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1. Chris Hansen, NBC Dateline Posted: December 05, 2005 at 01:43 AM (#1760604)Not a bad signing, though I would've preferred Millwood to have come back. I'm wondering if the barn door might've closed behind him and Boras now, leaving them holding a smaller payoff than they were expecting.
Now let's not overpay (too much) for Hoffman, let Cabrera/Rhodes/Riske/Betancourt/Miller/Sauerbeck be in the bullpen (each with excellent K rates---vital for the 7th and 8th innings). Sign Nomar, let him play first with Broussard to back him up, trade 1 of the 6 aforementioned 5th starters (preferably not Miller or Sowers) to Tampa Bay for Jonny Gomes, and we're all set.
Tribe in 06!
Since 1999, Byrd has only pitched over 120 innings 3 times (admittedly, those years were 199+ IP), and he didn't pitch at all in 2003. His K/IP rate last year was .5, and he's 35 years old as of yesterday.
I think they just paid 14+ million for the last two years of Kirk Rueter's career.
Right....
Congratulations to the Cleveland Indians on their 2006 American League Pennant.
Right....
I know, Tampa Bay wouldn't trade Jonny Gomes for Jason Davis. But I do think Gomes is on the market, and I do think the Indians should make a strong play for him. Depends on what TB wants, but two pitchers should get it done, or three not-as-high-grade prospects.
seriously though, Paul Byrd won't win the Indians the pennant.
The main knock on the Indians going into 2006 was replacing Millwood's production. Well, here are Byrd and Millwood's ZIPs projections.
-------------ERA---W----L--G---GS----IP------H----ER---HR---BB----K
Millwood-----3.94--12---8--30--30---185----180---81--17---56---139
Byrd---------3.90--13---8--28--28---180----188---78--20---37---91
Yes, they could stand to replace some of their killer Bs (Broussard, Blake, Boone). They could use another bullpen arm. But this is a team without any major weaknesses---how many other teams in baseball can say the same thing?
Well, he's not replacing Millwood's production with those numbers. Just what Millwood can be expected to produce in the future.
Understood, but contrary to what many people---especially in Cleveland---believe, even Millwood himself wouldn't replace Millwood's production. Byrd should get the Indians comparable production in 2006, for less money and less years.
The Indians' pitching likely will be worse in 2006 than it was in 2005. Then again, the Indians' pitching was the AL's BEST in 2005; dropping to third or fourth best shouldn't hurt too much (plus, CC Sabathia and Jake Westbrook should be better in 06, and the 5th starter---likely Sowers---will be better than Elarton was).
Tough to identify one player in 25 who will win a team the division---besides Barry Bonds. The team will be better with Byrd than without him.
The Indians will likely win the division, they're better than every other team in their division (then again, this was true in 2005 too, and look what happened...)
What's scary is that Grady Sizemore, Coco Crisp, Jhonny Peralta, CC Sabathia, Cliff Lee, and Victor Martinez aren't even in their primes yet.
Indeed. The Indians are going to be very good for many many years. Peralta and Martinez are something special, the others are good and cheap. Paul Byrd is not a great pitcher, but this stage in the success cycle is exactly when a team should sign FAs, and Byrd happened to be the one that was available. I'm going with the Tribe in 06 also. I don't think Chi can repeat.
It's like deja vu...
::Puts on MTV to watch a Nirvana video::
You don't think Sizemore is going to be something special (.289/.348/.484 at age 22)? I can think of two, maybe 3 centerfielders that outhit him this year, and they're all much older and one of them is Griffey, who can't play center.
They are stacked up the middle right now.
You are right. Pronk, Grady, Coco, CC, Jhonny, Westbrook, Cliff Lee and VMart will win the Indians the pennant.
Byrd will win a couple of games in the playoffs and World Series.
aarrghmm(slurp)ghrhrm(smack)mmahrm(crunch)ghrrmm
Hmm, I didn't know that was Paul Byrd behind me at the opera the other day.
I'm still torn on whether to resign Elarton. I always like to see a guy rebound from a free-fall, but I'd love to see one of the kid pitchers get a chance.
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