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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Friday, May 08, 2009

Dodgers - Promoted Paul

Los Angeles Dodgers - Recalled OF Xavier Paul.

Oh yeah, LF Manny Ramirez was suspended for 50 games.

Kind of a big deal.  Losing Ramirez is obviously a blow to the Dodgers, but they’re still the best team in the division.  Sadly, this also ends the Dodgers streak, going back to the middle of August last year, of actually starting the best possible players they have at every starting position.  Juan Pierre looks poised to become the leftfielder, which makes a bad situation worse.  While Paul could benefit from more time in the minors, I would rather give him a chance to start in left rather than go with the known terrible choice.


2009 ZIPS Projection - Manny Ramirez
——————————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI   BB   SO SB   BA OBP SLG
——————————————————————————————————————
Year-to-Date   92   22   32   9   0   6   20   26   17   0 .348 .492 .641
Rest-of-Year   404   67 122 23   1 23   76   67   88   1 .303 .408 .536
——————————————————————————————————————
Total       496   89 154 32   1 29   96   93 105   1 .311 .425 .555
Suspension   155   26   47   9   0   9   29   26   34   0 .303 .404 .535
——————————————————————————————————————
New Total     341   63 107 23   1 20   67   67   71   1 .314 .430 .563

 


2009 ZIPS Projection - Xavier Paul
——————————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI   BB   SO SB   BA OBP SLG
——————————————————————————————————————
Year-to-Date   97   7   26   6   1   2   10   6   20   7 .268 .308 .412
Rest-of-Year   387   47 101 18   2   9   45   28   83 19 .261 .312 .388
——————————————————————————————————————
Total       484   54 127 24   3 11   55   34 103 26 .263 .311 .393

 


2009 ZIPS Projection - Juan Pierre
——————————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI   BB   SO SB   BA OBP SLG
——————————————————————————————————————
Year-to-Date   35   5   13   1   0   0   3   2   1   2 .371 .405 .400
Rest-of-Year   400   51 115 14   4   1   35   22   24 36 .286 .327 .348
——————————————————————————————————————
Total       435   56 128 15   4   1   38   24   25 38 .293 .333 .352

Year-to-date totals include minor-league translations, if applicable.

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: May 08, 2009 at 06:21 PM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:19 PM (#3171415)
I don't see how those Zips say Paul is better than Pierre.
   2. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:26 PM (#3171420)
Gary Matthews Jr. is available.
   3. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:30 PM (#3171424)
"I don't see how those Zips say Paul is better than Pierre"

40 points of SLG for 15 points of OBP. That's a trade you make every time.

Both Paul and Pierre have plus speed and plus corner defense, so you can't just mulligan Juan the gap there, either.
   4. baudib Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:33 PM (#3171428)
I think the case against Juan Pierre has always been overstated. Granted, he's a weak-hitting corner outfielder, but I think he's above replacement level. If he can hit .310 for 50 games, which he is eminently capable of doing, the Dodgers won't have any problems. They have plenty of capable middle-of-the-order hitters, while nowhere near as good as Manny. With their fast start, they just have to tread water until July, and they probaby will do a little better than that.
   5. regfairfield Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:34 PM (#3171431)
Pierre's speed and corner defense are way plussier though.
   6. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:38 PM (#3171435)
"Pierre's speed and corner defense are way plussier though."

Well, that'll be the question. Left to his own devices, Pierre will probably run more than Paul, so if he can pick his spots well (i.e. 2008, not 2004), he'll have more opportunity to make up ground with his legs. And playing in LF helps disguise the weakness of his arm, which is one of Paul's edges in the field.
   7. akrasian Posted: May 08, 2009 at 09:49 PM (#3171444)
I don't think it's a given that Pierre will be getting that many more starts than Paul. IF Paul can perform, I can see Torre giving him more and more time.

That being said, Pierre shouldn't be that bad. Obviously, not in the same zip code as Manny as a hitter, but better on the basepaths and better in the field. And since Manny was being rested about once a week (at least weeks without offdays) Manny would have missed some time anyway. Not a good thing, but I'd expect the Dodgers to more than tread water while he's gone.
   8. Tripon Posted: May 28, 2009 at 06:11 AM (#3196944)
Jeez, who could have predicted Pierre's godly stats almost a month later?
   9. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 28, 2009 at 07:28 AM (#3196961)
I wonder who finally got Pierre to ramp up his strike-zone judgment.
He's also getting the ball in the air more - career-low GB/FB of 1.54.
   10.   Posted: May 28, 2009 at 07:54 AM (#3196963)
0.996 OPS with 0 homers; that's tough to do!
   11. Tripon Posted: May 28, 2009 at 08:06 AM (#3196966)
Juan Pierre platoon splits

Against RPH: 92 PA, .346/.424/.457, .881 OPS
Against LPH: 32 PA, .536/.581/.750, 1.331 OPS

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