Angels - Acquired Garland
Los Angeles Angels - Acquired P Jon Garland from the Chicago White Sox for SS Orlando Cabrera.
Dear Managers and Coaches,
Thank you for giving our league-average defensive shortstop a Gold Glove to enable us to continue our goal of putting together the deepest starting rotation in baseball.
Love,
Bill Stoneman
Angels GM
P.S. I’m actually Tony Reagins but nobody really knows who that is.
Good move for the Angels. Cabrera’s at the absolute height of his value. He’s not a terrible deal at $9 million, since he’s a decent shortstop, but he’s gone at the end of the season. The only question is what they do now. I think they’ll be another move at some point as one has to think that Ervin Santana or Joe Saunders are going to have to go at this point. The first guess is that they use Erick Aybar at short, but that would be a mistake as I don’t think he’ll hit enough to make him worthwhile, at least at this point, and the team’s only sees Maicer Izturis as a shortstop in a pinch. To completely make up a trade rumor that I’ve heard nothing about, perhaps the Angels will revive the Tejada rumors by cashing in Saunders and maybe Brandon Wood?
The White Sox are at a crossroads and I think they did the wrong thing here. Picking up Cabrera would be a classic win-now move, but I don’t think they could afford giving up Garland in a win-now mode and this team still looks like the 4th best in the Central for 2008 and isn’t particularly young. They have to decide whether to trade now for later or trade later for now, not simply rearranging their weaknesses.
If they move Uribe to 2nd, then they simply have a situation in which their 2nd baseman is even less acceptable offensively than he was at short and in which their 2nd-best defensive shortstop is the shortstop.
It’s amazing to me that Garland just turned 28.
2008 ZiPS Projection - Jon Garland
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W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA
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Projection 14 11 32 32 211 226 96 19 50 110 4.09
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Opt. (15%) 17 9 34 34 233 232 89 17 47 130 3.44
Pes. (15%) 9 12 27 27 170 197 93 20 49 82 4.92
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Top Comps: Danny Cox, Ned Garver
2008 ZiPS Projection - Orlando Cabrera
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AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
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Projection 591 91 163 31 1 8 70 47 59 18 .276 .329 .372
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Opt. (15%) 609 106 178 36 2 11 88 54 54 23 .292 .350 .412
Pes. (15%) 430 58 113 21 0 5 42 29 47 9 .263 .310 .347
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Top Comps: Rick Burleson, Bert Campaneris
Dan Szymborski
Posted: November 19, 2007 at 07:19 PM |
27 comment(s)
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1. Slinger Francisco Barrios (Dr. Memory) Posted: November 19, 2007 at 08:02 PM (#2620203)Now, they might not think he's a premier shortstop, and you're probably right, which is while they'll try to move on Tejada. But Maicer's movement around the diamond appears to have had a lot more to do with Cabrera entrenchment than a lack of ability.
He's played mostly at 3B since coming to the Angels, about a third of the team's innings there over the last three years ... it would seem to be odd if he couldn't throw enough to play SS.
Quickie demonstration of SS vs. 3B arm strength.
Ha!
For the Salt Lake B's? Yes. He's not ready for the majors though.
This is the team that made Eckstein a shortstop. Seriously, I've never heard anything about Izturis not being able to play there. Its just they had a more established player at the position who was really durable.
When I think of Jon Garland, I think of the Nintendo bad guy of the same surname.
Because.....?
I agree with AROM that he's not ready for the majors, and I'm not even sure he's ready for AAA yet. The Angels have touted Rodriguez for a long time, but I don't like the strikeouts, I have doubts about whether he'll hit, and he spent some time at 3B in the AFL (although Surprise also had Elvis Andrus and German Duran on the roster, so someone had to move somewhere).
-- MWE
It is extremely difficult for a starter to sustain success with a K rate less than 2/3 of league average. The successful comps, which Chris referred to in his study (Gullickson, John), were much closer to league average than Garland was. Even Suppan was much closer to league average.
Part of the reason for the projection is Garland's fine 2005 season. The Sox defence that year was spectacular, and Garland was probably the pitcher who benefited the most from it.
The Jeter plot point needs a Z axis to show off that impressive jump throw.
I'd like to see him in CF.
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