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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Cardinals - Signed Penny

St. Louis Cardinals - Signed P Brad Penny

Penny wasn’t great last year, but he was relatively healthy and had stretches of near-brilliance.  One can’t help but wonder just how much Penny wishes he had signed a long-term deal in 2007, but he’s not starving this year and St. Louis is always a nice Halfway House for mid-career pitchers to turn things around.  ZiPS is skeptical, but even that projection wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world, like, say, Livan Hernandez.

ZiPS Projection - Brad Penny
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA   ERA+
2009     8   9 26 26 151.2 165   78 16 50 95 4.63   93  
Top Comps:  Dave Mlicki, Brett Tomko, Jason Johnson

Top 1/3 10%
Mid 1/3 59%
Bot 1/3 31%

(Based on Projected IP)


Dan Szymborski Posted: December 09, 2009 at 02:44 PM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Danny Posted: December 09, 2009 at 03:40 PM (#3407876)
That's a bold projection.
   2. Cabbage Posted: December 09, 2009 at 06:21 PM (#3408158)
I'm always bullish on these kind of guys going to St. Louis.

Every year, I expect a few to crash and burn, but it really seems like so long as a pitcher's arm is healthy, Dave Duncan knows what to do to make them useful.
   3. More Dewey is Always Good Posted: December 09, 2009 at 06:24 PM (#3408164)
bold bold bold
   4. Tripon Posted: December 09, 2009 at 06:25 PM (#3408165)
Its not really bold. This projection is going to earn him the scorn of Cards fans.
   5. Home Run Teal & Black Black Black Gone! Posted: December 09, 2009 at 09:06 PM (#3408431)
Yeah. I bet he rebounds, 180 IP 4.20 ERA.
   6. Zonk is Back Where He Came From Posted: December 09, 2009 at 09:26 PM (#3408452)
What sort of Dave Duncan factor does ZiPS use?
   7. BobbyS Posted: December 09, 2009 at 11:05 PM (#3408620)
So... better deal/value for the full contract, Wolf for the Brewers or Penny for the Cardinals?
   8. AMcK75 Posted: December 10, 2009 at 12:40 AM (#3408686)
Yeesh, that Brett Tomko comp doesn't exactly make me feel better.

Waiting for the pitcher the Cards sign with the comps of Matt Clement, Kip Wells, and Brent Tomko.
   9. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 15, 2009 at 06:02 PM (#3413562)
Argh, my eyes!

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