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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Sunday, July 31, 2005

Braves - Acquired Farnsworth

Atlanta Braves - Acquired P Kyle Farnsworth from the Detroit Tigers for P Zach Miner and P Roman Colon

Farnsworth has very quietly had a breakout year with the Tigers and while his true level of ability isn’t an ERA south of 2.5, he’ll be working with the best pitching coach in the majors the rest of the season.  This is a fair trade - I like Colon long-term (and Miner still has upside) but the Braves churn out a lot of pitching prospects on that level fairly regularly. 

2005 ZiPS Projection - Kyle Farnsworth
—————————————————————————————-
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
—————————————————————————————-
Actual ‘05   1   1 46   0   42   29   11   1 20 55 2.32
Rest ‘05   1   1 22   0   21   16   8   1 10 25 3.43
—————————————————————————————-
Total ‘05   2   2 68   0   63   45   19   2 30 80 2.69

 

2005 ZiPS Projection - Roman Colon
——————————————————————————————
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
——————————————————————————————
Actual ‘05*  2   6 28   9   65   68   35 11 22 45 4.82
Rest ‘05     2   2 16   3   32   34   17   4 11 21 4.78
——————————————————————————————
* - Includes MLE

Dan Szymborski Posted: July 31, 2005 at 08:30 PM | 25 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. rb's team is hopeful for the new year! Posted: July 31, 2005 at 08:41 PM (#1513567)
Farnsworth is a free agent after the season. Colon recently griped to the press about being sent back down to the minors. Farnsworth reminds me a little of rocker. Both have live arms.

Push.
   2. Mess with the Meat, you get the Wad! Posted: July 31, 2005 at 08:50 PM (#1513616)
well farns now will be pitcheing at a level he should, i just hope there arnt too many bars in atlanta
   3. Harold can be a fun sponge Posted: July 31, 2005 at 08:58 PM (#1513664)
Obligatory fantasy question: so who is closing in Detroit now, Rodney or German?
   4. Asher87 Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:03 PM (#1513703)
Good move for the Braves as they gear for the stretch run and most likely the playoffs.
   5. Rickey! On a blog from 1998. With the candlestick. Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:05 PM (#1513719)
Colon wrote his own ticket out, demanding to start. It's never a good idea to tell Bobby and Leo how to use you. Will he get a chance at starting in Detroit? He's got the talent to be a good 3-5 five.

Farnsworth replaces Jay Powell and his exploding trick elbow and allows Sosa to concentrate on long-relief and starting. Plus he gives the Braves that much needed enforcer, in case of brawls.
   6. mike f Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:05 PM (#1513722)
I hope this turns out better than the Kolbb trade.
   7. Rickey! On a blog from 1998. With the candlestick. Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:05 PM (#1513725)
Colon wrote his own ticket out, demanding to start. It's never a good idea to tell Bobby and Leo how to use you. Will he get a chance at starting in Detroit? He's got the talent to be a good 3-5 five.

Farnsworth replaces Jay Powell and his exploding trick elbow and allows Sosa to concentrate on long-relief and starting. Plus he gives the Braves that much needed enforcer, in case of brawls.
   8. mike f Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:09 PM (#1513745)
Plus he gives the Braves that much needed enforcer, in case of brawls.

I'll be disappointed if I don't see at least one body slam, suplex, or atomic drop.
   9. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:20 PM (#1513791)
"Obligatory fantasy question: so who is closing in Detroit now, Rodney or German?"

I'd guess Rodney, most likely. German's got a 1:1 K/BB and one of the worst WHIPs on staff.
   10. Quinton McCracken's BFF Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:35 PM (#1513850)
so is this closer-by-committee? Or does Reitsma stay put?
   11. shoewizard Posted: July 31, 2005 at 09:35 PM (#1513852)
Is there any chance that Farnsworth could take over the closers role in Atlanta?

I own him in both my fantasy leagues. Damn.
   12. The Balls of Summer Posted: July 31, 2005 at 10:05 PM (#1513885)
That performance would look pretty good in the Cubs pen right now. Too bad they have no patience.
   13. zfan Posted: July 31, 2005 at 10:09 PM (#1513892)
Farnsworth is from suburban Atlanta. They have been rumored to be interested in him for years. I'm guessing they'll pay him enough to stay, and might even let him close.
   14. Walt Davis Posted: July 31, 2005 at 10:30 PM (#1513915)
That performance would look pretty good in the Cubs pen right now. Too bad they have no patience.

Come now. The Cubs had Farnsworth for 6 seasons and he posted an overall ERA+ of 93. He had 2 good seasons, 2 average seasons, and 2 horrible seasons. He was starting to get expensive. How much longer were they supposed to wait?

There was no substantial sign of improvement. For his career, he gives up nearly 1 HR per 6 IP -- that's really bad for a high-leverage reliever. He's always K'd about 9/9 while walking about 4/9.

He's had seasons like this one before (2001 and 2003) so I'll believe it's a permanent change when I see it.
   15. Alex Vila Posted: July 31, 2005 at 10:41 PM (#1513922)
I bet you the Braves got him as Chipper's back-up when they face the Nationals again.
   16. Tim D Posted: July 31, 2005 at 10:43 PM (#1513923)
The big park helped Farnsworth a lot. Tiger fans are really upset on the forums, but I like this deal for Detroit. They weren't going to keep him and Colon could put it together. He's as good a starter prospect as the Tigers have apart from Verlander and Zumaya. The Tigers allegedly offered Farnsworth something like $9 mil for 3 years, and he turned it down. For a guy doing well in his walk year after a spotty career as a middle reliever that's quite a bit of money. If he keeps it going for the Braves he will really help their pen down the stretch. He's been pretty much lights out.
   17. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: July 31, 2005 at 11:42 PM (#1513973)
Farnsworth has very quietly had a breakout year with the Tigers

This is like his third breakout year. I agree with Walt.
   18. villainx Posted: July 31, 2005 at 11:46 PM (#1513975)
#14 and #17, Leo magic doesn't factor in your evaluation?

At least, I think it'll be interesting to see what Mazz does with a pitcher with Farnsie's velocity.
   19. Gaylord Perry the Platypus (oi!) Posted: August 01, 2005 at 12:14 AM (#1513999)
At the very least, Farnsworth is an upgrade over Colon in the bullpen for the rest of the season. Especially since Kolb has returned to early-season form, and Jay Powell will probably never pitch again, we really needed another arm in the bullpen.

If he's expecting more than $3 million a season, he won't be back in Atlanta next year.
   20. The Balls of Summer Posted: August 01, 2005 at 07:05 AM (#1514624)
He's had seasons like this one before (2001 and 2003) so I'll believe it's a permanent change when I see it.

Which is why it might have been prudent to keep him around, see if he's the relief version of Saberhagen. Especially when they don't have a lot of other options.
   21. Harold can be a fun sponge Posted: August 01, 2005 at 07:19 AM (#1514629)
Which is why it might have been prudent to keep him around, see if he's the relief version of Saberhagen. Especially when they don't have a lot of other options.

That's ridiculous. How many pitchers have a real even/odd talent? Not even Saberhagen did; much of his pattern was just perceived that way, due to changes in run support and league environment. His ERA+s were consistently good.
   22. Mike Emeigh Posted: August 02, 2005 at 02:03 PM (#1516782)
Atlanta fans love this deal, from what I heard on my day in the area.

Farnsworth strikes me as the type of guy who might very well thrive in the Braves' environment, with a well-defined role and regular work in that role. I don't know whether he's going to replace Kolb in the setup spot (my guess) or fill the Gryboski role of sixth-seventh inning guy, which right now appears to have fallen to Brower; he could do either.

-- MWE
   23. Texan Seamhead Posted: August 02, 2005 at 02:24 PM (#1516815)
Since Leo's magic has frequently consisted of getting guys to drop a bit of velocity in favor of increased control, it will be interesting to see if that policy works with an absolute flame-thrower like Farnsworth. Has Leo ever had someone that throws this hard?

I suspect he will get a number of chances to close, since they have over-worked Reitsma a bit and last year showed he is susceptible to that. And I wouldn't be surprised to see Farnsworth be the closer next year if Leo does indeed work a little magic with him.
   24. flournoy Posted: August 02, 2005 at 02:44 PM (#1516851)
Has Leo ever had someone that throws this hard?

Sure he has - Mark Wohlers.
   25. Gaylord Perry the Platypus (oi!) Posted: August 02, 2005 at 02:47 PM (#1516858)
Has Leo ever had someone that throws this hard?

Smoltz, Wohlers, Rocker....

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