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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Blue Jays - Acquired Morrow

Toronto Blue Jays - Acquired P Vic Morrow from the Seattle Mariners for P Brandon League and RF Yohermyn Chavez.

Challenge trade!  Two pitchers with talent and good reason to think they’ll be better than they were in 2009 swap places.  Brandon Morrow’s the more valuable player, assuming he starts and doesn’t blow a gasket about it, with Chavez being the quiet throw-in.  Chavez is years away and needs to cut down his swing somewhat, but he took a big step forward in the power department and he’s worth watching in 2010.

If he’s a starter, Morrow will be a big plus to Toronto’s depleted rotation (thanks to the Halladay trade and what I assume to be the abduction murders of Marcum, Litsch, and McGowan) and League gives the Mariners an explosive bullpen arm that they really need.  Honestly, this is a solid trade for both sides, with each team getting a pitcher that’s more use to them than the other guy (I like Morrow more than the projection).

2010 ZiPS Projections
Player     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA ERA+
League     4   3 58   0 67.2 66   30   7 24 56   3.99 112
Morrow     5   6 50 12 101.2 92   51 12 64 98   4.51 94  


Dan Szymborski Posted: December 23, 2009 at 10:53 PM | 13 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. Walt Davis Posted: December 24, 2009 at 12:27 AM (#3421302)
Morrow's comps: Daniel J Travanti, William Peterson, Jerry Orbach
   2. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: December 24, 2009 at 12:31 AM (#3421306)
Does Jennifer Jason Leigh come with him? If so, good deal.
   3. asinwreck Posted: December 24, 2009 at 01:46 AM (#3421372)
That helicopter accident will negate his effectiveness.
   4. Justin Turner Overdrive Posted: December 24, 2009 at 05:41 AM (#3421479)
Dueling Brando(n)'s...
   5. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: December 26, 2009 at 10:34 PM (#3422494)
When I saw this headline, I was hoping there was a player named Tom Morrow. I'm disappointed.
   6. Lassus Posted: December 26, 2009 at 11:08 PM (#3422510)
Er, that's kind of creepy.
   7. greenback slays lewks Posted: December 26, 2009 at 11:28 PM (#3422516)
Tell it to Judge Landis.
   8. Repoz Posted: December 26, 2009 at 11:36 PM (#3422519)
Thankfully Seattle kept their head and still has a Saunders...
   9. Saberseams Posted: December 29, 2009 at 06:13 PM (#3423969)
Huh? Why would being traded cause Morrow's OPS+ to change from 107 to 94? Is one of the projections wrong?
   10. The District Attorney Posted: December 29, 2009 at 06:14 PM (#3423970)
Why would being traded cause Morrow's OPS+ to change from 107 to 94?
It's not being traded, it's the rigor mortis.
   11. Johnny Tuttle Posted: December 30, 2009 at 12:51 PM (#3424570)
ballpark anyone?
   12. Jose is Absurdly Unemployed Posted: December 30, 2009 at 01:18 PM (#3424579)
Sorry I'm not very ZIPS savvy but do Morrow's peripherals change appreciably if you make him a full time starter or reliever? If it's an easy adjustment (and makes a difference) I think that would be the interesting thing to look at.
   13. Saberseams Posted: December 30, 2009 at 01:46 PM (#3424590)
OK, there are a few reasons I can think of why Morrow's OPS+ could change from 107 to 94...which is a pretty major change from solidly above average to solidly below average.

1) OPS+ is not park adjusted. I don't think this is the case, but it would explain it.

2) Morrow is particularly ill-suited for Rogers Centre or well-suited for Safeco.

3) The ZIPS system takes into account strength of schedule, so it is the fact that he is facing the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays a lot more that is causing the OPS+ to drop.

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