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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Saturday, November 05, 2005
2006 ZiPS Projections - Colorado Rockies
Name W L ERA G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Fuentes* 4 3 3.68 71 0 71.0 59 29 5 31 80
Speier 3 3 4.14 64 0 74.0 71 34 5 29 58
Miller 3 2 4.17 56 0 54.0 46 25 7 23 65
Seay* 1 2 4.50 43 0 48.0 47 24 5 18 41
Kim 8 9 4.56 42 19 140.0 137 71 14 58 109
Miceli 4 4 4.57 58 0 65.0 62 33 9 26 59
Day 7 9 4.61 25 20 119.0 124 61 11 51 66
Francis* 11 14 4.64 31 31 190.0 197 98 24 59 154
Cook 6 7 4.66 26 21 137.0 157 71 10 41 51
Neal 3 4 4.71 53 0 65.0 70 34 6 23 44
Tsao 5 6 4.77 23 18 117.0 116 62 19 40 99
Carvajal 1 2 4.91 38 0 66.0 65 36 6 34 54
DeJean 4 5 4.94 65 0 71.0 72 39 6 36 57
Randall 5 8 5.10 35 12 113.0 122 64 12 48 70
Dohmann 3 4 5.13 60 1 79.0 76 45 14 35 83
Esposito 7 11 5.14 28 28 170.0 198 97 26 46 91
Parker* 7 12 5.23 26 24 148.0 177 86 20 39 63
Acevedo 5 8 5.24 39 17 122.0 138 71 21 34 79
Cortes 1 2 5.25 55 0 60.0 63 35 14 15 43
Chavez 5 9 5.39 28 21 142.0 156 85 22 55 93
Jennings 7 13 5.39 28 28 177.0 195 106 19 83 110
McClellan 4 6 5.42 33 16 118.0 132 71 19 43 79
Williams* 3 7 5.55 61 0 73.0 73 45 9 45 57
Kim 4 9 5.61 35 20 138.0 157 86 22 53 82
Drew 3 6 5.69 24 13 87.0 99 55 14 35 50
Hampson* 6 13 5.74 27 27 163.0 183 104 26 73 103
Wright 7 14 5.81 33 29 178.0 196 115 26 91 110
Bevis 2 5 5.95 52 0 65.0 69 43 11 37 50
Anderson 2 4 6.00 50 0 54.0 59 36 10 28 40
Jimenez 4 9 6.13 23 22 119.0 126 81 21 71 102
Phelps 3 7 6.13 42 7 91.0 101 62 20 41 70
Name P AVG OBP SPC G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
Helton* 1b .334 .457 .571 151 539 104 180 47 3 25 91 121 72 2 1
Piedra* cf .298 .358 .533 118 383 69 114 36 3 16 63 34 89 5 4
Shealy 1b .293 .364 .494 132 447 81 131 31 1 19 70 41 103 2 0
Hawpe* rf .282 .357 .506 116 387 59 109 20 2 21 64 46 89 3 3
Atkins 3b .307 .370 .464 143 524 81 161 35 1 15 75 50 64 0 2
Holliday lf .298 .356 .486 135 514 77 153 30 5 19 74 42 82 10 5
Gonzalez 2b .303 .354 .441 121 399 56 121 23 1 10 48 27 55 2 4
Davis lf .272 .335 .494 106 334 56 91 21 1 17 52 29 128 8 6
Mohr rf .258 .340 .465 112 299 47 77 19 2 13 41 36 86 3 2
Wilson c .255 .344 .443 74 212 36 54 16 0 8 31 29 54 0 0
Bigbie* lf .284 .353 .421 117 401 56 114 21 2 10 47 43 89 6 3
Ardoin c .263 .355 .414 103 304 37 80 17 1 9 38 34 86 2 2
Sullivan* lf .303 .356 .400 141 482 80 146 24 4 5 45 35 84 11 7
Spilborghs lf .279 .348 .420 131 462 82 129 32 3 9 52 45 103 8 7
Barmes ss .289 .333 .433 125 501 84 145 34 1 12 57 23 57 11 9
Miller cf .262 .361 .394 118 424 83 111 14 3 12 44 62 103 15 13
Miles# 2b .300 .339 .402 133 507 74 152 22 3 8 50 29 47 8 6
Baker 3b .263 .326 .414 84 297 48 78 19 1 8 37 24 77 2 1
Stewart* 3b .263 .320 .426 122 448 85 118 20 4 15 56 34 112 7 4
Greene c .258 .294 .468 63 186 19 48 9 0 10 29 9 34 0 0
Closser# c .256 .329 .399 113 371 56 95 22 2 9 43 39 66 1 1
Garabito# ss .273 .326 .389 118 414 58 113 24 3 6 40 30 48 9 6
Olson 3b .257 .320 .403 104 350 55 90 24 0 9 40 29 74 6 5
de la Rosa ss .265 .322 .389 90 275 37 73 14 1 6 31 22 38 5 3
Iannetta c .244 .324 .387 88 287 50 70 13 2 8 34 32 77 1 1
Quintanilla* ss .280 .325 .374 134 500 84 140 22 2 7 48 31 63 3 3
Salazar* lf .252 .329 .381 134 512 96 129 23 5 11 51 57 88 11 10
Freeman cf .261 .314 .376 128 402 60 105 14 4 8 41 27 81 4 4
Machado# ss .202 .327 .297 111 391 67 79 16 3 5 28 73 106 12 8
Nix 2b .217 .272 .332 131 488 68 106 20 0 12 47 26 99 10 6
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2006.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.
Dan Szymborski
Posted: November 05, 2005 at 06:26 AM | 14 comment(s)
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1. The Answer to the TWolves (GMoney) Posted: November 05, 2005 at 04:02 PM (#1719885)Texas: 275/351/472
Boston: 273/350/456
Oakland: 262/339/445
Washington: 248/327/414
Baltimore: 262/340/441
Philadelphia: 268/345/456
Anywhere more specific in mine?
-You've got two Kim's listed - any way to differentiate between Sun-Woo and Byung-Hyun?
-I think the offensive predictions for the big guns (Helton, Atkins, Holliday, Hawpe) are pretty close to what most Rockies fans are expecting out of them next season, though I'd bet the farm on Holliday hitting more than 19 homers.
-J.J. Davis' hitting projection is moot - the Rox are converting him to a pitcher (seriously)
-If Aaron Miles hits .300/.339/.402 in 502 at-bats next year, it will mean that he was a Pacific Coast League All-Star.
-Those projections for Bigbie, Piedra, and even Spilborghs are real nice... tell me again why the Rox A)wasted playing time on Dustan Mohr last year and B)are even CONSIDERING bringing in a fourth outfielder like Marquis Grissom or Jeff Conine?
The better one is Byung-Hyun.
Anybody here seen him play? What do you think?
I object to your liberal usage of the term "better." Henceforth, please refer to him as "the slightly less sucky Kim."
A few years ago when we had the dueling young shortstops named Alex Gonzalez it became fashionable to refer to one as the "better" one (I forget which), but then that guy went into the toilet and they're pretty much indistinguishable by now (seriously, check out their career lines: .244/.303/.393 79 OPS+ versus .245/.291/.391 78 OPS+).
Do you have a link to something that shows this? He asked the Pirates to do this two years ago (threatening to retire), and they refused.
-- MWE
Here's my proof - it's a bit of an older link but it should still work (it's a Rocky Mountain News article)
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