Page rendered in 0.1440 seconds
41 querie(s) executed
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Sunday, December 04, 2011
Angels - Acquire Brad Mills
Los Angeles Angels: Acquired LHP Brad Mills from Toronto for C Jeff Mathis.
Well. It’s the only way I can think of to keep Mike Scioscia from playing Mathis more than his talents objectively merit. Unless of course the move means that Scioscia (who—fair or not—is often viewed as the de facto GM of the Angels) has reconsidered Mathis’ actual value.
Mathis won’t play much in Toronto. He’s arbitration eligible and I doubt the Blue Jays fear going to arbitration with him. The only problem from their point of view is that every player you can attempt to compare Mathis to is likely to be a better player. The way that tends to work if it actually goes to arbitration is that the player gets a little less than a much better player and thus ends up being overpaid. See for instance Brian Hunter and the Mariners a few years back.
He’s obviously a candidate to be non-tendered, but I suspect the Jays actually want him as their backup and thus will negotiate with him and then perhaps actually go the arbitration route. And they won’t be broken up if their plans don’t work out.
Mills is sort of interesting. His stats at the major league level are awful. Mostly because he can’t command the strike zone and doesn’t have the stuff to deal with pitching behind in the count. But his stats at AAA are not bad. They don’t blow you away, but over a 3 year stretch he’s put up a 4.32 ERA in Las Vegas—a really good place to hit. What’s more, his control has progressively improved down there. The strikeout rate is not a positive (not a problem either), but I’ve seen plenty of pitchers with worse numbers become serviceable major league starters. He’s very unlikely to be anything more than back of the rotation filler, but that’s a tremendous haul for a backup catcher that your manager has fallen in love with.
To be clear, I think it far more likely that Mills sticks around as a number two lefty out of the pen, but he does have a shot, while Mathis is pretty much the punch line to Casey Stengel’s old joke about Greg Goosen.
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
2012 ZiPS Projections, Final Edition
(23 - 11:21am, May 31)
2012 ZiPS/RBI Baseball
(20 - 10:58am, May 03)
2012 ZiPS Projections Spreadsheets, v. 1
(62 - 4:38pm, Apr 10)
2012 ZiPS Projections - Oakland A's
(69 - 5:57am, Apr 10)
Last: Athletic Supporter was shiny, now he's all rusted
2012 ZiPS Projections - Kansas City Royals
(31 - 1:51pm, Mar 23)
Pirates - Acquire Burnett
(10 - 11:09pm, Feb 20)
Last: You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR)
2012 ZiPS Projections - Pittsburgh Pirates
(41 - 10:02am, Feb 20)
Last: Dangerous Dean
2012 ZiPS Projections - Minnesota Twins
(31 - 8:53pm, Feb 17)
Last: A Random 8-Year-Old Eskimo
2012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox
(46 - 4:41pm, Feb 17)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site
2012 ZiPS Projections - San Diego Padres
(29 - 2:33pm, Feb 17)
Last: Dan Szymborski
2012 ZiPS Projections - Arizona Diamondbacks
(31 - 2:03am, Feb 14)
Last: Dan Szymborski
2012 ZiPS Projections - Texas Rangers
(21 - 12:43pm, Feb 10)
2012 ZiPS Projections - Miami Marlins
(31 - 8:16pm, Feb 07)
Last: There's a bustle in Misirlou's hedgerow
2012 ZiPS Projections - Cleveland Indians
(19 - 10:18pm, Feb 02)
2012 ZiPS Projections - Atlanta Braves
(28 - 6:25pm, Jan 31)
Last: Spahn Insane, stimulus-funded BurlyMan™