Diamondbacks - Acquired Dunn
Arizona Diamondbacks - Acquired OF Adam Dunn from the Cincinnati Reds for P Dallas Buck and two players to be named.
It’s hard to give a final grade to this trade until we know who the players named after the season will be.
However, I’ll give this trade a thumbs-up for Arizona for the time being in the expectation that the players to be named don’t include names like Jarrod Parker and someone like Brooks Brown would be about as high quality as they would go here.
Dunn isn’t quite the hitter Manny Ramirez is, but the Diamondbacks are apparently giving up a good deal less (so little, in fact, you have to wonder about the PTBNL or Walt Jocketty would just take the draft picks) and aren’t shackled with big-ticket failures like Juan Pierre and Andruw Jones that they would feel obligated to play in order not to make them cry. Well, there’s Eric Byrnes, but he’s happily unavailable. We might see Mark Reynolds at 2nd now, which won’t improve the defense, but there aren’t a lot of other options - no way to get Brian Roberts at this point.
While at first glance I think this is a wretched trade for the Reds, I’m weaseling my way more than usual about the PTBNL because, even though I’m not a fan of Walt Jocketty in general, I can’t imagine that he would take a package in which the best player is Dallas Buck over high draft picks. So I have to play nice and not insult anyone. Yet.
2008 ZiPS Projection - Adam Dunn
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Period AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
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Year-to-Date 373 59 87 14 0 32 74 80 120 1 .233 .373 .528
Rest-of-Yr? 134 23 32 6 0 10 27 27 43 1 .239 .370 .507
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Total 507 81 119 20 0 42 101 107 163 2 .235 .372 .523
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2009? 510 91 128 26 1 41 112 98 151 4 .251 .376 .547
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Top Comps: Mike Epstein, Darrell Evans
Dan Szymborski
Posted: August 11, 2008 at 11:41 PM |
34 comment(s)
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1. Walt Davis Posted: August 12, 2008 at 12:51 AM (#2899114)It would appear to be an easy win for AZ here -- i.e. they'll get what they want out of it -- and if Dan isn't ready to ridicule Jocketty yet, who am I to throw the first stone?
So Dunn to LF, Jackson back to 1B? Or Jackson in LF, Dunn to 1B? Or is one of Young/Upton gonna take a seat? Anyway, some nice mix and match possibilities there (if Dunn can handle 1B).
Any chance AZ will try to re-sign him? I'd guess no given the Byrnes fandango.
And Jackson is definitely better than Dunn in LF.
The idea I floated elsewhere of moving Mark Reynolds to 2B makes more sense now - Chad Tracy can move to 3B, Conor Jackson to 1B, Reynolds to 2B (at least when Brandon Webb and his sinker aren't in the lineup). It's an ugly right side of the infield defensively, but that lineup will hit.
Maybe they just platoon him with Upton when the kid comes back, and use Romero as the late inning defensive replacement. They could also consider letting Chris Young take a seat vs. righties and having either Romero or Upton take some games in CF, which would allow them to just leave Dunn in RF.
This would all be so much easier if the D Backs were an AL Team. Then again, if they were an AL team, they'd be Kansas City.
Frannyzoo.......I hear you about Reynolds. I'm not really proposing it, and I don't have a high confidence level he would succeed at 2b. I was just trying to take my observations and come up with one plausible scenario it might work. I admit it's a bit of a stretch. But then again, Reynolds entire career to date has been a bit of a stretch.
Get those scissors away from me, Delilah!
Dickerson</a>, is basically the same player with more HR and fewer 2Bs. (Though a year younger)
<a > Dan Dorn </a> will, I think, be good, but he hasn't even made it to AAA yet.
And <a > Henry</a> has promise, but is also young:
I don't really think Owings is going to move Votto off 1B. If he's a hitter its in a corner OF spot, and he doesn't really look all that bad compared to next year's potential starters. (Assuming no FA acquisitions.)
What would be really nice is if he's an outfielder/situational pitcher. If you can stick your starter in LF for one batter and let Owings get the occasional platoon advantage (and then swap them back) that would be sweet.
So the deal will end up being Dunn plus $2m for Micah Owings, Dallas Buck and Wilkin Castillo.
I also think it's a roster crunch question with Micah. Webb, Haren and Davis are under contract for next year, and Scherzer will be given a spot in the rotation as well. On top of that, I think RJ will come back for another season--and they've got Petit as the 6th starter, with Buckner lurking in there as well. Micah really didn't show much coming out of the pen in the short time he was tried there... no increase on his fastball velocity, no improved control. Tough to decide what to do with him next year.
-- MWE
Of course Dunn has been an unmitigated disaster in RF. Fielding bible has him -8 in just 168 Innings in RF, and I can tell you as crazy a number as that is in so few innings, it doesn't begin to describe how poorly he has played in RF.
He hasn't given away all of his positive offensive value, but he's given away a sizable chunk of it. That combined with the collapse of Cojack, Reynolds and Tracy, have made this trade a complete and utter waste of Buck and Owings, regardless of what they become in the future.
I seriously doubt Dunn will be resigned, or that he will even want to resign with AZ.
Well...the arbitration--->draft picks still exist, so the Dbacks could soon have a new equivalent to Buck Owens....if all goes well...but small consolation.
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