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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Saturday, October 16, 2010
2010 Minor League Translations (zMLE)
As usual, there are a number of caveats regarding minor league translations that an inevitable number of people forget and give me a gigantic migraine about.
Translations are not true-talent projections. They are simply translations of lower-level performance that are subject to the same caveats as all performance statistics are. They’re subject to issues of small-sample size. They’re subject to luck, fluke years, career years, injuries, and reflects players not being experience professionally. If you see anyone post “Betances ready for the majors - translation of 3.82 in 14 starts for Tampa” or “Szymborski says Martin Perez is not a prospect” please insult that person in accordance with whatever internet meme is hot at the time in question.
2010 Minor League Translations (zMLE)
Dan Szymborski
Posted: October 16, 2010 at 07:34 AM | 18 comment(s)
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1. Plank Posted: October 16, 2010 at 11:18 AM (#3665590)I did find an error, though... the Charlotte A and AAA league levels got flipped (NC put in the FSL, FL put in the IL).
Cigar Guy should hunt you down and blow smoke in your face.
I assume this means team projections are right around the corner?
Since I like to request stuff - any chance you could toss the big league PFs out there? I figure you've probably already developed them in order to generate these translations...
You just made me a very happy person, and made my Sim League a lot more fun. I know Small Sample Size is an issue with splits, and that it takes like 10,000 at bats to get a true read on a platoon split... but they make sims so much more fun!
I am sure this is not really a huge problem for you. I'll take a .csv file.
Hmm, I'm not sure why more splits would suddenly appear. I took that as meaning Dan now has an affiliation with DMB and it will allow him to work through his projections more quickly.
Split projection formula and spreadsheet.
(Great news about the affiliation with DMB.)
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