Giants - Signed DeRosa
San Francisco Giants - Signed IF-OF Mark DeRosa to a 2-year, $12 million contract.
DeRosa’s extremely useful, but he *is* at an age when players that are extremely useful have a tendency to suddenly become very less so.
DeRosa’s one of the best Plan B players around, being able to fill-in admirably anywhere but SS, C, and CF and be a plus. He’s not really good enough offensively or defensively to be a solid starter anywhere logical for the Giants, assuming they don’t make the short-sighted move of giving up on Kung Fu Panda at the hot corner. And the big problem for the Giants is most of the Plan As aren’t very good. This is a team that lost their cleanup hitter offseason and even worse, that cleanup hitter was Bengie Molina.
None of that is DeRosa’s fault, of course. He’s a suitable stopgap anywhere, but the Giants have most of a lineup of a suitable stopgaps.
ZiPS Projection - Mark DeRosa (3B)
————————————————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS+ DEF
————————————————————————————————————————-
2010 433 63 118 24 2 14 73 44 88 2 .273 .345 .434 104 AV
2011 401 57 108 21 2 13 68 40 83 2 .269 .340 .429 101 FR
————————————————————————————————————————-
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Ken Boyer, Phil Garner, Doug DeCinces
ODDIBE
Offense
Top Quintile 10%
2nd Quintile 23%
Mid Quintile 29%
4th Quintile 25%
Low Quintile 13%
OPS+ OBP 3B Hits
160+ 0% .400+ 3% 10+ 0% 200+ 0%
140+ 3% .375+ 15% 5+ 7% 150+ 1%
130+ 8% .350+ 43%
120+ 16% .325+ 78% 2B
110+ 33% .300+ 96% 45+ 0%
100+ 59% 30+ 20%
90+ 83%
80+ 95%
60+ 99%
BA SLG HR SB
.350+ 1% .550+ 2% 50+ 0% 70+ 0%
.325+ 4% .500+ 9% 40+ 0% 50+ 0%
.300+ 18% .450+ 35% 30+ 1% 30+ 0%
.275+ 49% .400+ 81% 20+ 15% 10+ 0%
.250+ 82% .350+ 98% 10+ 83%
(Based on Projected PA)
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 30, 2009 at 12:49 AM |
17 comment(s)
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1. Walt Davis Posted: December 30, 2009 at 05:03 AM (#3424445)I agree that DeRosa's a fairly large risk at this stage in his career and could become not useful fast. But ...
the Giants have most of a lineup of a suitable stopgaps.
Grammatical mish-mashes aside, he can be quite valuable in that context. All of those stopgaps need backups and, generally, if your starter are stopgaps, your backups are replacement level. If DeRosa steals 150 PA from a crappy corner OF and 150 PA from a crappy backup 2B/3B and 150 PA as a platoon 1B and 50-100 standard issue somebody stubbed their toe and needs 3 days off PAs, then that's a lot of OKness in place of a lot of awfulness and he's probably saving you .5 to 1 roster spots -- meaning if you do have any decent 4th OF or platoon 1B options, you can carry them on your roster. Also, if any of those starting stopgaps go over the cliff before DeRosa, you've got an average to meh Plan B.
That is, if Velez, Burriss, Schierholz and ??? are your Plan Bs, DeRosa is clearly a Plan A-. Surely ever 10 PAs Burriss doesn't get is worth a win. :-)
KJ can hit. And he will hit next year for the 'Backs.
Rumor has it that the Giants did approach Bay and Holliday, but those players weren't interested in playing in SF. So what can they do? De Rosa might have been the best option left. As for 2B, they have already decided to go with Sanchez (signed him to an extension), and De Rosa can fill in at 2B as a backup, so why would they want to save money to sign a "decent free agent" to play 2B? They already have a decent starting 2B and now they have a decent backup as well. What they really need is a slugging left fielder or first baseman, and apparently they tried and couldn't find one who was interested. In the past Sabean has done things like "sign five mediocre players instead of Vladimir Guerrero" but that does not appear to be the case this year.
However, I agree with #6 above that this doesn't seem to be the case this year.
I'm including Sanchez in the list of players they signed this offseason, so he wouldn't be on the team.
The other names that have been thrown around are Kelly Johnson and Adrian Beltre. Johnson was so horrible offensively last year that he was non-tendered by the Braves. Sure, he could bounce back, but he could also...um, not (Johnson turns 28 in February). And add in that Johnson is historically a terrible defender (last year he was average according to Fangraphs, but is it more likely that he really improved significantly in defense, or that it was a one-year bloop in his defensive stats?) Freddy Sanchez is a much better player than Kelly Johnson, and so is Mark DeRosa.
As for Beltre, he turns 31 in April and his OBP's for the past three years are .319, .327., .304. I don't see how that particular addition would really help a team who's biggest problem is lack of OBP. DeRosa has a much higher OBP than Beltre, so would Beltre necessarily be preferable? I'll grant that Beltre is probably a better overall player due to defense and more power, and is a couple years younger, but it doesn't seem to me that he really helps address the Giants' primary need which is for someone to get on base. And since he would have to play third full time, that moves Panda to first base, lessening his value. Since DeRosa can play multiple positions, he helps the Giants more in that they need someone to back up second and also play at third and left field.
Again, I generally agree that Sabean has no clue or long-term plan about constructing a roster, but this year's crop of free agents just didn't present many attractive options. The two big bats, Bay and Holliday, are getting long contracts for big money, and both entail a lot of risk. There really wasn't anyone especially useful the Giants could have signed if only they hadn't spent $6M on DeRosa.
The only way for the Giants to get an adequate offense for 2010-11 with their current roster is to (or should I say, was to) get an impact bat.
I find it hard to believe that of the three best available hitters this off season (Holliday, Bay, Nick Johnson) they all REFUSED to come to SF for similar sized contracts to the ones they signed.
I find it more likely that ownership was not willing to spend the coin to get an impact FA.
I guess it's tough to be a mid-major market GM. You have to be perfect or lucky to develop a strong roster. You don't have the big money basket to cover errors (Rowand, Renteria, Zito) and the ownership/fan base won't let you really tear down the team a la Florida.
Anyway, the Giants are in desperate need of a bat. DeRosa's not that guy, and it seems to me if you can't get a bopper, go for defense. I dunno if DeRosa is that guy, either.
Why not get a little of each?
I agree with your idea, but I don't know how to do it.
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