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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Monday, December 12, 2005
2006 ZiPS Projections - Philadelphia Phillies
Name P AVG OBP SPC G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
Abreu* rf .290 .415 .483 161 586 99 170 42 1 23 93 124 134 27 10
Howard* 1b .281 .357 .531 152 533 81 150 29 1 34 98 60 190 1 1
Utley* 2b .281 .365 .510 146 533 84 150 36 4 26 91 65 103 12 4
Burrell lf .268 .379 .480 150 552 72 148 28 1 29 95 99 160 0 0
Michaels cf .295 .393 .418 107 275 43 81 14 1 6 33 43 59 2 3
Rowand cf .288 .346 .442 151 525 80 151 33 3 14 72 33 100 14 5
Rollins# ss .281 .342 .427 162 701 110 197 42 9 14 79 65 87 33 10
Lieberthal c .262 .332 .410 124 439 46 115 26 0 13 56 37 55 0 1
Victorino lf .273 .332 .400 130 495 83 135 17 5 12 58 41 85 13 11
Lofton* cf .278 .333 .368 112 378 54 105 15 5 3 36 30 48 15 5
Coste c .263 .315 .400 114 415 50 109 22 1 11 52 26 73 2 2
Castellano lf .265 .317 .393 117 407 48 108 23 1 9 48 29 62 3 2
Kata# 2b .274 .316 .392 113 413 53 113 23 4 6 42 25 66 3 3
Chavez* cf .282 .332 .373 143 490 62 138 20 5 5 46 37 48 20 10
Nunez# 3b .279 .337 .357 131 359 50 100 12 2 4 36 32 57 1 2
Bell 3b .248 .319 .375 143 525 52 130 29 1 12 61 52 74 0 1
Rushford* lf .263 .320 .372 125 449 52 118 26 1 7 50 36 52 2 2
Sandoval ss .279 .335 .376 125 481 61 134 27 1 6 48 39 65 13 14
Bourn* cf .254 .324 .339 129 492 79 125 15 6 5 44 50 124 32 9
Tucker* rf .231 .318 .360 127 372 47 86 18 3 8 43 47 83 5 5
Roberson cf .260 .315 .369 130 485 70 126 18 4 9 49 32 114 22 14
Ruiz c .249 .297 .386 99 337 39 84 17 4 7 36 21 44 4 4
Martinez 2b .251 .314 .338 87 219 19 55 11 1 2 21 19 34 1 0
Budzinski* rf .249 .314 .349 127 461 64 115 24 5 4 41 41 116 7 7
Fasano c .217 .265 .411 75 207 23 45 7 0 11 34 10 49 0 0
Padilla rf .246 .318 .327 98 349 45 86 13 0 5 32 34 75 9 8
Perez# 3b .236 .291 .351 100 208 23 49 13 1 3 22 16 43 0 1
Hinch c .233 .298 .326 83 258 23 60 13 1 3 26 19 53 0 1
Hannahan 2b .229 .312 .291 95 292 35 67 11 2 1 21 30 77 6 4
Richardson 3b .216 .270 .358 106 352 38 76 12 1 12 39 23 106 0 3
Name W L ERA G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Flash 8 3 3.26 77 0 80.0 60 29 6 32 83
Madson 7 4 3.64 69 0 84.0 75 34 9 22 74
Geary 4 3 3.81 51 1 78.0 73 33 7 24 61
Fultz* 3 2 3.88 61 0 65.0 57 28 7 24 49
Santana 5 4 4.04 44 0 49.0 40 22 5 23 53
Cormier* 5 3 4.04 69 0 69.0 64 31 7 23 47
Lieber 14 13 4.17 32 32 205.0 213 95 29 35 133
Lopez 4 4 4.20 58 0 75.0 68 35 12 23 74
Myers 12 10 4.21 33 33 201.0 188 94 27 65 178
Firebug 5 5 4.25 73 0 72.0 55 34 10 38 85
Telemaco 5 4 4.30 31 18 134.0 133 64 22 29 94
Lidle 13 12 4.36 32 32 198.0 205 96 22 54 120
Wolf* 8 8 4.53 23 23 143.0 139 72 20 49 114
Hernandez 5 6 4.83 47 1 69.0 68 37 8 32 58
Franco 4 5 4.83 42 8 95.0 101 51 11 35 57
Moreno 4 5 4.84 20 12 80.0 82 43 11 28 49
Tejeda 6 8 4.85 29 21 128.0 118 69 15 69 111
Hamels* 1 2 5.00 6 6 27.0 25 15 3 17 24
Floyd 7 11 5.22 31 28 169.0 175 98 20 83 113
Condrey 5 10 5.27 25 24 135.0 157 79 24 33 65
Sanches 3 4 5.29 47 2 80.0 84 47 16 28 63
Hodge 3 6 5.40 45 0 70.0 75 42 15 22 53
Haigwood* 6 10 5.41 24 24 133.0 134 80 18 73 107
Burke* 3 5 5.43 56 0 68.0 65 41 8 43 58
Ellis 5 9 5.52 25 21 137.0 157 84 26 42 69
Cameron 4 7 5.63 45 7 96.0 95 60 17 52 80
Brito* 4 8 5.73 37 16 110.0 117 70 20 53 79
Lee 3 6 5.80 27 15 104.0 114 67 22 42 74
Bacsik* 4 11 5.83 31 23 142.0 167 92 31 42 80
Mathieson 3 10 6.11 24 24 131.0 156 89 28 49 76
Butto 3 10 6.42 45 6 101.0 119 72 24 41 67
Bucktrot 2 8 6.94 16 16 83.0 102 64 21 39 41
Segovia 3 15 6.98 27 27 147.0 196 114 37 52 50
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2006.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 12, 2005 at 09:36 PM | 14 comment(s)
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1. Math Attack Posted: December 12, 2005 at 10:06 PM (#1774079)Yes, but the pitchers won't have nearly as many at bats as Mr. Howard will.
Cute.
Last year he had 31 HR, 69 BB and 208 Ks in 215.3 innings.
Zips predicts about the same peripherals, but with a bit lower K rate.
To me, Myers' worst case seems that he'll be about average, and he could be considerably better if he improves his control while maintaining last year's K rate.
I was hoping (as a Myers fantasy owner) that Rowand's arrival would mean improved results for Philly pitching, but (at least according to BPro's defensive numbers), both Lofton and Michaels played well there in '05.
Zips has him putting up essentially the same peripherals. Most of that "getting worse" appears to be his ERA lining up with his other numbers.
So, if he goes to prison for that Venezuelan mess does that let the Phillies out?
I think he is a free agent, but Dan just puts free agents' projections under the team they were last with.
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