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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Monday, May 30, 2005

Blue Jays - Optioned Bush

Toronto Blue Jays - Optioned P Dave Bush to Syracuse; recalled P Chad Gaudin.

Bush’s peripherals are rather disappointing, but I’d have rather them stuck with him a bit longer.  From a practical standpoint, that would have been very difficult - Towers’ control has been simply unreal this year and while Ted Lilly’s been horrific, it’s a stickier situation getting rid of him due to his service time and the fact that he’s finally coming off a few really good starts.

Plus, I rather like Chad Gaudin better than David Bush long-term.  I still think that Bush is capable of giving a team a bunch of league-average season.  A team that’s really hard up for starters at the moment (A’s, Dodgers) could do a lot worse than pick him up and put him the 4 or 5 slot.  Gaudin will be starting and is a pretty good bet to beat his projection, I feel

2005 ZiPS Projection - David Bush
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
Actual ‘05   0   5 10 10   53   59   29 10 10 26 4.89
Rest ‘05   5   6 22 22 124 131   59 16 26 86 4.28
Total ‘05   5 11 32 32 177 190   88 26 36 112 4.47


2005 ZiPS Projection - Chad Gaudin
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
Actual ‘05*  3   2 10 10   63   65   28   7 15 44 4.00
Rest ‘05   3   4 25 14   97   99   49 11 34 73 4.55

* - Includes MLE

Dan Szymborski Posted: May 30, 2005 at 12:37 PM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. The Bones McCoy of THT Posted: May 30, 2005 at 01:27 PM (#1371424)
Well his IP/BB is quite good although his K rate is down. What strikes nme as odd is that other than his starts on April 18 (2 IP/7 ER) and May 11 (3.2 IP/ 4 ER) his ERA in his other 8 starts is 3.40.

He's giving up a little more than a hit an inning but his WHIP (1.29) isn't horrible.

I don't think he deserves a demotion. I'm guessing that there's more to this story than we're hearing at the moment.

Best Regards

   2. Jonny German Posted: May 30, 2005 at 01:52 PM (#1371442)
I think maybe More is Less in this case. I really don't think the organization has soured on Bush.

As Dan points out, it's basically just been the Red Sox beating up Bush. He's been fine against everybody else, and his overall line is very similar to Josh Towers. But by all accounts he's not getting his breaking pitches to work properly. I think this is simply a tune-up stint, let him focus on getting all his pitches working without having to concern himself with actually getting batters out. I'll be very surprised if he's down for more than a couple weeks.

The Jays are getting into a crunch with the pitchers at the top end of the system. They need to sort out who slots in behind Halladay - Bush, Gaudin, Towers, and Gustavo Chacin are not top-of-the-rotation-for-a-playoff-team kind of pitchers, but for the time being they all look like they'll be capable big league starters for the next few years. Meanwhile, everybody in the bullpen is pitching quite well, including the journeyman longmen Pete Walker and Scott Downs. Then there's Francisco Rosario, who's been somewhat inconsistent in AAA but mostly looking like the top prospect he was before his Tommy John in 2003. More? Brandon League was rated as the organization's best prospect by BA coming into this season. He's been bad both in Toronto and at AAA so far this year.

The Jays will be dealing away some pitchers before 2006, and they're trying to figure out which ones to keep. I think it's as simple as that.
   3. Dan Szymborski Posted: May 30, 2005 at 02:51 PM (#1371477)
As Dan points out, it's basically just been the Red Sox beating up Bush.

Actually, it was the post above you, not me!
   4. Cowboy Popup Posted: May 30, 2005 at 03:11 PM (#1371488)
Dan, I know you asked for this in a different thread, but I really like the projections going foward. It's a very nice addition to the transactions.
   5. 668 - Neighbour of the Beast Posted: May 30, 2005 at 04:12 PM (#1371543)
It may have something to do with his behaviour after being pulled from the game on Saturday in the 5th inning. He had just given up back to back homers to Juan Castro and Shannon Stewart and was visibly upset with John Gibbons, basically yelling at him on the mound. When they got back to the bench Gibbons could be seen yelling at him...and the next day he was gone.

It's a shame, he has pitched well aside from Boston.
   6. Jim Wisinski Posted: May 30, 2005 at 10:38 PM (#1372054)
Hmmm.....Brandon Backe in the rotation instead of Hideo Nomo, Gaudin in the bullpen instead of Seth McClung (or in the rotation instead of Doug Waechter), and Antonio Perez in the infield mix instead of Alex Gonzalez. That would look nice right now.

Good thing the Rays got Geoff Blum, Kevin Cash, and Jason Romano in return or those trades would look pretty bad!

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