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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

A’s - Signed Giambi

Oakland A’s - Signed DH Jason Giambi to a 1-year contract worth $5.25 million.

The A’s lucked out this offseason in that there are a glut of defensively-challenged sluggers, which is something that they sorely need given the woeful offense.  With Holliday and Giambi, the A’s offense should be better (though hardly one of the better ones in the league) and if they get lucky, Oakland could make the division interesting since the offseason plan of the Angels has essentially been to hide under the living room table in a fetal position.

Maybe third time’s the charm for New York newspapers declaring AGING OFFENSIVE HITTER DONE, IGNORE PREVIOUS STATISTICS, LOOK HOW BAD HE LOOKS! at the end of April.  Giambi rebounded to have a fairly typical season for him at this stage of his career.

Obviously, it’s bad news for Daric Barton.  While the A’s could find a configuration in which Daric Barton is a regular, they’re not longer in a position where they don’t have a choice in the matter.  You won’t find many people more gung-ho on giving players real chances, but the team showed a lot of patience last year with a 1B with a .675 OPS.  Giambi not being a model of durability, letting Barton beat up pitchers in the PCL for a few months wouldn’t be the end of the world.

At Giambi’s age, there is a substantial downside risk, but the price is right.  The A’s were terrible enough last year at the plate that free agent disappointments would be substantial upgrades at a lot of positions.

ZiPS Projection - Jason Giambi (1B)
—————————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA OBP SLG OPS+
—————————————————————————————————————
2009       326 34 75 12   0 18   65 54 73   1 .230 .361 .433 112
—————————————————————————————————————
Top Offensive Comps:  Darrell Evans, Willie McCovey, Reggie Jackson

ODDIBE

Offense %
Top 5th 11
2nd 5th 27
Mid 5th 20
4th 5th 24
Low 5th 8

OPS+  %    OBP   %    3B     %    Hits   %
>160   1     >.400   7     >10   0     >200   0
>140   8     >.375   27     >5     0     >150   0
>130   18     >.350   60
>120   34     >.325   85     2B     %
>110   54     >.300   98     >45   0
>100   73               >30   0
>90   87
>80   95
>60   100

BA     %    SLG   %    HR     %    SB     %
>.350   0     >.550   1     >50   0     >70   0
>.325   0     >.500   9     >40   0     >50   0
>.300   0     >.450   34     >30   1     >30   0
>.275   4     >.400   73     >20   27     >10   0
>.250   21     >.350   96     >10   93

(Based on Projected PA)

Dan Szymborski Posted: January 13, 2009 at 07:23 AM | 20 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: January 13, 2009 at 10:08 AM (#3050403)
I can see both Barton and Buck topping a 112 OPS+, not that it's likely or anything, just that Giambi may be more depth than actual upgrade to the starting lineup.
   2. North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan Posted: January 13, 2009 at 10:09 AM (#3050404)
Cust and Giambi? Bring back Matt Stairs too!
   3. CraigK Posted: January 13, 2009 at 03:42 PM (#3050512)
The all "screw defense, we'll beat them 12-11" team, post-2000 edition:

C: Mike Piazza
1B: Jason Giambi
2B: Dan Uggla
SS: Hanley Ramirez
3B: Ryan Braun
LF: Manny Ramirez
CF: ?
RF: Jermaine Dye
   4. Randy Jones Posted: January 13, 2009 at 03:48 PM (#3050517)
Post-2000 CF would be Bernie.

Also, I thought that Piazza was just really bad at throwing runners out, but otherwise pretty average defensively?
   5. Sammy's Corked Whine Posted: January 13, 2009 at 04:18 PM (#3050541)
I didn't realize Jermaine Dye was that bad, but lo and behold, a quick check of his stats shows he really is.
   6. Mark Shirk (jsch) Posted: January 13, 2009 at 04:29 PM (#3050555)
I think that Brian Giles played center one year, how about Soriano? Griffey? Or are we only looking at players who played a position for a period of time as opposed to about a season?
   7. aleskel Posted: January 13, 2009 at 04:34 PM (#3050560)
I would put Vlad in RF. I'm not sure what the numbers say, but he is damn painful to watch out there.
   8. aleskel Posted: January 13, 2009 at 04:34 PM (#3050563)
oh, and Soriano should be at 2B instead of Uggla
   9. DCA Posted: January 13, 2009 at 05:04 PM (#3050588)
Isn't Griffey in center the obvious choice? I would go with Cantu at 2B, and either Young or Jeter -- despite both having gold gloves -- at shortstop. Hanley hasn't had enough career to render a decision.
   10. Danny Posted: January 13, 2009 at 05:07 PM (#3050592)
The A's lucked out this offseason in that there are a glut of defensively-challenged sluggers, which is something that they sorely need given the woeful offense.


A run is a run, and adding a defensively challenged player who has to play the field because of Cust seems like it would help/hurt any other team just as much as it would the A's.

The 34 runs despite 18 dingers seems sadly reasonable.
   11. plim Posted: January 13, 2009 at 07:52 PM (#3050853)
other cf candidates: lance berkman, ken griffey jr (post 2000), nick swisher
   12. plim Posted: January 13, 2009 at 07:53 PM (#3050854)
edit: dca already beat me to griffey...
   13. Willie Mayspedes Posted: January 14, 2009 at 12:47 AM (#3051134)
Thanks Dan.

Some people at athleticsnation did some analysis and thought that the defensive difference between Barton and Giambi made them roughly equals overall in 2009. I think they are crazy what do you think?
   14. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: January 14, 2009 at 12:52 AM (#3051138)
It depends on whether the defensive metric you're using counts dropped popups.
   15. Marcel Posted: January 14, 2009 at 07:36 PM (#3051804)
SS should be Jeter. Ramirez was really bad in 07, but that may be an outlier as he was only below average in both 06 and 08. Jeter, on the other hand, has been awful for quite some time now.
   16. ugen64 Posted: January 16, 2009 at 08:49 PM (#3053877)
I'd say Swisher in CF, and maybe Brad Hawpe in RF? all I know is that Hawpe was something like -40 runs in right field in last season's UZR/150.
   17. Random Transaction Generator Posted: January 16, 2009 at 09:11 PM (#3053890)
The all "screw defense, we'll beat them 12-11" team, post-2000 edition:

Wouldn't that really just involve putting the top 8 hitters on the field, regardless of position?
Like your starting shortstop would be Jim Thome?
   18. Best Regards, President of Comfort Posted: January 18, 2009 at 06:50 AM (#3054580)
Wouldn't that really just involve putting the top 8 hitters on the field, regardless of position?
Like your starting shortstop would be Jim Thome?
No, because the object is to win, not to merely score as many runs as possible. So you only stick a guy at a position he's already playing, or played very recently.
   19. Hugh Jorgan Posted: January 23, 2009 at 03:21 AM (#3058509)
Surely Abreu gets consideration for RF, he's been dreadful the past couple of years....he says too lazy to compare the metrics. But just from some of the games I saw, every ball hit to him seemed an excersise in futility.

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