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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Sunday, December 09, 2007

Brewers - Signed Gagne

Milwaukee Brewers - Signed P Eric Gagne to a 1-year contract.

This is reportedly worth $10 million, with a little bit more in incentives (little bit more being relative).  He hasn’t passed the physical yet, but considering that Gagne’s number of arm surgeries is higher than the number of O.J.‘s recent accomplices that have turned state’s evidence, it shouldn’t be taken for granted that he’ll be wearing an M on his cap come April.  Hell, in a just world, he wouldn’t be wearing an M on his cap even if completely healthy, as I still think the Brewers should bring back the fantastic mb glove logo, which, in addition to being awesome beyond belief, would also indicate for once and for all that these are Brewers that can actually win games, not the Brewers that sign Jeffrey Hammonds to the biggest contract in team history for no particular reason.

Red Sox fans no doubt have a pretty low opinion of Gagne, with the Gag-me nickname coming out in abundance in August and September.  If really healthy, however, Gagne’s a better pitcher than that.  One might say that $10 million is a lot for a risky player, but where the Brewers are right now, the marginal revenue product for wins is extremely high and there’s not a lot of players on the market that can bring those wins in.  When you’re not talking about the elite free agents, I rather spend money on a guy who might be great rather than a guy who will dependably not be.

The worrisome thing is that the Brewers are giving Ned Yost a bullpen with a lot of options.  One thing that doesn’t strike me as a good idea is giving Yost choices to make.  The best thing to do for Yost Mitigation is instead of last names being on uniforms, stitching on detailed directions on how to manage that particular player, for Yost to follow.  Kind of a manage-by-numbers thing.  You can even give Yost tickets when he follows the directions and allow him to exchange the tickets for a Milwaukee Brewer kazoo or a little plastic soldier with a cheap parachute.

2008 ZiPS Projection - Eric Gagne
——————————————————————————————-
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
——————————————————————————————-
Projection 2   1 30   0   30   27   12   3 10 31 3.60
——————————————————————————————-
Opt. (15%)  3   1 33   0   34   27   9   2   9 38 2.38
Pes. (15%)  1   2 25   0   24   24   12   3 10 23 4.50
———————————————————————————————
Top Comps:  Rafael Betancourt, Robb Nen

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 09, 2007 at 08:08 PM | 18 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 09, 2007 at 09:43 PM (#2639579)
Those parachuting soldiers were the best.

I like the signing for the Brewers, given the lack of draft pick compensation for Gagne.
   2. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 09, 2007 at 09:52 PM (#2639592)
The Brew Crew are developing a pretty solid bullpen, so it seems by giving Yost choices, they're giving him choices he can't go wrong with.

Seems like the Brewers have an excess of starting pitching though. How bout a David Bush for Mark Teahen swap?
   3. Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: December 09, 2007 at 09:56 PM (#2639595)
How good of a season would Gagne need to have to become a Type-A free agent?
   4. NTNgod Posted: December 10, 2007 at 12:59 AM (#2639648)
How good of a season would Gagne need to have to become a Type-A free agent?


Just staying healthy would get him a lot of the way there, since after next season, he won't have the whopping 2 IPs pitched in 2006 weighing him down when it comes to Elias ranking time.
   5. Artie Ziff Posted: December 10, 2007 at 03:21 AM (#2639705)
You make it sound like too many choices is a bad thing. Milwaukee probably now has the best bullpen in the division. I think I remember the club going after Gagne before the trading deadline last summer before getting Linebrink. It looks like they finally got their wish.
   6. Dan The Mediocre Posted: December 10, 2007 at 04:35 AM (#2639749)
Milwaukee probably now has the best bullpen in the division.


Cubs have them beat so long as they don't let Dempster pitch in high leverage situations.
   7. BeanoCook Posted: December 10, 2007 at 04:55 AM (#2639764)
Brewers have a collection of talent in that pen, right now I would exactly declare it a good pen just yet. That takes time.
   8. The Keith Law Blog Blah Blah (battlekow) Posted: December 10, 2007 at 05:53 AM (#2639791)
Mystical, dude.
   9. 1k5v3L Posted: December 10, 2007 at 06:02 AM (#2639794)
Mystical, dude.


Tight.
   10. Dag Nabbit is part of the zombie horde Posted: December 10, 2007 at 06:11 AM (#2639797)
Dan, ain't Dempster supposed to be a starter now?
   11. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: December 10, 2007 at 06:44 AM (#2639805)
All around ball stadium
The Gagne K'd the batters
Gagne thought it was all in good fun
*pop* goes the elbow
   12. Styles P. Deadball Posted: December 10, 2007 at 06:46 AM (#2639807)
They may be assembling a bullpen with intriguing choices, but Ned Yost won't make any after April 1st. He'll decide exactly what role every guy should be in before they come north and he'll stick to that regardless of success or lack thereof.

He could be convinced that an asteroid was going to crash into Miller park, yet he still wouldn't let his setup guy go longer than three outs, just so he'd have Matt Wise available to pitch in the flaming ruins tomorrow.
   13. Pat Rapper's Delight Posted: December 10, 2007 at 07:36 AM (#2639817)
"Melvin acquires ex-Ranger" should be a keystroke macro installed on the computer of anyone who writes about the Brewers.
   14. Spahn Insane Posted: December 10, 2007 at 04:14 PM (#2639987)
The worrisome thing is that the Brewers are giving Ned Yost a bullpen with a lot of options. One thing that doesn't strike me as a good idea is giving Yost choices to make. The best thing to do for Yost Mitigation is instead of last names being on uniforms, stitching on detailed directions on how to manage that particular player, for Yost to follow. Kind of a manage-by-numbers thing.

Harveys, did you get Szym's permission to post under his name?

(I kid, of course. An HW post on the subject would've been far more vitriolic. ;-) )
   15. Spahn Insane Posted: December 10, 2007 at 04:18 PM (#2639990)
Brewers have a collection of talent in that pen, right now I would exactly declare it a good pen just yet. That takes time.

Well, yeah, and bullpens are unreliable almost by definition, but the Brewer pen definitely has "major improvement" potential, a la the Indians from '06 to '07 (Borowski's crapitude notwithstanding); Riske, Gagne and Torres is a nice collection of arms. Certainly beats the hell out of the Brian Shouses, Seth McClungs and Derrick Turnbows of the world.
   16. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: December 10, 2007 at 04:25 PM (#2640002)
Nice signing for the Brew Crew. You can't really criticize a one year deal as an overpay when the team isn't going to be shopping for much else on the free agent market.

Now, do the Brewers go after a third baseman or a left fielder?
   17. Ron Johnson Posted: December 10, 2007 at 05:30 PM (#2640088)
Now, do the Brewers go after a third baseman or a left fielder?


This is the Brewers we're talking about. The answer is "yes".

Hell, even Corey Hart started out at third.

Oddly enough Prince Fielder never played third, but they did give him two games in the outfield. Must have been a sight. Hell, he even made a play while out there.


I'm trying to think of a configuration that makes this sane.
   18. tfbg9 Posted: December 12, 2007 at 08:29 PM (#2642699)
“He came through the physical with flying colors,” Melvin said. “Our doctor and medical staff felt very good about all the tests that Eric went through.”

Gagne said he feels better now than he has in years.

“It’s just good to go into the offseason healthy,” he said. “I really feel great and my body feels good.”

See? Not hurt with Boston 2007, just choked.

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