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1. Benji Posted: May 22, 2005 at 03:10 PM (#1353910)Look at the Angels' pitching staff's peripherals...
K/BB ratio, home runs, OPS allowed...all middle-of-the-pack...
The Angels are doing this with smoke-and-mirrors, and are ripe for a fall...
We could see the Rangers win the division with a .500 record...
But my point is more that, Anaheim's ERA is deceptive, because the pitchers (and the defense) aren't really performing well enough to support that ERA. It is pretty fluky, given the peripherals, and they should end up coming back to earth.
Well the AL West is what the AL Central used to be in terms of lacking a team capable of winning 90+ games. Given that there's only 4 teams in the division, any of them has a shot (even Oakland, although their window is almost shut). Anaheim's still the best on paper and Texas has a lot of good young hitters, so it will most likely be one of them. But if Beltre can get back on track (plus a half dozen other guys, to a more limited extent), they could do some damage. I'm really disappointed/surprised that Jeremy Reed has been so mediocre.
Oakland's interesting only because so many hitters are so far below expectations: Chavez, Kendall, Swisher, Durazo... plus the loss of Crosby. If they ever get on track, they're an 85 win team--which could be enough. And IIRC, they have a pretty soft schedule in the second half of the season. I wouldn't bet on it, but I wouldn't be shocked if they're not mathematically eliminated in the first week of September.
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