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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Monday, May 28, 2007

2007 ZiPS Memorial Day Roster Update

This is the spreadsheet - still a couple manager profiles to do on the DMB disk itself (will make note in this entry).  No 2007 stats are taken into account into these projections, any difference is due to definite role changes (paging Mr. Papelbon).  There are about 50 new projections as well.

2007 ZiPS Memorial Day Update for Microsoft Excel

Dan Szymborski Posted: May 28, 2007 at 03:45 AM | 14 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. 100 Years is Nothing Posted: May 28, 2007 at 01:08 PM (#2381167)
Looking forward to the finished product. Will the scheduling be fixed? Thanks for all the work!
   2. Harris Posted: May 28, 2007 at 02:58 PM (#2381216)
shane victorino - projected for 9 SBs..... Doesn't he already have 14?
   3. HowardMegdal Posted: May 28, 2007 at 05:36 PM (#2381298)
This is very exciting- but since I am an idiot, I forget how to load this into my DMB. I'm sure there are directions on the site- can anyone send me a link? A corresponding insult with it is just fine.
   4. Dan Szymborski Posted: May 28, 2007 at 05:44 PM (#2381302)
shane victorino - projected for 9 SBs..... Doesn't he already have 14?

16, actually.
   5. Dan Szymborski Posted: May 28, 2007 at 05:45 PM (#2381303)
This is very exciting- but since I am an idiot, I forget how to load this into my DMB. I'm sure there are directions on the site- can anyone send me a link?

The disk part isn't uploaded yet - finishing up the profiles tonight after BBQ.
   6. 100 Years is Nothing Posted: May 28, 2007 at 08:30 PM (#2381452)
to install the disk, save it to your hard drive, and then simply go to the dm program, hit the file section in the upper left, then restore, and click on where ever you saved the file. works easiest if you originally save it to the c:dmb file.
   7. HowardMegdal Posted: May 28, 2007 at 08:41 PM (#2381465)
Excellent! In order to show my support for Dan and his work, I too will have a burger.
   8. HowardMegdal Posted: June 01, 2007 at 12:28 AM (#2386758)
"The disk part isn't uploaded yet - finishing up the profiles tonight after BBQ."

Next year, I want in on this BBQ.
   9. Cheer and boo and raise a hullabaloo Posted: June 03, 2007 at 05:50 AM (#2390224)
If you were incorporating to-date 2007 stats and trying to project the rest of 2007, what weighting do you give to the 2007 stats, and what weight to the before-2007-started projections?

I've been doing the simple Games/162 weight to the 2007 stats, which is probably a little high.

Thanks for the spreadsheet!
   10. Dan Szymborski Posted: June 04, 2007 at 03:22 AM (#2391509)
Next year, I want in on this BBQ.

Got tied up with something else - this has not been my year.

If you were incorporating to-date 2007 stats and trying to project the rest of 2007, what weighting do you give to the 2007 stats, and what weight to the before-2007-started projections?


When I do in-season projections, which I'm honestly not too crazy about, I pretend that the season is over, do the normal weighting, and then apply a percentage of the season to affect the weighting. I'm working on a more mathematically "accurate" method.
   11. HowardMegdal Posted: June 04, 2007 at 03:41 PM (#2392035)
"Got tied up with something else - this has not been my year."

I'm sorry to hear it. I'm sure I speak for the lion's share of BTF members when I remind you that you present us with massive amounts of free data, and therefore if there is a delay in the presentation of said data, we are more than understanding.

Speaking purely for myself, I am disappointed that the delay wasn't caused by a three day bacchanalia of burgers.
   12. HowardMegdal Posted: July 10, 2007 at 08:39 PM (#2436028)
I miss playing DMB with ZIPS projections. No two ways about it.
   13. Dan Szymborski Posted: July 10, 2007 at 11:55 PM (#2436171)
SG does have one with the rosters that he used for the seasonal sims.

Doing the profiles in-season is a real nightmare - it's way too much to do in a couple days and every time I finish one profile, another one needs to be drastically changed.
   14. HowardMegdal Posted: July 11, 2007 at 04:07 AM (#2437137)
Hey, I can imagine! Where are the SG rosters?

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