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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Cubs - “Acquired” Kendall

Oakland A’s - Have reportedly acquired C Rob Bowen, an unnamed minor league pitcher and the state of existence which entails not having Jason Kendall on your team from the Chicago Cubs in exchange for, hopefully, something or other.

You’d have to hope that the A’s are at least chipping in something for Kendall’s remaining salary this year, otherwise, this trade is just unecessarily cruel.  Kurt Suzuki is going to be hard-pressed to be a league-average catcher, but just the improvement from Jason Kendall to Non-Joke is just about the biggest positional upgrade any contender will make this season.  Rob Bowen, bad Cubs start aside, is also a better player than Jason Kendall, which is kind of damning with faint praise as Bowen’s just normal-bad rather than notably-bad.  At this point, I’m not sure that the unnamed minor league pitcher involved in the trade wouldn’t be an upgrade at catcher over Jason Kendall.

The Cubs won’t miss Bowen and probably aren’t going to miss the pitcher, given that the player in return was Jason Kendall.  It hurts the team - while this is the first year that Geovany Soto’s ever shown anything, he clearly should be starting over a player as bad as, well, Jason Kendall (anyone catching the theme here?)

2007 ZiPS Projection - Jason Kendall
———————————————————————————————————-
Period       AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
———————————————————————————————————-
Actual 2007*  292 24   66 10 0   2 22 12 27   3 .226 .264 .281
Rest of 2007 240 29   64 10 0   1 22 17 23   3 .267 .331 .321
———————————————————————————————————-
2007 Total   532 53 130 20 0   3 44 29 50   6 .244 .295 .299
2008       503 55 125 18 0   1 42 37 50   5 .249 .315 .290
———————————————————————————————————-
* - Includes minor league translation, if applicable.
Top Comp - Joe Girardi

 

2007 ZiPS Projection - Rob Bowen
———————————————————————————————————-
Period       AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
———————————————————————————————————-
Actual 2007*  113 15   24   9 0   2 13 17 41   1 .212 .315 .345
Rest of 2007   94 13   21   6 0   2   9 12 26   1 .223 .318 .351
———————————————————————————————————-
2007 Total   207 28   45 15 0   4 22 29 67   2 .217 .316 .348
2008       216 32   53 14 0   5 24 28 60   1 .245 .335 .380
———————————————————————————————————-
* - Includes minor league translation, if applicable.
Top Comp - Alan Ashby

 

2007 ZiPS Projection - Geovany Soto
———————————————————————————————————-
Period       AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
———————————————————————————————————-
Actual 2007*  221 18   66 16 0   9 43 22 54   0 .299 .362 .493
Rest of 2007 157 14   41   9 0   4 23 15 37   0 .261 .329 .395
———————————————————————————————————-
2008       360 28   91 21 0   9 47 34 86   0 .253 .321 .386
———————————————————————————————————-
* - Includes minor league translation, if applicable.
Top Comp - Ramon Hernandez

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: July 17, 2007 at 12:49 AM | 106 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Page 2 of 2 pages  < 1 2
   101. Dag Nabbit is part of the zombie horde Posted: August 10, 2007 at 02:03 PM (#2479892)
.286/.385/.393

Jason Kendall in a Cubs uni.

Kendall's OPS+ so far as a Cub: 102.


Of course that's going to go down. But quick comparison time:

With San Diego, Micheal Barrett's at: .228/.235/.287 with an OPS+ of 41.

Their lines for the entire season:
JK: .236/.283/.299
MB: .247/.285/.381

Sure Barrett has the OPS+ lead, but that overstates their differences because it weighs SLG the same as OBP, when they're even by the latter. When you factor in Barrett's excramental defense and ballrunning this year, as well as Barrett's greater number of GIDP (in fewer at bats), then not only have the Cubs improved themselves in the clubhouse, but also on the field via their two catcher trades.
   102. zonk Posted: August 11, 2007 at 03:28 PM (#2481001)
Bump.

3 more hits last night.

Kendall is now hitting .317/.414/.417 in a Cubs uni.

I know it can't continue, but still...
   103. Spahn Insane Posted: August 11, 2007 at 03:53 PM (#2481008)
Kurt Suzuki is going to be hard-pressed to be a league-average catcher, but just the improvement from Jason Kendall to Non-Joke is just about the biggest positional upgrade any contender will make this season.

Other than, you know, Koyie Hill/Rob Bowen to Jason Kendall.

Yes, Kendall can be expected to regress substantially, but Szym completely missed the boat on this one.
   104. Andere Richtingen Posted: August 11, 2007 at 04:13 PM (#2481014)
I know it can't continue, but still...

Not forever, but I won't be shocked if he continues to hit somewhere in that neighborhood for awhile. Lately he seems to be hitting the ball hard, unlike right after the trade, where it looked like he was trying to swing an I-beam.
   105. Kiko Sakata Posted: August 11, 2007 at 05:23 PM (#2481038)
Not forever, but I won't be shocked if he continues to hit somewhere in that neighborhood for awhile. Lately he seems to be hitting the ball hard, unlike right after the trade, where it looked like he was trying to swing an I-beam.


Kendall has been MUCH better than I expected, but he's only played 18 games for the Cubs and, interestingly, has played exactly TWO games for the Cubs in a ballpark with a park factor under 100 (under 102 for that matter) (St. Louis - park factor of 98). I get the average OPS+ of the parks he's played in as a Cub so far at 104 (which is Wrigley's Batting park factor this year). Nevertheless, even with that caveat, he's still a HUGE upgrade over Hill/Bowen.

When you factor in Barrett's excramental defense

I guess it hasn't been Barrett-level bad but Kendall's defense has struck me so far as pretty unimpressive. At least none of his starting pitchers have felt the need to beat the crap out of him, though.
   106. Dan Szymborski Posted: August 13, 2007 at 05:45 PM (#2483430)
Yes, Kendall can be expected to regress substantially, but Szym completely missed the boat on this one.

Well, technically, that's not the part that I've missed the boat on - the A's do now have a starter with an OPS 150 points better than Kendall did with the A's!
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