Demarini, Easton and TPX Baseball Bats
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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Friday, April 08, 2011
2011 ZiPS Projections - Final Edition
The download can be found here.
What’s changed? I’ve added projected platoon splits for everyone. These are heavily regressed (as platoon splits ought to be). There’s also about a dozen new players, guys who are on 40-man rosters and are projectable (sorry, Bryce Harper fans), like Trystan Magnuson and Joe Paterson. These dozen players do not have projected splits as they were last minute additions.
Players are on their proper team (or free agency) to the best of my availability. With 2200 players, this can be a nightmarish task. Mapping the 1200 or so 40-man roster guys is easy enough, as are the other 500 or so projected players listed in their minor league organization and not on a 40-man roster. The other 500 are trickier, and I’ve gone through them one-by-one to track down where they are. No doubt there will still be mistakes in issues where there’s a complete lack of information available.
There is scheduled, as of right now, to be a DMB disk release tomorrow morning, with everything league commissioners need to get their leagues going. The only thing missing at this point is up-to-date lineups, which I will finish in the next few days and will be a free update. At this moment, I’m told that we’ll be able to release it for $19.95.
Why the holdup? This is the first time I’ve developed the ZiPS disk in conjunction with DMB, so there were many issues that arose that I did not see ahead of time. One thing is that the database structure that ZiPS generates is very different from the database structure that DMB’s import tools need to have to properly import all the information. While I have been using DMB’s original universal IDs generated by Tom Tippett, in recent years, there have been two competing sets of universal IDs for all new players, resulting in about 400 players that we had to reconcile. There are more issues that we had to deal with, but they’re lesser problems - for one, getting career major league *and* minor splits from multiple databases that aren’t using consistent IDs and getting them all mapped to the right place is a real pickle.
Hopefully, with the experience of this year’s conversion, we won’t run into the same issues next year.
If the ZiPS projections have provided you with value, I greatly appreciate donations, which can be made with (surprise!) the donation button. However, as Diamond Mind is releasing the DMB projection disk this year, please do not include any donation for the projection disk itself as I cannot put any donations towards the purchase of a disk.
Please remember the usual caveats - I project players for their most recent team where possible and ZiPS is not a predictor of what level players will play at, so many of the players listed will not get a single game in the majors (and some never will).
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