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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Sunday, November 06, 2005

2006 ZiPS Projections - Detroit Tigers


Name       P   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS
Shelton     1b .302 .376 .498 144 510 83 154 33 2 21 84 55 109 0 2
Ordonez     rf .303 .367 .493 109 412 57 125 28 1 16 68 39 47 3 3
Guillen#    ss .312 .376 .472 112 426 68 133 25 5 11 63 44 64 6 5
Young#    lf .275 .339 .481 129 476 65 131 27 4 21 78 39 99 1 1
Polanco     3b .309 .364 .427 128 508 76 157 25 1 11 62 35 32 6 3
Pena*      1b .254 .352 .448 148 511 72 130 23 2 24 78 71 150 4 4
White     lf .283 .335 .450 115 420 55 119 21 2 15 66 27 64 1 2
Monroe     lf .278 .326 .454 145 515 64 143 27 2 20 83 36 88 6 3
Rodriguez   c   .290 .330 .446 133 504 69 146 31 3 14 69 29 90 6 5
Thames     rf .246 .319 .462 114 403 57 99 22 1 21 66 41 88 3 3
Granderson*  cf .269 .337 .426 149 554 82 149 23 8 16 74 54 141 12 9
Inge       3b .261 .327 .411 151 545 61 142 26 7 14 65 52 114 6 6
Gettis     rf .258 .336 .390 116 403 58 104 16 2 11 54 40 114 5 6
Kelly*    ss .275 .333 .376 114 426 58 117 21 2 6 46 38 51 10 4
Tejeda     1b .255 .315 .388 127 459 57 117 20 1 13 62 35 95 1 2
Infante     2b .247 .293 .414 134 469 55 116 26 5 14 60 30 89 10 4
Raburn     2b .236 .308 .383 124 436 57 103 18 2 14 52 40 112 4 3
Gomez*    lf .272 .310 .372 126 449 49 122 19 4 6 49 25 100 9 6
Higginson*  rf .225 .324 .352 123 426 51 96 17 2 11 53 59 73 5 6
Hessman     1b .215 .294 .392 126 424 55 91 16 1 19 58 40 130 3 3
Clevlen     rf .241 .308 .351 128 453 59 109 17 3 9 56 41 121 7 3
Giarratano#  ss .255 .315 .328 104 369 42 94 13 1 4 33 30 74 14 5
Smith*    ss .257 .282 .396 106 366 46 94 15 6 8 45 11 94 7 4
Espinosa#  cf .229 .316 .346 125 463 66 106 16 4 10 44 57 124 12 9
Martinez*  c   .241 .286 .364 72 228 23 55 10 0 6 28 13 52 1 2
Francia#    2b .266 .319 .315 129 496 63 132 9 3 3 40 29 69 24 17
Wilson     c   .227 .290 .335 78 194 19 44 6 0 5 23 13 35 0 1
Dawkins     ss .229 .291 .352 107 341 44 78 17 2 7 37 26 74 7 7
McDonald   2b .244 .292 .314 73 172 17 42 7 1 1 14 10 24 3 2
Logan#    cf .247 .297 .315 144 482 63 119 15 6 2 36 34 96 29 18
Kirkland   3b .216 .269 .339 121 422 52 91 16 6 8 39 17 121 8 4
Wise*      cf .223 .268 .340 105 341 37 76 11 4 7 37 18 71 11 5
Vina*      2b .219 .289 .316 49 196 23 43 9 2 2 16 11 17 2 4
St. Pierre   c   .228 .274 .306 101 356 38 81 13 0 5 33 21 58 1 1
Hooper     2b .220 .268 .255 103 368 43 81 8 1 1 25 21 55 12 6

Name       ERA   W   L   G GS   INN   H   ER HR   BB   K
Rodney     3.63   4   2 49   0   57.0   49   23   4   24   61
Verlander   3.86   9   6 22 22   126.0 126   54 11   31 103
Bonderman   4.09 14 12 30 30   187.0 180   85 20   61 158
Walker*    4.19   4   3 70   0   58.0   59   27   7   15   40
Spurling   4.28   4   4 67   0   82.0   83   39 10   24   39
Dingman     4.37   4   3 58   0   68.0   64   33   9   25   64
Karnuth     4.50   4   4 61   0   66.0   71   33   5   23   33
Ginter     4.54   4   4 32 15   109.0 122   55 14   22   61
Douglass   4.59   8   9 32 27   151.0 149   77 16   66 113
Johnson     4.63 10 11 33 33   202.0 221 104 22   60 106
Robertson*  4.69 10 11 33 32   194.0 199 101 27   68 131
Percival   4.72   2   3 43   0   40.0   37   21   6   18   32
Maroth*    4.74 12 15 34 34   207.0 231 109 28   53 107
Ledezma*    4.76   7   9 27 20   123.0 130   65 14   47   81
Colon     4.79   5   5 49   8   94.0 100   50 12   32   61
Zumaya     5.06   7   8 25 25   144.0 135   81 20   79 151
Baugh     5.07   8 10 26 26   149.0 165   84 19   55   85
Ennis     5.08   4   6 46 10   101.0 106   57 14   41   73
Good       5.09   5   8 26 20   122.0 135   69 22   34   78
Woodyard   5.10   3   5 44   0   83.0   88   47   9   38   50
Larrison   5.28   4   5 20 20   104.0 118   61 12   44   42
Miner     5.33   6   9 27 24   135.0 146   80 16   67   86
German     5.48   3   4 63   0   64.0   62   39   8   41   55
Knotts     5.57   6   9 35 24   152.0 168   94 25   67   91
Creek*    5.57   1   2 42   1   42.0   43   26   8   20   37
Green     5.58   5 10 35 16   108.0 112   67 13   65   75
Lewis     5.63   9 15 29 29   160.0 175 100 23   81 115
Sleeth     5.79   7 10 24 24   143.0 158   92 25   71 100
Peterson   5.95   2   5 46   0   59.0   64   39   9   34   43
Henkel     5.97   4   9 23 14   86.0 100   57 16   36   52
Sanchez*    6.00   1   2 22   0   24.0   28   16   3   14   11
Bumatay*    6.05   2   4 51   0   64.0   63   43 10   46   62
Almonte     6.20   2   6 53   0   61.0   74   42 14   21   37
Bynum*    6.38   4   8 38 13   103.0 112   73 20   65   78


Disclaimer:  ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. 
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2006. 
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example.  Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.

Dan Szymborski Posted: November 06, 2005 at 05:47 PM | 18 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Jorge Luis Bourjos (Walewander) Posted: November 06, 2005 at 05:57 PM (#1720675)
The Shelton, Granderson, and Verlander projections are heartening. Bonderman, Ledezma, and Zumaya not so much. Thanks, Dan.
   2. Jorge Luis Bourjos (Walewander) Posted: November 06, 2005 at 06:05 PM (#1720684)
Oh, and based on those projections, who wants to lay money on 'Cubs - sign RF Bobby Higginson to two-year deal'?
   3. Darren Posted: November 06, 2005 at 06:23 PM (#1720708)
What's Bonderman's health prognosis? He was having an excellent year before breaking down.

Man, that Shelton rule 5 pickup is making the Pirates look even dumber than ever, if that's possible.
   4. Jorge Luis Bourjos (Walewander) Posted: November 06, 2005 at 07:46 PM (#1720791)
Bonderman should be OK. He broke down before breaking down last year, if you know what I mean.
   5. Spivey Posted: November 06, 2005 at 07:56 PM (#1720795)
Zumaya's projection looks on point to me. His control problems still would prevent him from being good in the majors (unless he improves it this year). His value as a prospect is in his strikeouts (which ZIPS projects to stay very high) and his age (which ZIPS projects not to change).
   6. Barnaby Jones Posted: November 07, 2005 at 12:07 AM (#1721013)
Fernando Vina is still alive?
   7. Russ Posted: November 07, 2005 at 12:16 AM (#1721023)
The best part of the Shelton story will be when the Pirates, in their annual Drive for 75, will decide that Brad Eldred strikes out too much to start in the major leagues and that Craig Wilson can't play against right-handers, so they'll sign some godawful piece of crap veteran to fill a hole that they've been trying to fill since Kevin Goddam Young. I'm thinking someone like Scott Spiezio.

Yes, Kevin Young was the *good* firstbaseman that I can remember.

Every time I see Shelton's stats, I cry a little.
   8. Russ Posted: November 07, 2005 at 12:17 AM (#1721024)
BTW, I hope Shelton CRUSHES the ball the first half of the season, so we can all see him at the ASG at PNC next year. Justice, sweet justice.
   9. Dr. Vaux Posted: November 07, 2005 at 01:38 AM (#1721064)
Tigers ZIPS hijacked by the Pirates?

I guess that makes a certain amount of sense...
   10. Dewey, Soupuss Not Doomed to Succeed Posted: November 07, 2005 at 01:40 AM (#1721066)
Fernando Vina is still alive?

He was technically on the DL all last season, but he's done.
   11. Jorge Luis Bourjos (Walewander) Posted: November 07, 2005 at 07:41 AM (#1721331)
Tigers ZIPS hijacked by the Pirates?

I know! We get one thread a month and we have Pirates fans hijacking it! The humanity!
   12. Buddha Posted: November 08, 2005 at 10:59 PM (#1724283)
If Verlander did that, I'd be very, very, very happy.
   13. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: November 08, 2005 at 11:10 PM (#1724309)
"Every time I see Shelton's stats, I cry a little."

Every time I see Shelton's name, blood shoots out of my eyeballs.
   14. Buddha Posted: November 09, 2005 at 11:57 PM (#1725699)
That's funny, every time I see Shelton's name, I get happy.
   15. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: November 10, 2005 at 10:46 PM (#1726933)
Argh, the pain!

*splort*
   16. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: November 15, 2005 at 04:12 PM (#1732445)
Has anyone else seen rumors about Sean Douglass signing with the Carp next year?
   17. Buddha Posted: November 18, 2005 at 05:57 PM (#1737185)
I thought Douglass signed with Cleveland?
   18. chemdoc Posted: November 18, 2005 at 06:13 PM (#1737223)
I thought fish couldn't survive in the Cuyahoga River.

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