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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Tuesday, June 07, 2005
Dodgers - Extended Penny
Los Angeles Dodgers - Signed P Brad Penny to a 3-year contract extension.
It’s worth $32 million with the option year, so it’s a bit better for the Dodgers since they have an out option if Penny has injury problems or pitches like Ishii. Aside from the injury issue, which the team believes is resolved, Penny’s the best of the Dodger pitchers long-term (the major league ones at least) and this sets 3/5 of the Dodgers rotation long-term. Now the Dodgers just need a couple of their starting prospects to not get injured or disappoint in their 2nd years of AAA and they’ll be in business.
2005 ZiPS Projection - Brad Penny
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Period W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA
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Actual ‘05 3 2 9 9 56 60 23 5 8 29 3.67
Rest ‘05 7 4 17 17 102 96 41 10 25 70 3.62
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Total ‘05 10 6 26 26 158 156 64 15 33 99 3.64
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2006? 11 8 27 27 160 149 64 16 41 114 3.60
2007? 11 7 26 26 150 138 59 14 39 109 3.54
2008? 11 7 26 26 149 137 58 14 38 108 3.50
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Dan Szymborski
Posted: June 07, 2005 at 07:25 PM | 10 comment(s)
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1. bibigon Posted: June 07, 2005 at 08:08 PM (#1388022)By BPro's adjusted K rates, Penny was always had a K rate between 5 and 6, but now they've got him at 3.6.
That is something of a problem I would imagine for his long term future.
By BPro's adjusted K rates, Penny was always had a K rate between 5 and 6, but now they've got him at 3.6.
That is something of a problem I would imagine for his long term future.
A rate stat based on ~60 IP isn't enough to worry about yet. If its the same after 150 IP, then the Dodgers have something to worry about.
Penny's one serious DL stint was a truly freak injury; he doesn't have a pattern of arm problems.
The only guys I might want more than Penny are Burnett, Carpenter and Morris - but those guys look like greater injury risks than Pennny and are likely to sign for substantially north of Penny's deal (particularly Burnett).
Extended Johnson, however, would be a great dick joke.
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