2008 ZiPS Projections for Diamond Mind 9 and Microsoft Excel, Build 1.1
The title is pretty explanatory.
2008 ZiPS Projections for Microsoft Excel
2008 ZiPS Projection Disk for Diamond Mind 9
2/8 Update
The DMB disk has been updated with SG’s version with depth charts, plus a few new signings (Hinske, Miller, etc.) a couple of other minor league signings, Slayden moved to PHI, and projections for Ramon Nivar (256/295/331, Edgar Gonzalez (259/319/370), and John Hudgins (4.98). Remember to let me know of additional player requests!
So, what’s done here? Projections for 1036 pitchers and 1005 hitters. If you play Diamond Mind, 40-man rosters (with the exceptions of players I don’t do like whathisface from Cuba and David Price) and as many non-roster invitees as I have been able to verify are on the team, either as a non-roster invitee, an offseason minor league signing, or a carryover player not eligible for minor league free agency.
SG has provided the 2008 schedule, so that’s done.
What’s then left is making any corrections, adding any players that you wish to see projected that I can reasonably do (some 300 players here did not have projections for the team-by-team rundowns), and eventually making rosters. In particular, if any DMB players would like to contribute a manager tendencies profile, it would be a big help and save time of the odious task of whittling the 40-man rosters down and allocating playing time for sims.
To import the 2008 disk into DMB, create a new empty database, select “Restore” and choose the zip file provided.
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Dan Szymborski
Posted: February 04, 2008 at 06:09 AM |
116 comment(s)
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J.Duchscherer: 9-6, 21 GS, 128 IP, 132 H, 54 ER, 15 HR, 26 BB, 102 SO, 3.80 ERA
J.Affeldt: 8-11, 27 GS, 128 IP, 139 H, 77 ER, 15 HR, 66 BB, 76 SO, 5.41 ERA
B.Myers: 12-10, 31 GS, 193 IP, 192 H, 89 ER, 32 HR, 56 BB, 183 SO, 4.15 ERA
R.Dempster: 9-11, 27 GS, 141.7 IP, 149 H, 80 ER, 17 HR, 64 BB, 106 SO, 5.08 ERA
C.Villaneuva: 8-8, 22 GS, 143.3 IP, 147 H, 76 ER, 22 HR, 55 BB, 110 SO, 4.77 ERA
Over on the DMB forum, there's some discussion about how splits play out in your ZiPS disk. David Pyke, DMB's tech support man, said as follows:
"If the player records on the ZiPS Projection disk were created using the "Overall" method, which I think we can assume, then DMB would "use historical norms to rate batters to perform better against opposite-handed pitchers. The difference is about 20 batting average points and 30-40 points in slugging average. In other words, a lefty hitter who batted .280 overall would be rated to hit about .287 against righties and .267 against lefties. If that player faces righties about 2/3 of the time, his overall average in his DMB games would be around .280. Similar adjustments are made for right-handed batters and for pitchers."
I'm thinking that what David says is indeed the case with ZiPS: that if you use the disk, over time, splits will tend to fall out along the lines of historical norms. There have been some questions posed by folks who are assuming (without being certain or testing them) that the splits are totally vanilla; i.e., they don't exist.
Knowing what you know about DMB's game engine and how the ZiPS disk was created, would splits tend to fall out over historical norms over time?
Thanks.
TR
I've always taken it for granted that any split created with overall would have the event table apply generic historical splits as that's always been my experience - I've played a ridiculous amount of DMB. If I thought that "Overall" generated an event table was the same for lefties as righties, I'd definitely make more of an effort to project splits. The only thing I've done differently this year (though not for the first release) is regenerate tables for starting switch-hitters with strong platoon splits (like Orlando Hudson) by changing them to the side of the plate they're in tune with, regenerating the event table, and then putting them back to switch.
Thanks for taking the time to answer. I think this will make some posters on the DMB forum (including me) pretty happy.
Is it okay if I put your reply up on the thread where this is being discussed, or would you rather answer questions there yourself if you post there?
Thanks again.
Thanks for your feedback. Dan.
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