Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Transaction Oracle > Discussion
Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

2006 ZiPS Projections - Atlanta Braves

Some highlights:

Smoltz - 12-8, 3.55

Hudson - 12-9, 3.68

Thomson - 10-9, 4.09

Hampton - 8-10, 4.50

Farnsworth - 67 IP, 80 K, 3.63 ERA



Giles - 311/387/480

Chipper - 273/383/497

Andruw - 275/356/549, 42 HR, 118 RBI

Marte - 252/346/457

Francoeur - 274/315/474, 21 HR

Salatalamacchia - 260/324/391

Pena Jr. - 234/266/317, 15 SB, 16 CS


Name       P   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS
Giles     2b .311 .387 .480 134 517 89 161 42 3 13 66 58 86 15 4
Jones#    3b .273 .383 .497 126 433 68 118 26 1 23 79 78 70 1 0
Jones     cf .275 .356 .549 158 592 93 163 30 3 42 118 69 119 4 4
Furcal#    ss .282 .352 .431 148 613 106 173 30 8 15 67 67 70 32 7
Marte     3b .252 .346 .457 122 416 54 105 21 2 20 65 60 94 0 1
Johnson*    lf .262 .347 .442 133 462 76 121 24 4 17 60 61 97 4 1
Langerhans*  rf .266 .352 .435 136 425 70 113 27 3 13 53 54 102 5 5
LaRoche*    1b .267 .337 .452 127 427 55 114 28 0 17 65 43 87 1 2
Francoeur   rf .274 .315 .474 132 496 73 136 32 2 21 78 23 106 10 5
Estrada#    c   .285 .342 .407 114 383 42 109 32 0 5 55 28 44 0 0
McCarthy   lf .268 .342 .409 95 325 39 87 17 1 9 40 31 78 2 2
Betemit#    ss .270 .336 .403 124 392 49 106 17 4 9 45 36 97 4 3
Barnes     of .287 .327 .405 96 328 38 94 21 0 6 38 19 29 3 3
Franco     1b .267 .332 .386 105 236 25 63 11 1 5 32 23 54 1 1
Saltalamacch c   .260 .324 .391 135 442 63 115 21 2 11 53 41 106 2 1
Thorman*    1b .261 .313 .417 145 537 62 140 24 3 18 71 36 98 3 3
Barkett*    of .246 .314 .405 98 346 38 85 22 0 11 46 32 70 3 1
Hollandswort lf .264 .319 .413 94 235 27 62 16 2 5 29 19 46 3 4
McCann     c   .252 .310 .408 105 341 44 86 18 1 11 44 26 49 2 2
Pena#      c   .278 .323 .352 82 281 28 78 14 2 1 24 20 23 3 2
Orr*      2b .288 .326 .358 111 344 51 99 10 4 2 26 19 48 16 11
Prado     2b .271 .316 .354 114 421 58 114 15 4 4 35 27 57 10 6
Esquivel   rf .233 .294 .381 125 433 54 101 23 1 13 52 29 146 8 4
Mendez     dh .253 .284 .354 63 237 21 60 13 1 3 25   9 27 1 1
Doetsch     cf .239 .296 .315 133 486 66 116 16 3 5 38 35 127 14 9
Perez     c   .236 .268 .352 83 233 15 55 12 0 5 26 10 35 0 1
Jordan     lf .229 .286 .322 64 205 21 47 8 1 3 20 14 35 1 1
Hernandez#  ss .230 .283 .297 123 404 46 93 12 3 3 30 26 60 5 4
Snead#    cf .222 .307 .276 106 370 47 82 11 3 1 21 40 67 30 17
Bourgeois#  2b .224 .281 .281 132 459 49 103 16 2 2 31 32 69 12 3
Joseph     cf .229 .286 .286 121 423 47 97 14 2 2 33 28 111 14 8
Pena       ss .234 .266 .317 136 482 52 113 18 2 6 37 18 107 15 16

Name       ERA   W   L   G GS   INN   H   ER HR   BB   K
Smoltz     3.55 12   8 31 31   213.0 202   84 16   54 150
Farnsworth   3.63   3   2 69   0   67.0   52   27   6   30   80
Hudson     3.68 12   9 29 29   198.0 192   81 13   57 128
Reitsma     3.86   5   5 72   1   77.0   79   33   7   17   48
Boyer     4.04   7   7 40 18   118.0 114   53   8   45   75
Thomson     4.09 10   9 28 28   176.0 181   80 17   46 111
Vasquez     4.21   3   4 50   0   62.0   53   29   6   32   66
Hernandez   4.42   3   4 43   0   59.0   52   29   5   32   59
Hampton*    4.50   8 10 25 25   152.0 158   76 12   59   78
Kolb       4.58   3   4 58   0   53.0   54   27   4   23   31
Bernero     4.65   4   6 37 10   93.0   95   48 11   36   64
James*    4.68   8 10 28 27   148.0 147   77 21   56 117
Foster*    4.69   2   4 56   0   48.0   46   25   6   22   41
Davies     4.78   7 10 29 26   147.0 139   78 16   78 125
Childers   4.80   2   3 48   1   75.0   77   40   8   32   46
Brower     4.83   4   7 71   1   82.0   83   44   9   38   58
Greisinger   4.85   5   8 21 19   117.0 129   63 17   32   63
Lerew     4.93   6   9 29 27   148.0 153   81 21   59 105
Sosa       5.04   6   8 39 15   116.0 117   65 14   58   80
Ramirez*    5.10   7 11 29 28   173.0 189   98 25   63   79
Ward       5.12   3   5 44   0   58.0   63   33   9   20   35
Brooks*    5.13   3   5 50   3   72.0   75   41 12   28   55
McConnell*  5.18   5   8 24 16   99.0 114   57 17   27   47
McBride*    5.26   4   6 43   7   89.0   86   52 12   52   77
Stevens*    5.27   6 11 25 25   164.0 182   96 21   69   88
Powell     5.28   1   1 35   0   46.0   46   27   4   29   30
Barry     5.32   3   5 41   0   71.0   64   42   8   51   67
Devine     6.21   1   1 25   0   29.0   26   20   5   23   31
Kent*      6.38   2   5 38   1   48.0   54   34   5   32   23

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:20 PM | 34 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Related News:

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:32 PM (#1692648)
ye gods. salt-dog for president.
   2. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:34 PM (#1692652)
of course, no way hampton comes close to that projection...
   3. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:35 PM (#1692657)
Yeah, I guarantee that Hampton's line comes out as 0-0, 0.00!

It's interesting for a "what-if" however.
   4. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:43 PM (#1692673)
Does Sosa fall off that cliff with or without Leo?
   5. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 04:44 PM (#1692676)
Sosa will fall off the cliff... the moment ATL trades him, to AZ :-(
   6. Adam S Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:22 PM (#1692954)
Can someone explain the stars and pounds to me? (I feel pretty stupid for not being able to work it out).
   7. Kyle S Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:27 PM (#1692964)
Lefty/switch.
   8. Dr Love Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:27 PM (#1692966)
I believe:

* = lefty

# = switch hitter
   9. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:28 PM (#1692967)
Can someone explain the stars and pounds to me?

I think Dan pounds you until you see stars in daylight...
   10. CrosbyBird Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:38 PM (#1692988)
Is Furcal a free agent? I read somewhere that he might be willing to play 2B to extend his marketability, but that might have been on a fanboy site.
   11. CrosbyBird Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:40 PM (#1692993)
Is Furcal a free agent? I read somewhere that he might be willing to play 2B to extend his marketability, but that might have been on a fanboy site.
   12. CrosbyBird Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:40 PM (#1692994)
Sorry about the double post, but I really wanted to know.
   13. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:52 PM (#1693008)
yes, furcal is a free agent.
   14. Gaylord Perry the Platypus (oi!) Posted: October 19, 2005 at 07:59 PM (#1693022)
yes, furcal is a free agent.

And his agent has made statements indicating he'd be willing to play 2B. Why take teams like the Yankees out of the bidding?
   15. The Hop-Clop Goes On (psa1) Posted: October 19, 2005 at 08:23 PM (#1693074)
Wow...bbref has stats up a in October, Dan starts revealing ZiPS in October...what will we have to look forward to until April? I'm NOT resorting to basketball.
   16. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: October 19, 2005 at 08:38 PM (#1693097)
I would guess that Furcal is willing to state he'd pitch if it'd widen his possible suitors.
   17. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 08:40 PM (#1693100)
Furcal's arm would make him a hellacious 2bman. If he were to join the Yankees at 2B, Jeter actually would be the worst SS on the team... (and I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt over Tony Womack :)
   18. Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: October 19, 2005 at 09:37 PM (#1693233)
I wonder why ZIPS hates Brian McCann so much. He's going to kill that projection.
   19. 1k5v3L Posted: October 19, 2005 at 09:42 PM (#1693250)
Because McCann made the jump from really really low down there?
   20. Adam S Posted: October 19, 2005 at 09:49 PM (#1693265)
Is McCann a good defensive catcher as well?
   21. rb's team is hopeful for the new year! Posted: October 19, 2005 at 10:04 PM (#1693289)
Yes.
   22. rb's team is hopeful for the new year! Posted: October 19, 2005 at 10:05 PM (#1693294)
I suppose I should have prefaced that by saying I had been watching Javy for years, so I may not actually know what a good defensive catcher looks like.
   23. Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: October 19, 2005 at 11:08 PM (#1693400)
He's gotten Smoltz's stamp of approval, but he's probably only a good defensive catcher by Braves standards. Still, dude can rake. He's the best of this year's Baby Braves (excluding Marte).
   24. Dewey, Soupuss Not Doomed to Succeed Posted: October 19, 2005 at 11:11 PM (#1693403)
Are we going to have to adjust all these pitcher stats now that Mazzone is gone?
   25. Spivey Posted: October 19, 2005 at 11:13 PM (#1693407)
You beat me to it, JRE.
   26. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 19, 2005 at 11:36 PM (#1693457)
I actually have a Mazzone/ATL factor programmed now that it has been verified to be a significant, verifiable effect, but given that there was some question as to where he would end up, I chose not to use it. We'll see if it holds up in Baltimore this year.
   27. Dr. Vaux Posted: October 21, 2005 at 06:38 AM (#1695836)
I've already decided not to take any Baltimore pitchers if I play fantasy this year. If I do, it's certain not to hold up, and I want to give it a fair chance.
   28. Dingbat_Charlie Posted: October 21, 2005 at 10:01 PM (#1697302)
thanks Vaux, we appreciate that.

I was planning to pounce on James in my DMB leagues - time to move him down the list a little.
   29. bunyon Posted: October 21, 2005 at 10:37 PM (#1697353)
15 SB, 16 CS

Cox wouldn't let him run that much with this line.
   30. Colin Posted: October 22, 2005 at 04:13 PM (#1697857)
How much playing time are you projecting for Chipper?

I like the francoeur projection. I know it's pretty mediocre for an outfielder, but if he could put up that over a full season at his age that'd be very useful. And that OPS would top the full-season OPS the Braves got out of both corner OF slots this year.
   31. Honkie Kong Posted: October 22, 2005 at 06:18 PM (#1697952)
The Chipper projection is very low, and if he moves across the diamoond, that projection is going to be killed. Guess his 2004 numbers pull his projection down.
I cringe when I see Snead's name in the projection list :(
   32. Coach Mr. Potato Head Posted: October 23, 2005 at 05:43 PM (#1699388)
Why is Josh Ward in the prediction? Does DMB randomly throw in players?
   33. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 23, 2005 at 05:55 PM (#1699427)
Why is Josh Ward in the prediction? Does DMB randomly throw in players?

That would be journeyman reliever Jeremy Ward.
   34. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: October 25, 2005 at 12:31 AM (#1702217)
Langerhans, the precious! We wants it, yes we does!

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
The Ghost's Tryin' to Reason with Hurricane Season
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Syndicate

Page rendered in 0.4006 seconds
47 querie(s) executed