrics blog, Heavy Topspin.  So make sure to support Jeff, or else I’ll have to put the information together myseful, resulting in a gigantic headache and me retaliating on the community with random beatings and pessimistic ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: October 15, 2011 at 05:34 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Related News: sabermetrics


Thursday, August 25, 2011

Saying Goodbye to Flanny

I never got to meet Mike Flanagan.  I have no stories about Flanagan, no interesting anecdotes about him, just the lingering emotional attachment that comes with rooting for a sports team when you’re a little kid.  I was born in 1978, so I was too young to remember Mike Flanagan at his best as a pitcher.  But he was a part of the first sports team I was old enough to follow over the course of an entire season, the 1983 Orioles.  It was a pretty good year to become a fan, this being the last ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: August 25, 2011 at 02:59 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Related News: orioles


Tuesday, July 26, 2011

ESPN: Szymborski: Cheap relief key for Bucs and Tribe (INSIDER)

While they’re not among the best teams in baseball, you’ll be hard-pressed to find fans of the Cleveland Indians or Pittsburgh Pirates who are disappointed with how the season has gone so far. Neither club was expected to be serious contenders yet now find themselves in striking distance of a trip to the playoffs.

Other than being rebuilding franchises, one thing both have in common is that they have put together inexpensive, overachieving bullpens that have done a lot of fuel their teams’ ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: July 26, 2011 at 04:35 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Related News: indians, pirates


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