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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Astros - Signed Lyon

Houston Astros - Signed P Brandon Lyon to a 3-year, $15 million contract.

Ed Wade is officially your idiot cousin.

Now, your idiot cousin might not necessarily be your cousin.  He might be your uncle with a drinking problem.  Or your wife’s brother who got clipped a few years ago for boosting stereos.  Or your childhood friend who got kicked out of William & Mary for selling exams.  But most people have someone like this in your life.  The person who calls you up, needs money in an emergency, and a few days later, you find out that their cell phone has been turned off but the person has a new exhaust for their pickup truck and tickets to a Nickelback concert.

That’s Ed Wade.  The Astros are a team that has some serious issues to deal with.  Houston’s thin everywhere on the field, has a terrible farm system (quite possibly the worst in the majors), and not enough resources to fix the organization quickly.  I don’t know that the Yankees have enough money to turn the Astros into a serious contender in 2010.  So, what does Ed Wade do when given some money to spend?  He blows it on a middle reliever who, while a better reliever than Nickelback is a music group, is a good, not great, pitcher and fixes what is essentially the Astros’s 11th Most-Important Need.

Houston is a team in need of triage.  Triage isn’t seeing a patient having a heart attack and deciding to fix the patient’s ingrown toenail first.

But it’s not all Ed Wade’s fault.  He can’t help but make poor decisions.  It’s his nature.  When the Astros are fighting with the Pirates for last place in a division with no excellent teams and Drayton McLane’s looking for answers, there better be a mirror in his office.

Thumbs down for this own, probably the first truly bad transaction of the offseason.  I don’t like Arizona’s part of the Granderson trade, but at least in that case, there’s a realistic scenario in which the players acquired will lead to the team having success.  I just don’t see one here.

ZiPS Projection - Brandon Lyon
————————————————————————————————-
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA   ERA+
————————————————————————————————-
2010     6   4 66   0 71.1 67   29   7 22 56 3.66   121  
2011     6   4 65   0 69.2 66   29   7 22 54 3.75   118
2012     5   3 60   0 65.0 61   27   6 21 49 3.74   118
————————————————————————————————-

 

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 10, 2009 at 06:05 PM | 14 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. Willie Mayspedes Posted: December 10, 2009 at 08:45 PM (#3409350)
Any chance Lyon agreed to give like a million a year to Ed Wade?
   2. Repoz Posted: December 10, 2009 at 08:53 PM (#3409354)
Hey, good GM's don't grow on trees!
   3. Cris E Posted: December 10, 2009 at 09:09 PM (#3409370)
Hey, good GM's don't grow on trees!

That better not be a lynching reference...

(Too tacky? Probably. Sorry.)
   4. STEAGLES is all out of bubblegum Posted: December 10, 2009 at 09:23 PM (#3409391)
still waiting on polanco, i think.
   5. vortex of dissipation Posted: December 11, 2009 at 02:23 AM (#3409633)
while a better reliever than Nickelback is a music group


Jose Paniagua in 2003 was a better reliever than Nickelback is a music group.
   6. villageidiom Posted: December 11, 2009 at 02:56 AM (#3409660)
Jose Paniagua in 2003 was a better reliever than Nickelback is a music group.
Nick Swisher is a better reliever than Nickelback is a music group.
   7. Tripon Posted: December 11, 2009 at 03:08 AM (#3409668)
I want to see some comps!
   8. ColonelTom Posted: December 11, 2009 at 03:13 AM (#3409672)
ZIPS is surprisingly bullish on Lyon. I'd be shocked if he doesn't post a 5 ERA in at least one of those seasons.
   9. base ball chick Posted: December 11, 2009 at 04:11 AM (#3409694)
grrrrrrrrrrrrrrroooooooooowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwllllllll

excuse you dan

but there is no "quite possibly" about the astros having the worst farm system in the majors. you should be brutally honest and say "absolutely ZERO question" that the astros are the giantest blackest hole of suckage EVAH when it comes to the minor league system because it is kewl to be a master of understatement

and if there WAS anything there, those effing morons drayton/tal/eddie would trade em away for some washed up major leaguer or, preferably, middle reliever!!!!!

ed wade/drayton/tal smith are

nevermind

i know i can't use language that would fry the nanny
   10. Joe Bivens, Minor Genius Posted: December 11, 2009 at 04:23 AM (#3409702)
George Mitterwald was a better player than Nickelback is a music group.
   11. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 11, 2009 at 04:24 AM (#3409703)
I want to see some comps!

Nickelback

Top Comps: Puddle of Mudd, 3 Doors Down, Cats Drowning
   12. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: December 11, 2009 at 04:41 AM (#3409710)
Brandon Lyon.

3 years.

$15 million.

Unbelievable.

So, Ed Wade, how much is Mariano Rivera worth to you? Hell, how much is Geraldo Rivera worth to you?
   13. Tricky Dick Posted: December 11, 2009 at 06:50 PM (#3410159)
What do you think Fernando Rodney will get on the market? My guess is that he gets a 3 year contract as much as, and probably higher, than Lyon contract. Yet ZIPS projects Lyon's ERA+ to be significantly higher than Rodney's (below 100). (ZIPS projected Lyon as the best relief pitcher on the Tiger's staff, in terms of ERA+.) Therefore if you think Lyon's signing is the worst of the off-season, that shouldn't last long.
   14. Spahn Insane Posted: December 11, 2009 at 07:00 PM (#3410170)
Oh god, I didn't even think about Rodney. I can see Hendry and his reliever fetish overreacting to the Kevin Gregg fiasco by doing something just that stupid...

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