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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Tuesday, February 07, 2006
Blue Jays - Signed Molina
Toronto Blue Jays - Signed C Bengie Molina to a 1-year contract.
This one comes in at $4.5 million for 2006 with a $500,000 buyout if the $7.5 million option for 2007 isn’t picked up. Molina’s another unhappy user of the Jody Reed Hardball Negotiations handbook, going from a 3-year, $18 million offer with the Mets before the Lo Duca trade to this 1-year, $5 million deal with the Blue Jays. Another year isn’t going to get Molina that money - he’s too old for that to happen and given his growth pattern, his Pop Tart-infused buttocks will need two first class seats by the start of the 2007 season. Molina isn’t a major upgrade over Zaun, but he has more power, which the Blue Jays can always use, and is a very good defensive catcher as long as the plays involve him not having to do that whole “movement” thing. Only a single season makes this a good signing for the Jays.
2006 ZiPS Projection - Bengie Molina ————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG ————————————————————————————-
398 43 117 20 0 14 64 22 38 0 .294 .332 .450
Dan Szymborski
Posted: February 07, 2006 at 07:48 PM | 33 comment(s)
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1. Infinite Joost (Voxter)Come on, Dan, that's a great hitting projection. His defense is a little below average and his baserunning is a problem (but it's mitigated because his position is awful as a general rule) and this is a move that costs the Jays money that would almost certainly be lining the owners' pockets.
The only possible downside is if Molina is worse than Zaun. I don't think he is. This is a no-brainer for any GM.
I like this deal - decent/solid hitter, plus glove (catchers, after all, rarely have to move), reasonable terms. Thumbs up. (Granted, the contrarian in me asks how much better Molina is than Jason Phillips if Jason's arm returns to its pre-'05 form, but I'm a Phillips apologist.)
Not to be dense, but as for "Only a single season makes this a good signing for the Jays", it's a team option, right? So, if it lasts one season than it may well have not been a good deal for the Jays (since they elected not to pick up the option), whereas it likely a good deal in at least year 1 if they choose to pick it up.
Color me skeptical.
Keep in mind that he's also moving to a much better hitting environment than he's ever played in before.
Last year was such an outlier for Molina's OBP, and seemed to be driven largely by an unusually high batting average by his standards. I think it rather unlikely that will happen next year. Now, that doesn't mean he'll be a terrible hitting catcher - the bar is set rather low, after all, and he should have above average power for the position. But I'd expect him to make a bunch of outs along the way.
as a note zaun is one of those rare true switch hitters who actually has no platoon split. can anyone enlighten me as to why so many catchers switch hit? i've always wondered about that.
I have a theory. Catchers are by nature players who need to obtain any advantage they can to get to the big leagues. One of those is to become a catcher, another is to switch hit. Of course there are exceptions, like Joe Mauer, but I think most big-league catchers were not drafted as catchers; they were encouraged to don the gear in order to stay in the game. The same is true of switch-hitters. Great switch-hitters like Mickey Mantle and Bernie Williams are rare exceptions; most switch-hitters are the lighter hitters just trying to gain an advantage. Most great hitters don't need to switch-hit.
But no one seems to be taking into account Zaun's (god bless him) probable decline as a 34-5 year old.
I was just wondering
Who do you rather have, a 29 year old coming off a career year, or a 34 year old (admittedly one who hasn't been catching full time throughout his career) but still....it's 5 years!
But I don't know if anybody thinks that the Jays aren't better off with Molina AND Zaun available. The question is, was there a better way for them to spend the money this season - say, by picking up insurance for right field for instance.
ALSO if the jays are in contention late in the season it seems they'd have an easier time adding a RFer than a catcher...though i haven't put any thought into this. it does seem they could get their hands on an aubrey huff, to throw one name out there, if they feel it'd be the difference down the stretch. for the time being, they've got guys to try in RF...let's see how they do.
The theory generally sounds good, but I've never heard of a player learning to switch-hit after he's been drafted. Are little league coaches able to identify the guys who figure to be marginal but not good major leaguers, and advise them to learn to switch-hit? Given that major league teams are unable to consistently peg major leaguers coming out of college, that seems like a huge stretch. Maybe a lot of kids switch hit until college or until they're drafted, at which point it's more apparent what type of player they are and they can drop the switch-hitting if it's not helping their chances.
But no one seems to be taking into account Zaun's (god bless him) probable decline as a 34-5 year old.
Two things make me optimistic that Zaun will decline less than the average 35-year-old catcher: a) low mileage b) he's a recovered alcoholic - this is a handy way to explain away '02 and '03.
"The way they let me go without a notice, without calling me, that said a lot," the catcher said Thursday, three days after agreeing to a $5 million, one-year contract with Toronto. "That's what really hurts me."
Tons of guys are taught to switch hit in the minors, Mariano Duncan is an example, Shane Victorino from the Phillies is a current example. I am sure there are dozens others if not hundreds over the past 30 years.
...
"I took a lot less money to come over here for a reason, and that's to win," Molina said.
Obviously, Minaya's street spanish lexicon doesn't contain the word "winner"...
(1) all catchers are righthanded
(2) the vast majority of righthanded players bat righty as well
(3) because of the demanding nature of the position, catchers are more prone to being platooned than players at any other position
(4) because there's a need for LH-hitting catchers, professional teams will both create and advance those players who fill that need
(5) instead of trying to find B-L T-R players and turning them into catchers (hard to do) teams take the pass of less resistance by teaching catchers to switch-hit
What strikes me the most is that why catcher should be right-handed. I don't think there is anything disadvantageous for being a left-handed catcher...
I asked the same question a couple months ago in this thread. There's a lot of interesting discussion of a lot of factors that could explain why there aren't left handed catchers, but you have to wade through a bunch of other catcher defense posts to read it. The catcher defense posts are interesting too, though.
I came to the conclussion that it isn't impossible, but there are a lot of small things that are harder for a left handed catcher that make it hard to be an elite catcher and be left handed. Plus if you can throw left handed with a strong enough arm to be a catcher, most coaches will turn you into a pitcher.
I assume they make them, growing up my team had one that was part of the kit we got from the league I played in. I guess it could have been a custom job that someone donated, but I doubt it.
More righty throwers hit lefty than lefty throwers hit righty
Yet another reason why Rickey Henderson was such a unique ballplayer.
1. lefthandedness is less dominant than righthandedness. Lefties tend to ambidexterity, and will do some things righthanded, for example i throw a baseball left but a football right, a frisbee right etc...
2. lefthandedness is a disadvantage in the field, because the most athletic lefties (henderson, bonds etc) have to play premium-offense positions (outfield, first) if they're not pitching. when you think about it, bonds and rickey might've been shortstops if they were right-handed. thus light hitting t-l/b-r players can't make it to the bigs on the strength of their glove the way lighthitting righty throwers do. With that in mind, think of the best defensive outfielders in the league...large numbers of them are left-handed, because they'd have been infielders if they threw right.
3. righthanded hitting is a disadvantage. leftys who hit right lose pretty much all the advantages of their handedness if they hit right, and thus must be as good as a righthanded player to make it.
as a note, lance berkman is one of the rare leftys who switch hits. most switch hitters (i suppose all-non berkman switch hitters, i'm pretty sure he's the only one) throw right.
I feel special...
I was a left handed catcher in Little League
PLUS I bat right handed
TWO specialnesses for me!
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