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Sunday, June 19, 2005

Diamondbacks - DFAed Herges and DLed Sunk Cost

Arizona Diamondbacks - Recalled P Brandon Medders and P Mike Koplove; placed P Russ Ortiz on the 15-day DL; designated P Matt Herges for assignment.

Remember the excitement of Russ Ortiz having his ERA in the 3s during the month of April?  That excitement is, uh, gone because the last two months, Russ is trying to inpitch (well there has to be an opposite of outpitch, no?) Eric Milton and show that he’s the worst free agent signing this year.  That race is still early, though, and Jaret Wright may still eventually come back and kick their asses.

Remember when Matt Herges was a Ken Phelpser?  Well, he still is, just the 1990 kind.  The Diamondbacks have been unfortunate with the scrap-heap reliever signings lately, with Herges and Ligtenberg combining for 27 runs in 18 innings.  Medders is healthy and should do a better job and Koplove is better than he’s shown this season.  Ortiz obviously won’t get 34 starts now, but I felt like projecting him anyways.

2005 ZiPS Projection - Brandon Medders
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
Actual ‘05*  2   1 27   0   29   25   13   4 14 32 4.03
Rest ‘05     2   2 32   0   36   32   18   4 18 39 4.50
* - Includes MLE


2005 ZiPS Projection - Russ Ortiz
Period     W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
Actual ‘05   4   6 14 14   78   95   51 13 42 35 5.88
Rest ‘05   5   9 20 20 116 123   69 13 62 73 5.35
Total ‘05   9 15 34 34 194 218 120 26 104 108 5.57

Dan Szymborski Posted: June 19, 2005 at 01:20 PM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Psychedelic Red Pants Posted: June 19, 2005 at 02:42 PM (#1415451)
If a GM doesn't sign bad contracts he can't demonstrate to baseball blog pundits that he understands the sunk cost fallacy. In that context, the Ortiz signing was a sparkling success.
   2. 3Com Park Posted: June 19, 2005 at 04:23 PM (#1415590)
Ah Matty, we hardly knew ye.
   3. 1k5v3L Posted: June 19, 2005 at 08:24 PM (#1416127)
Russ Ortiz called Todd Stottlemeyer recently to ask him about the best way to spend $32m over 4 years without having to pitch.
   4. Robert S. Posted: June 19, 2005 at 10:01 PM (#1416251)
The Russ Ortiz pretend DL thing wouldn't have happened under Colangelo, so this is a nice sign from the new guys.
   5. 1k5v3L Posted: June 19, 2005 at 10:13 PM (#1416282)
I wonder if the mgmt actually did one smart thing and insure Ortiz's contract. I know it's really hard to insure 4 year deals, but given Ortiz's impaccable record as far as the DL is concerned, maybe the Dbacks did manage to buy him an insurance. Again, I don't know if a trip to the 15 day DL would be covered by any insurance, but just in case Ortiz has to spend the rest of his career in AZ in Stottlemeyer's shoes, at least the owners would get some money back. Not that they deserve to; anyone who signs Ortiz for $32m and 4 years deserves to watch his money disappear faster than Lindsay Lohan's boobs.
   6. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: June 19, 2005 at 10:28 PM (#1416333)
In general, insurance will only kick in to cover an entire season missed to injury. If a pitcher had made any apperances in 2005 (outside of minor league rehab assignments), then the team loses any insurance benefit for that season.
   7. 1k5v3L Posted: June 19, 2005 at 10:48 PM (#1416367)
Sweet. Bend over and cough, KenKen and Moorad.
   8. shoewizard Posted: June 20, 2005 at 03:05 PM (#1417138)
I would love to know which person in the organization was most responsible for signing Ortiz. For example, we know that Moorad is responsible for Green, and that Matt Williams is the one that talked them into signing BOTH Clayton and Counsell. Is Ortiz Joe Jr's doing, or was it Moorad, or maybe even Williams?

I really really hope that it was Joe Jr. who made the big push in meetings to "go get" Ortiz. That might have him one step closer to the door.

In a sick way, I am actually hopeful that experiences like this one will make guys like Kendrick want to challenge his "baseball people" to utilize more objective performance analysis in making decisions. I can't imagine these owners allowing those guys under them to keep making decisions based ont the same methodology.

Jim Cassandro where are you????

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