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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Atlanta - Signed Wagner

Atlanta Braves - Signed P BIlly Wagner to a 1-year, $7 million contract.

This one comes with a vesting option worth $6.5 million for 2011.  A good deal for the Braves, that want short-term replacements for the Soriano/Gonzalez innings that leaves them free to work on the offense.  If Wagner’s healthy enough for the option to vest, he’ll probably be worth the 2011 contract as well.  With Saito also added to the team (forthcoming entry), the Braves have accomplished their goal at quick, quality fixes in the bullpen, though not without taking on some risk in return.

ZiPS Projection - Billy Wagner
————————————————————————————————-
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA   ERA+
————————————————————————————————-
2010     2   1 37   0 36.0 29   12   3 11 44 3.00   150
————————————————————————————————-
Top Comps:  Mike Remlinger, Tug McGraw, Dennis Cook

ERA
Top 1/3 80%
Mid 1/3 18%
Bot 1/3 2%

ERA+        BB
>150   61%

<34 7%
>

140   61%

<45 21%
>

130   71%

<57 43%
>

120   87%

<68 67%
>

110   91%

<80 84%
>

100   97%

<91 93%
>

90   99%
>80   100%  HR
>70   100%  <16 57%
<23 75%
K/9 <30 88%
>204   88%    <36 95%
>182   97%
>159   99%
>136   100%

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 06, 2009 at 02:01 AM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. DCA Posted: December 06, 2009 at 11:01 PM (#3405041)
Despite what ZiPS says, I think Wagner goes under 136 K/9
   2. Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: December 07, 2009 at 05:13 AM (#3405287)
Despite what ZiPS says, I think Wagner goes under 136 K/9


Fiction! Lies! Impertinent impugnments!
   3. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 07, 2009 at 05:27 AM (#3405297)
Obviously, there's some wackiness there.
   4. Willie Mayspedester Posted: December 07, 2009 at 05:35 AM (#3405302)
136 K/9 is what Wieters would do if converted back to closer.
   5. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: December 07, 2009 at 07:12 AM (#3405339)
Despite what ZiPS says, I think Wagner goes under 136 K/9


Braves fans only hope. That's a pretty horrible pitcher.
   6. AROM Posted: December 07, 2009 at 09:00 PM (#3405892)
136 K/9 is what Wieters would do if converted back to closer.


I believe it, especially since Wieters would still be doing the catching, and as fast as he is, he can't outrun his own fastball. So a lot of batters reach first after strike 3, allowing him to keep the innings alive and rack up more K.
   7. Spute Posted: December 08, 2009 at 07:12 PM (#3406819)
Braves fans only hope. That's a pretty horrible pitcher.


I'm more suspicious about the catcher, frankly.
   8. Benji Gil Gamesh Rises Posted: December 09, 2009 at 03:07 AM (#3407507)
I believe it, especially since Wieters would still be doing the catching, and as fast as he is, he can't outrun his own fastball.


So you're saying that Wieters can throw a fastball that even he can't outrun?
   9. Dingbat_Charlie Posted: December 10, 2009 at 09:21 PM (#3409388)
So you're saying that Wieters can throw a fastball that even he can't outrun?


careful. this kind of logical loop could cause the universe to collapse on itself.

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