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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

2009 ZiPS Projections - Florida Marlins

It’s hard to talk a lot about the Florida Marlins because when people talk about a team’s future, they talk about the team in the context of a baseball team and winning games.  Jeff Loria isn’t trying to run a baseball team but instead, the sports equivalent of a slum lord.  He puts out a horrible product and waits for his government honeypot.  Sure, the Marlins take steps forward on the field and occasionally even do well, but Loria actually saps the joy out of any success by ensuring that any step forward is only meaningful to the extent that it helps or hinder his personal payday.

Marlins fans haven’t supported the team, but it’s not their fault.  Who can blame them?  The Marlins have shown absolutely no loyalty to their fans.

The team?  The Marlins have some excellent players and at least one future star in Michael Stanton.  But what does it matter?  They’ll all eventually move on to organizations that give a ####.

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
CATCHERS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ ARM

FAIR
John Baker*          c   28 .251 .326 .368 99 323 38 81 18 1 6 38 34 73 2 1   85 Fr
Paul Lo Duca         c   37 .261 .318 .337 80 261 26 68 11 0 3 27 19 20 1 0   76 Fr
Matt Treanor         c   33 .242 .322 .335 62 182 17 44 8 0 3 22 18 41 0 0   76 Av

POOR
Mike Rabelo#        c   29 .242 .297 .355 63 211 19 51 10 1 4 21 13 49 0 1   74 Fr
Brett Hayes         c   25 .241 .280 .353 97 340 32 82 12 1 8 34 17 70 2 6   68 Fr
Paul Hoover         c   33 .218 .271 .332 63 202 17 44 9 1 4 19 14 59 1 1   60 Vg

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
FIRST BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ RNG

FAIR
Jorge Cantu         3b 27 .270 .324 .458 131 493 65 133 31 1 20 75 34 96 2 1 106 Av

POOR
Wes Helms           1b 33 .258 .321 .399 107 213 22 55 12 0 6 37 16 52 0 0   91 Av
Gaby Sanchez         1b 25 .254 .319 .405 138 511 63 130 29 0 16 70 45 79 10 8   92 Av
Logan Morrison*      1b 21 .252 .304 .403 138 528 58 133 26 0 18 65 38 88 5 2   87 Fr
Dallas McPherson*      3b 28 .217 .295 .432 108 368 45 80 18 2 19 50 39 152 7 4   91 Av
Paul Lo Duca         c   37 .261 .318 .337 80 261 26 68 11 0 3 27 19 20 1 0   76 Fr
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Av
John Gall           lf 31 .244 .303 .356 90 320 31 78 16 1 6 42 25 50 5 3   76 Fr
Jason Wood           1b 39 .227 .288 .292 88 216 21 49 8 0 2 29 16 51 2 0   56 Av

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
SECOND BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ RNG

EXCELLENT
Dan Uggla           2b 29 .262 .348 .488 150 572 103 150 38 2 29 87 67 152 4 4 120 Fr

VERY GOOD
Jorge Cantu         3b 27 .270 .324 .458 131 493 65 133 31 1 20 75 34 96 2 1 106 Pr

POOR
Chris Coghlan*        2b 24 .251 .315 .363 125 487 62 122 23 1 10 62 42 69 29 8   81 Av
Chase Lambin#        2b 29 .241 .308 .381 122 394 45 95 18 2 11 42 35 103 3 3   83 Fr
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Fr
Andrew Beattie#      2b 31 .234 .302 .349 104 350 38 82 14 1 8 39 34 88 7 3   74 Av
Chris Barnwell       ss 30 .235 .299 .311 113 392 40 92 16 1 4 28 30 66 12 4   64 Av
Robert Andino         2b 25 .232 .280 .337 114 406 39 94 15 2 8 28 26 90 16 8   64 Vg
Jason Wood           1b 39 .227 .288 .292 88 216 21 49 8 0 2 29 16 51 2 0   56 Pr

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
THIRD BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ RNG

AVERAGE
Jorge Cantu         3b 27 .270 .324 .458 131 493 65 133 31 1 20 75 34 96 2 1 106 Pr
———————————————————————————————————————————————————

FAIR
Wes Helms           1b 33 .258 .321 .399 107 213 22 55 12 0 6 37 16 52 0 0   91 Fr
Gaby Sanchez         1b 25 .254 .319 .405 138 511 63 130 29 0 16 70 45 79 10 8   92 Pr
Dallas McPherson*      3b 28 .217 .295 .432 108 368 45 80 18 2 19 50 39 152 7 4   91 Fr

POOR
Chris Coghlan*        2b 24 .251 .315 .363 125 487 62 122 23 1 10 62 42 69 29 8   81 Av
Chase Lambin#        2b 29 .241 .308 .381 122 394 45 95 18 2 11 42 35 103 3 3   83 Av
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Fr
Andrew Beattie#      2b 31 .234 .302 .349 104 350 38 82 14 1 8 39 34 88 7 3   74 Av
Chris Barnwell       ss 30 .235 .299 .311 113 392 40 92 16 1 4 28 30 66 12 4   64 Av
Jason Wood           1b 39 .227 .288 .292 88 216 21 49 8 0 2 29 16 51 2 0   56 Fr

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
SHORTSTOPS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ RNG

EXCELLENT
Hanley Ramirez       ss 25 .307 .393 .546 154 612 124 188 39 4 33 71 81 112 38 12 148 Fr

FAIR
Chase Lambin#        2b 29 .241 .308 .381 122 394 45 95 18 2 11 42 35 103 3 3   83 Fr
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Av

POOR
Chris Barnwell       ss 30 .235 .299 .311 113 392 40 92 16 1 4 28 30 66 12 4   64 Fr
Robert Andino         2b 25 .232 .280 .337 114 406 39 94 15 2 8 28 26 90 16 8   64 Av
Jason Wood           1b 39 .227 .288 .292 88 216 21 49 8 0 2 29 16 51 2 0   56 Pr

————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
CORNER OUTFIELDERS
————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+  LF RF

VERY GOOD
Jeremy Hermida*      rf 25 .271 .352 .468 135 479 72 130 27 2 21 69 55 123 6 2 117 Av Av
Cody Ross           cf 28 .263 .332 .489 120 354 49 93 23 3 17 53 33 91 4 0 116 Vg Vg

FAIR
John Raynor         lf 25 .260 .325 .390 128 497 81 129 22 2 13 42 42 114 47 10   90 Av Av
Cameron Maybin       cf 22 .254 .319 .399 114 414 62 105 14 2 14 44 39 118 27 6   90 Vg Vg
Luis Gonzalez*        lf 41 .255 .333 .392 121 329 36 84 19 1 8 49 38 43 2 1   93 Fr Fr

POOR
Jacque Jones*        rf 34 .253 .320 .382 86 288 34 73 15 2 6 40 27 61 4 1   87 Av Vg
Chase Lambin#        2b 29 .241 .308 .381 122 394 45 95 18 2 11 42 35 103 3 3   83 Fr Fr
Scott Cousins*        rf 24 .251 .297 .396 95 371 45 93 16 1 12 42 23 81 17 7   83 Av Av
Jai Miller           rf 24 .227 .295 .373 129 459 47 104 20 1 15 44 42 139 19 4   77 Vg Av
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Av  
Michael Stanton       rf 19 .221 .284 .386 133 529 53 117 19 1 22 55 40 139 3 1   77 Vg Vg
Brett Carroll         rf 26 .225 .279 .403 109 347 40 78 16 2 14 44 22 90 4 3   80 Av Av
John Gall           lf 31 .244 .303 .356 90 320 31 78 16 1 6 42 25 50 5 3   76 Fr  
Andrew Beattie#      2b 31 .234 .302 .349 104 350 38 82 14 1 8 39 34 88 7 3   74 Av Av

———————————————————————————————————————————————————
CENTERFIELDERS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               P Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+ RNG

VERY GOOD
Cody Ross           cf 28 .263 .332 .489 120 354 49 93 23 3 17 53 33 91 4 0 116 Av

FAIR
John Raynor         lf 25 .260 .325 .390 128 497 81 129 22 2 13 42 42 114 47 10   90 Av
Cameron Maybin       cf 22 .254 .319 .399 114 414 62 105 14 2 14 44 39 118 27 6   90 Vg
Jacque Jones*        rf 34 .253 .320 .382 86 288 34 73 15 2 6 40 27 61 4 1   87 Av
Scott Cousins*        rf 24 .251 .297 .396 95 371 45 93 16 1 12 42 23 81 17 7   83 Fr

POOR
Jai Miller           rf 24 .227 .295 .373 129 459 47 104 20 1 15 44 42 139 19 4   77 Av
Alfredo Amezaga#      cf 31 .260 .319 .343 119 315 38 82 12 4 2 24 25 47 10 5   77 Av
Michael Stanton       rf 19 .221 .284 .386 133 529 53 117 19 1 22 55 40 139 3 1   77 Av
Brett Carroll         rf 26 .225 .279 .403 109 347 40 78 16 2 14 44 22 90 4 3   80 Fr
Andrew Beattie#      2b 31 .234 .302 .349 104 350 38 82 14 1 8 39 34 88 7 3   74 Fr

—————————————————————————————————————————————
STARTERS
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               Age   ERA   W   L   G GS   INN   H   ER HR   BB   K ERA+

MIDDLE THIRD
Josh Johnson         25   4.04   6   5 20 18   107.0 110   48   9   40   87 106
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Ricky Nolasco         26   4.57 10 11 31 30   189.0 201   96 28   40 151   94
Anibal Sanchez         25   4.59   5   5 17 17   96.0   98   49 11   43   76   93
Andrew Miller*        24   4.60   8 10 32 25   141.0 147   72 11   63 113   93
Eulogio de la Cruz     25   4.73   7   9 37 19   135.0 140   71 12   67   96   91

BOTTOM THIRD
Mark Hendrickson*      35   4.90   6   8 31 17   123.0 138   67 15   42   83   87
Burke Badenhop         26   4.94   6   7 21 19   113.0 134   62 11   39   55   87
Christopher Volstad     22   5.03   6   9 21 21   127.0 147   71 14   43   62   85
Ryan Tucker           22   5.11   5   8 34 22   132.0 144   75 15   66   79   84
Dallas Trahern         23   5.49   7 11 25 25   141.0 166   86 21   60   74   78
Aaron Thompson*        22   5.61   3   6 19 19   101.0 122   63 13   43   43   78
Chris Seddon*        25   5.62   6 11 26 26   141.0 160   88 23   63   99   76
Henricus van den Hurk   24   5.66   1   3   7   7   35.0   38   22   6   19   36   76
Bob Keppel           27   5.88   5 11 24 20   124.0 155   81 18   54   59   73
Dan Meyer*          27   5.97   3   8 21 18   101.0 119   67 17   45   56   72
Brett Sinkbeil         24   6.05   4   9 22 22   116.0 145   78 19   45   79   71

—————————————————————————————————————————————
RELIEVERS
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Name               Age   ERA   W   L   G GS   INN   H   ER HR   BB   K ERA+

MIDDLE THIRD
Arthur Rhodes*        39   3.32   3   2 54   0   38.0   34   14   1   19   40 131
Joe Nelson           34   3.65   3   2 63   0   69.0   58   28   9   31   86 117
Lee Gardner           34   3.77   3   2 38   0   43.0   46   18   3   13   23 116
Matthew Lindstrom       29   3.80   4   3 64   0   64.0   64   27   4   25   54 113
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Brandon Villafuerte     33   4.02   3   3 41   0   47.0   48   21   4   19   37 107
Leo Nunez           25   4.14   3   2 42   0   50.0   49   23   6   21   38 104

BOTTOM THIRD
Renyel Pinto*        26   4.50   3   4 66   0   64.0   58   32   9   38   59   95
Logan Kensing         26   4.58   2   3 48   0   53.0   47   27   8   35   62   94
Doug Waechter         28   4.71   3   3 52   0   65.0   73   34   8   19   40   91
Taylor Tankersley*      26   4.97   3   4 68   0   58.0   58   32   9   33   56   86
Jesus Delgado         25   5.25   4   5 40   5   72.0   78   42   8   43   44   82
Timothy Wood         26   5.32   3   4 31   0   44.0   49   26   6   20   24   81
Christopher Leroux     25   5.96   3   7 55   0   71.0   82   47 14   33   49   72
Harvey Garcia         25   6.21   2   5 47   0   58.0   64   40 11   37   51   69
Carlos Martinez       27   6.64   2   4 39   0   42.0   50   31 12   17   34   65

* - Throws Left

——————————————————————-

Player Spotlight - Jeremy Hermida
            AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+
Projection    
.271 .352 .468 135 479 72 130 27 2 21 69 55 123 6 2 117


Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Bruce Campbell, Ben Grieve

Offense %
STAR   46
AVG   69
REP LV 93

OPS+  %    OBP   %    3B     %    Hits   %
>160   4     >.400   5     >10   0     >200   0
>140   14     >.375   23     >5     6     >150   6
>130   26     >.350   59
>120   43     >.325   87     2B     %
>110   64     >.300   98     >45   2
>100   81               >30   32
>90   91
>80   96
>60   100

BA     %    SLG   %    HR     %    SB     %
>.350   0     >.550   10     >50   0     >70   0
>.325   2     >.500   27     >40   2     >50   0
>.300   13     >.450   58     >30   10     >30   0
>.275   45     >.400   87     >20   43     >10   19
>.250   81     >.350   96     >10   92

——————————————————————-

Player Spotlight - Cameron Maybin
            AVG   OBP   SLG   G AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB   K SB CS OPS+
Projection     .254 .319 .399 114 414 62 105 14 2 14 44 39 118 27 6   90

Top Near-Age Offensive Comps:  Sammy Sosa, Choo Freeman

Offense %
STAR   20
AVG   56
REP LV 91

OPS+  %    OBP   %    3B     %    Hits   %
>160   0     >.400   0     >10   0     >200   0
>140   1     >.375   3     >5     10     >150   0
>130   4     >.350   16
>120   9     >.325   45     2B     %
>110   18     >.300   79     >45   0
>100   32               >30   0
>90   52
>80   71
>60   95

BA     %    SLG   %    HR     %    SB     %
>.350   0     >.550   1     >50   0     >70   0
>.325   1     >.500   6     >40   0     >50   3
>.300   5     >.450   18     >30   2     >30   38
>.275   22     >.400   48     >20   14     >10   100
>.250   55     >.350   79     >10   71

——————————————————————-

Player Spotlight - Ricky Nolasco
              ERA   W   L   G GS INN   H   ER HR   BB   K   ERA+   
Projection       4.57 10 11 31 30 189 201   96 28   40 151   94

Top Near-Age Comps:  Moose Haas, Don Sutton

ERA   %
Top 1/3 27
Mid 1/3 32
Bot 1/3 41

ERA+  %    BB     %
>150   1

<32 24
>

140   3

<42 61
>

130   7

<53 92
>

120   13

<63 96
>

110   23

<74 100
>

100   37

<84 100
>

90   55
>80   76     HR     %
>70   92     <15 3
<21 25
K % <27 52
>189   4     <34 66
>168   15
>147   45
>126   85

——————————————————————-

Player Spotlight - Andrew Miller
              ERA   W   L   G GS INN   H   ER HR   BB   K   ERA+   
Projection       4.60   8 10 32 25 141 147   72 11   63 113   93

Top Near-Age Comps:  Jim Kaat, Danny Jackson

ERA   %
Top 1/3 21
Mid 1/3 40
Bot 1/3 39

ERA+  %    BB     %
>150   1     <24 0
>140   2     <31 6
>130   4     <39 13
>120   8     <47 18
>110   17     <55 37
>100   33     <63 44
>90   55
>80   79     HR     %
>70   94     <11 53
<16 79
K % <20 98
>141   11     <25 100
>125   21
>110   42
>94   73

——————————————————————-

ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events)

HANLEY RAMIREZ

        %

40/40     7
50/50   1-in-499

OPS+ >140

Ramirez   65
Uggla     14
Hermida   14

OBP >.400

Ramirez   44
Hermida     5
Uggla     2

SLG >.550

Ramirez   41
Ross     13
Uggla     12

BA >.325

Ramirez   25
Amezaga     2
Hermida     2

2B >45

Ramirez   24
uggla     11
Hermida     2

3B >10

Ramirez     6
Raynor     2
Andino     2

HR >30

Ramirez   58
Uggla     33
Hermida   10

SB >50

Raynor     42
Ramirez   10
Coghlan     6

ERA+ >140

Nelson     25
Johnson   14
Lindstrom   13

K/9 >9

Nelson     84
Kensing   66
Tankersley 27

BB/9 <1.5

Nolasco 24
Waecther 8
Volstad 6

HR/9 <0.7

Lindstrom 69
Miller 53
de la Cruz 40

All figures in % based on projection playing time - Min. 300 PA/50 IP for inclusion

Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2009.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.

Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake.
This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in
the offseason.

ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.44 ERA and the NL having a 4.38 ERA.

Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information
is always better than less information and a computer isn't what should be projecting
the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery.

Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the
most frequent starting players at each position did in 2006-2008. Excellent is the top
quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.

ZiPS Frequently Asked Questions


ZiPS 2009 Archive


Mariners

Indians

Giants

Dodgers

Diamondbacks

Cubs

Cardinals

Brewers

Braves

Blue Jays

A’s

Astros

Angels

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 09, 2008 at 04:36 PM | 24 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: December 09, 2008 at 04:50 PM (#3023807)
Been meaning to thank you for adding OPS+/ERA+ - good idea.
   2. davekemp Posted: December 09, 2008 at 05:12 PM (#3023826)
No love for Ricky Nolasco, my goodness. I'll take the sunny side of that projection.
   3. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 09, 2008 at 05:25 PM (#3023851)
I'd love for the Royals to get Jeremy Hermida - I'm sure a lot of teams would like him.

Is Hendrickson signed for next year? For some reason I thought he was a FA.
   4. Barnaby Jones Posted: December 09, 2008 at 06:04 PM (#3023929)
I'll say Maybin ends up somewhere in between the Sosa and Freeman comps.
   5. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 09, 2008 at 06:07 PM (#3023936)
Is Hendrickson signed for next year? For some reason I thought he was a FA.

He's a FA. The Marlins are his most recent team. The error is that I left out Luis Gonzalez by accident.
   6. Mike Emeigh Posted: December 09, 2008 at 06:37 PM (#3023998)
I'll say Maybin ends up somewhere in between the Sosa and Freeman comps.


Boy, is THAT a safe projection :)

I did not see Maybin hit a single home run last year. He only hit four at home, FWIW, all in games that I missed for one reason or another. I see him as unlikely to develop like Sosa did, simply because he hits too many ground balls.

I'm a big Gaby Sanchez fan, but I think he's going to have to show he can play 3B to have a long career. Right-handed hitting 1Bs with his skill set (essentially the Mark Grace skill set) tend to get buried. I'll tell you, though - if hard work and attitude count for anything, he'll be a big star.

-- MWE
   7. Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: December 09, 2008 at 06:42 PM (#3024009)
Man, that's an awesome projection for Hanley.
   8. Walt Davis Posted: December 09, 2008 at 07:26 PM (#3024062)
No love for Ricky Nolasco, my goodness.

I dunno, ZiPS comped him to Don Sutton.

Wow, I had no idea Nolasco had that kind of year. Nice to see the Marlins get something out of trading away one of their superstars. :-)
   9. realteamcoach Posted: December 09, 2008 at 08:04 PM (#3024115)
I am shocked by Volstad's poor projection as well. I am a lot higher on their pitching staff than ZIPS appears to be.
   10. CraigK Posted: December 09, 2008 at 08:13 PM (#3024129)
The fact that ZiPS even gives a one-in-500 chance of a 50/50 season is absolutely absurd.
   11. Mike Emeigh Posted: December 10, 2008 at 01:12 AM (#3024459)
The Marlins have ... at least one future star in Michael Stanton.


That's a huge overstatement. Stanton had a good year. He has a lot of raw power. But he swings and misses a lot, and Greensboro is a very good home run park. If the power translates to Jupiter and he starts making contact more consistently, I'll get on the wagon then.

-- MWE
   12. Clint Posted: December 10, 2008 at 02:18 AM (#3024496)
Dan, thanks as always for these. You're missing a projection for the Marlins' big haul for the winter, Emilio Bonifacio. He should fit quite comfortably on that long list of poor secondbasemen.
   13. schruender Posted: December 10, 2008 at 03:11 AM (#3024514)
Jorge Cantu will be gone by the start of the season.
   14. Mike Webber Posted: December 10, 2008 at 04:14 AM (#3024543)
I am always stunned by just how bad the Marlins are defensively.
   15. Athletic Supporter can feel the slow rot Posted: December 10, 2008 at 04:39 AM (#3024566)
I am always stunned by just how bad the Marlins are defensively.

No kidding. The projections for the pitchers start to seem reasonable if that defense is behind them.
   16. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 10, 2008 at 05:04 AM (#3024571)
Who would you rather have - Willingham or Hermida?
   17. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: December 10, 2008 at 05:25 AM (#3024580)
No love for Ricky Nolasco, my goodness. I'll take the sunny side of that projection.

It seems fair to me. He projects as a league-average starter until proven otherwise on account of how little he pitched in 2007. Lot's of young mediocre pitchers have a fluke ~120 ERA+ season before regressing to the mean. It wouldn't surprise me if he followed a Brett Tomko-type career path: occasionally very good, but mostly just a reliable workhouse.


Who would you rather have - Willingham or Hermida?

Hermida, hands down. They're comparable players at this point, but Hermida is five years younger. His peak could be considerably higher than anything Willingham has done to date (and likely will ever do).
   18. Davo Dozier (Mastroianni) Posted: December 10, 2008 at 06:45 AM (#3024626)
A few things... First, it appears you're missing projections for the guys they acquired in the Willingham trade, unless you never put those up on these projections.

Second, if you asked 100 baseball fans what team Arthur Rhodes was on, how many would say the Marlins? Less than zero?

Third, I'm officially on the bandwagon. I'm giving Florida a 30% chance of winning the East this year, and will be amazed if they finish below .500.
   19. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 10, 2008 at 06:47 AM (#3024627)
A few things... First, it appears you're missing projections for the guys they acquired in the Willingham trade, unless you never put those up on these projections.


I did them for the trade entry but didn't add them into the pot here.
   20. JoeC Posted: December 10, 2008 at 09:02 AM (#3024660)
The fact that ZiPS even gives a one-in-500 chance of a 50/50 season is absolutely absurd.


In what respect, Craig K? "Wow, ZIPS is way off," or "wow, Hanley is crazy good?"

(Sorry, had to do that. I'm more of a lurker, but I did wonder which you meant, and when I saw the name I had to ask.)
   21. RollingWave Posted: December 17, 2008 at 10:29 AM (#3031444)
I'd like a spotlight on Ramirez, should be insane right now. similar age comp is what? A-rod?
   22. Colin B Posted: December 22, 2008 at 05:56 AM (#3035640)
Professional sports organizations are the next group that seem to be needing some payday loans these days. You see, professional sports are thought to be one of the few things that are recession proof, but it seems even that paradigm has shifted these days. The major sports organizations have been making cutbacks, like the NFL and NBA cutting home office staff, the MLB doing away with some of its online based staff, and the NHL has put on a hiring freeze. In the wake of recession, the Arena Football League has suspended all operations for 2009, pending negotiations with the players’ union. The owners of all the league’s teams held a conference on Sunday, and agreed to suspend all activity for the fiscal year of 2009. The owners, who include Jon Bon Jovi, part owner of the Philadelphia Soul, agreed that a restructuring and fine tuning of the business model was in order to maximize the profitability of AFL games and merchandise. The AFL purports to resume operations in 2010. Click here to read the full article yourself on the [advertisement excised].
   23. The District Attorney Posted: December 22, 2008 at 07:06 AM (#3035661)
Shut the #### up.
   24. Voros McCracken of Pinkus Posted: December 30, 2008 at 01:20 AM (#3039966)
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Bruce Campbell

Groovy!

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